Michigan State at Nebraska with John Ryan

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  • John Ryan
    SBR MVP
    • 11-20-10
    • 2428

    #36
    Originally posted by paranoyd androyd
    like nebraska at first glance due to intangibles - huge HFA and ripe letdown spot for msu - but need to back away and think about it more, public all over cornhuskers
    I dont think the public is all over them based on the data I collect
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #37
      Originally posted by John Ryan
      I dont think the public is all over them based on the data I collect
      96% ML/81% spread at Sportsbook.com
      Comment
      • Big 12 Expert
        SBR High Roller
        • 09-23-11
        • 166

        #38
        Hey John why are you so bad?
        Comment
        • John Ryan
          SBR MVP
          • 11-20-10
          • 2428

          #39
          Originally posted by SacHusker916
          I am a life-long Husker fan so maybe I have a clearer vision here than most....Stay Away! Over the past few years Nebraska has rarely covered in a game like this, nor won outright. Just because its at home doesn't help either, Memorial Stadium is not the same advantage it once was....Even a pathetic Iowa State team won in Lincoln recently.

          Nebraska, as stated above has a suspect defense and suspect offense....If Mich St gets any pressure on Martinez at QB its gonna result in Nebraska having to count on the run game and Michigan St has one of the better run D's as we all know.. Bottom line is Taylor Martinez at QB rarely wins a big game against a solid team, im struggling to name one actually and if you look at Mich St. this year, besides letting Wisconsin score 31 last week they dont allow many points, I think 14 was the most in the previous 5 weeks...

          Nebraska may win but I find it hard to believe they will cover, also statistically they play worse in the early games....Pass on this game IMO there are plenty more games out there that look easier than this one... Like I said im a NU fan so hope im wrong but I dont see this anywhere close to a "Lock", at best its a "Possible"
          Thanks for the great insight.
          Comment
          • jimminn
            SBR MVP
            • 04-23-11
            • 1176

            #40
            Let see Wisconsin beats Nebraska Michigan State beats Wisconsin
            DUH easy choice Michigan State
            Comment
            • John Ryan
              SBR MVP
              • 11-20-10
              • 2428

              #41
              Originally posted by Pickma$ter
              How does this help your case. re-read your statement.
              Nebraska went to a 'foreign' venue for the first time in school history. More importantly, it was the first time they ventured into the Big Ten and the home field at Wisconsin. Things went miserably poor for Nebraska in that game. Now, MSU has to travel to a hostile environment and one they are not familiar with in the least. Even the coaching staff can be caught out of sync to a regular road schedule routine. The whole event is new and unfamiliar.
              Comment
              • John Ryan
                SBR MVP
                • 11-20-10
                • 2428

                #42
                Originally posted by jimminn
                Let see Wisconsin beats Nebraska Michigan State beats Wisconsin
                DUH easy choice Michigan State
                Interesting, if only it were that easy. If A=b and b=C, the of course A=C.. only in the math class. Wisconsin won at Home and so did MSU.. Now, MSU is on the road so does that mean all three home teams will win then?
                Comment
                • Greyraptor
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-02-11
                  • 610

                  #43
                  Originally posted by John Ryan
                  Interesting, if only it were that easy. If A=b and b=C, the of course A=C.. only in the math class. Wisconsin won at Home and so did MSU.. Now, MSU is on the road so does that mean all three home teams will win then?
                  There are WAY TOO many variables in football to think that it is ever as simple as the transitive relation a=b, b=c so a=c formula. One must consider weather, venue, fan base, team strengths, coaching staff and the list goes on and on. Gosh, I wish it were that easy don't you John? I think we would all be rich. That is not to say that MSU can't win and cover...just that more thought and statistical research has to go into it than the aforementioned. (See Back Propogation Theory 101...lol)
                  Comment
                  • AZ*SUN*iBET4FUN
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-04-11
                    • 1378

                    #44
                    Msu +4
                    Comment
                    • spike1519
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 10-07-11
                      • 145

                      #45
                      Wow can't believe it here we go again A bunch of people that dont add anything but critisizm to the pick's (apoligy's to those who actually backed up there statements with stats) but to just cut down a pick is rediculous you got a better one let's hear it. Sometimes intelligent conversation leads to new avenues of making money for all of us where as putting lil animated laughing guys on the floor just makes you look childish. John has not let me down yet! I feel this is no good why follow if your just gonna ridicule just go start your own thread and show us how it's done. Thanks for the effort and analysis John once again you have worked hard to bring insight .....spike..... I'm probably makin this bet!!!!!!!!!!!
                      Comment
                      • jimminn
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-23-11
                        • 1176

                        #46
                        I am betting Michigan State +15
                        Nebraska has not impressed me at all this year . Cousins is a pretty good quarterback and I think he will be the difference today .
                        Comment
                        • John Ryan
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-20-10
                          • 2428

                          #47
                          I am not a parlay player, but many of you like to play them. So, I would recommend a parlay on Nebraska and Oklahoma

                          Here are some betting strategies for this game:

                          In addition to the pair of 5* wagers (Nebraska and the 'Under', I also like no more than a 3* amount playing a teaser with Nebraska and the ‘under’. Moreover, you can add a 2* amount parlaying Nebraska and the ‘under’. Based on my money management methodologies and probabilistic grid, these equate to roughly an 8.5* bet on Nebraska or an 8.5 star bet on the ‘under’.

                          I prefer to add 3.5* to the Nebraska bet and keep the 5*‘UNDER in tact and only add the 3* teaser bet.
                          Comment
                          • bradleysnyder
                            Restricted User
                            • 04-18-07
                            • 6662

                            #48
                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                            96% ML/81% spread at Sportsbook.com

                            sportsbook.com?????

                            Conformation you do not cash out.Used to have this book for about a week until i tried to cash out and they said 4-6 weeks....!!!!!!!!

                            No real players use sportsbook.com,Site is a COMPLETE joke!
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #49
                              Originally posted by bradleysnyder
                              sportsbook.com?????

                              Conformation you do not cash out.Used to have this book for about a week until i tried to cash out and they said 4-6 weeks....!!!!!!!!

                              No real players use sportsbook.com,Site is a COMPLETE joke!
                              It's a resource for public betting %.

                              I don't have money in that book.

                              Nice try mush.
                              Comment
                              • pc2006mg
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 11-21-10
                                • 51

                                #50
                                Well, naysayers..........looks like John strikes again! Beautiful call on Nebraska game....excellent analysis! Thanks for the winner John.......
                                Comment
                                • CBASS
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-22-10
                                  • 2613

                                  #51
                                  Nice call John
                                  Comment
                                  • nj1035
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-19-09
                                    • 902

                                    #52
                                    Comment
                                    • HomerJ
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 09-19-11
                                      • 18

                                      #53
                                      I just had a cash out from Bodog. I made a request and within 30 minutes it was approved. It took 10 business days to get my check via Fed Ex. Was supposed to take 4-7 business days. So I think 10 days is great considering how things have been in the recent past. I didn't even have to send them any scans of my I.D. or utilities bills or anything like they used to have people do and I had them change my address on my account by email right before the cash out.
                                      Comment
                                      • HomerJ
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 09-19-11
                                        • 18

                                        #54
                                        Sorry that last post was for the guy complaining about Sportsbook.com cash out problems.
                                        Comment
                                        • John Ryan
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-20-10
                                          • 2428

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by pc2006mg
                                          Well, naysayers..........looks like John strikes again! Beautiful call on Nebraska game....excellent analysis! Thanks for the winner John.......
                                          Thank you!
                                          Comment
                                          • John Ryan
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-20-10
                                            • 2428

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by CBASS
                                            Nice call John
                                            Comment
                                            • John Ryan
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-20-10
                                              • 2428

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by nj1035
                                              Comment
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