Boise - 21

[brahmabull117]

will this line go down at all you guys think???


I like this game a lot after the terrible outing kellen moore had last week

[paranoyd androyd]

fresno here

[letsgo]

I wouldn't bet Boise anymore, too many backdoor covers.

[brucesmall]

Boise keeps playing Southwick late in anticipation of getting him prepared for next year. In this game I lean Fresno, but Boise may not let up due to the fact that Fresno is a legit team. Either a close game going down to the end or a blowout by Boise. I see no backdoor cover here.

[fecgp40]

Boise keeps playing Southwick late in anticipation of getting him prepared for next year. In this game I lean Fresno, but Boise may not let up due to the fact that Fresno is a legit team. Either a close game going down to the end or a blowout by Boise. I see no backdoor cover here.

Only bet I would even consider on Boise at this point in any game is a first half cover. I cashed with this Saturday against Nevada and they did not cover for the whole game.

[brahmabull117]

Only bet I would even consider on Boise at this point in any game is a first half cover. I cashed with this Saturday against Nevada and they did not cover for the whole game.

I believe Boise is 4-0 ATS on first half spreads this year while being 2-2 overall



the other option is a 6 point teaser bringing it below the key numbers of 21,20,18 and 17




I think Boise will definately be up 21+ points at one point in this game, Fresno is a terrible team (I still can't believe they lost by 11 at home to arguably the worst BCS conference team in Ole Miss) and they should be down big at 1 point or another in this game. A 6 point teaser puts you in a real safe position in case of a backdoor cover (Boise has only 1 win game so far this year by less than 20 points and it was a 14 point against a Georgia team that would likely beat Fresno by 3 scores)

[Terrapin Station]

I like Boise, think they'll roll.

[rofacapper]

I don't have the numbers, but I wouldn't be surprised at all if Boise has covered 1st half spreads at a higher than 80% clip over the last 4 years or so. It's a really, really good bet, seemingly every week. I don't expect this to be any different. If you bet Fresno for the game, you're counting on a backdoor cover. My guess is Boise rolls but they have been backdoored the last two weeks so you never know. Granted the backdoor is a little more common with them when the spread is closer to 30, but still.

[Ice House]

what is the first half line guys?

[brahmabull117]

Boise spread is down to 20.5



a 7 point teaser dropping boise to 13.5 and Oregon to 16.5 is awfully tempting here

[49erFan8280]

I'd tease it or go with Boise 1H, whenever that comes out.

[Romanov]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/1303991-o-u-25-age-brahama-loses-his-virginity.html

[brahmabull117]

I'd tease it or go with Boise 1H, whenever that comes out.

a 13.5 point teaser just seems soooo nice


I'm curious to see if it will drop some more though

[GunShard]

I'm not touching college football anymore.

I think betting on Boise St and Stanford will start to go against you in the long run. I'll take the profits and run.

[brahmabull117]

I'm not touching college football anymore. I think betting on Boise St and Stanford will start to go against you in the long run. I'll take the profits and run.

how so about stanford??? They were covering spreads at incredible rate last year as well, no reason to think it will slow down now

[sandman0713]

dam dude...do you go to school at boise? every week i see like a "boise -57?" thread by you and a "stanford -89?" thread...lol.