Friday Thoughts: TCU vs. BYU

[ScottK]

Game being held at Cowboys Stadium. Horned Frogs double-digit favorites -- do they cover here?

[spladle08]

Early Lean for Friday
Friday: BYU vs TCU: BYU +12.5
BYU (26.8 / 21.5) 6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS, 3-5 O/U
TCU (43.6 / 21.9) 5-2 SU, 3-3-1 ATS, 6-1 O/U
let me start by saying I haven’t looked at the spread but I am guessing BYU is a substantial dog and, I don’t think there is any way BYU doesn’t cover an 8+ spread. Anyways let’s take a look.
Ok so BYU is getting 12.5… I’m in love already; I hope the numbers support this. Actually the numbers really don’t show all that much. Outside of the UTAH game, BYU has played pretty solid defense with their worst effort being in a 38-28 victory of Oregon State. USU scored 24 but every other team has scored 17 or less (including a decent Texas offense). The same can be said for TCU, they had a bad performance against Baylor (allowing 50pts) and also gave up 40 to SMU but outside of those 2 games they have held everyone else under 20.
Over the last 2yrs TCU has dominated winning 31-3 and 38-7 (both with Andy Dalton and those outrageous teams)
I just can’t see this one getting out of hand. Both teams are playing well on defense with TCU playing better on offense. I see a final of 28-21 or 21-17... Something like that. TCU should win but this isn’t the same TCU that’s crushed BYU in the past. I think BYU +12.5 is safe

On the over/Under, facts are suggesting all sorts of plays. Personally I think the Under is best but TCU has gone over in 6 of 7 games, BUT over the last 3 years they have gone under in 10 of 12 games in weeks 5-9, while BYU has gone under 13 of 17 times in games played on a “neutral” field…. I don’t know… if the total is 55+ I say under.

[ScottK]

great info. any other perspectives?

[paranoyd androyd]

byu @ +14 or better would be a strong play

[Retrospect]

byu i like

[BobHarvey]

BYU +14 for me. The Cougars are better than advertised. They've been flying under the radar this year and while I don't think they'll beat TCU they'll keep it close.

[sfniner415]

I watched them play early in the year with heaps as the qb...their offense was abismal!! i havnt seen them play with this nelson dude....looking over there numbers there offense seems to be much better...in all they both havnt played great opponents, question is how good is that TCU defense and whether this new BYU offense can hang.

[aimgator]

BYU +14.5 will buy the half point if the line moves to +14... so far its still on -13.5 on sportsbook.... if it doesnt move... ill pass

[burchfield]

Just my opinion I think TCU is going to cover no problem. Riding this horse till its dead

[whatdafuxup]

I'm on the over (56). TCU can score in bunches. Need BYU to put up about 20.

[npmassa]

Which QB is starting for BYU? Anyone know? If its Heaps I think BYU is in trouble they were not putting up points with him at all

[dahurt45]

Nelson is starting no question tonight. Huge BYU fan. Read my thread about the game.

[AZ*SUN*iBET4FUN]

TCU -13/OVER 56 BYU Defense wont be able to stop high paced Horned Frogs Offense.. Big Game in Big Stadium... Texas Christian Puts up 40+ in this one!!

[Brutus84]

Game is in oklahoma right?

[jbess]

I'm all over BYU +14/14.5 and also BYU ML. Strong play will be on the BYU spread. Also throwing in to a teaser as well. GL to all!

Game is in oklahoma right?

It's at the Cowboys stadium.

[AZ*SUN*iBET4FUN]

Muffed snap hahahah lets go TCU!!!

[jbess]

I'm all over BYU +14/14.5 and also BYU ML. Strong play will be on the BYU spread. Also throwing in to a teaser as well. GL to all!



It's at the Cowboys stadium.

Awesome hit all the bets but not my smallest one which was BYU ML.

BYU ML - LOSS
BYU +14 - WIN
BYU over 28 1h - WIN
Teaser 10 points BYU+24 TCU-4, Over 47 - WIN
Parlay BYU +7.5, over 28 1h - LOSS
Parlay BYU +4.5 over 27 2h - WIN
Over 27 BYU 2h - $50 - WIN

Great night. Can't wait for tomorrow. And congrats to everyone who was all over BYU +14!