Am I crazy for taking Arkansas ML and Air Force ML?

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  • Inkwell77
    SBR MVP
    • 02-03-11
    • 3227

    #1
    Am I crazy for taking Arkansas ML and Air Force ML?
    Seems like a decent play.
    Bet both games ML for the same amount. One of these teams should pull an "upset"
    Air Force has not covered a game so far. Navy has covered every game. This game opened up in the summer as Air Force as the favorite.
    This is also a case of going against the public in the Air Force/Navy game as 74.71% of the covers.com crowd is on Navy -2.5

    Arkansas game is a toss up and getting +130 in a game on a neutral site with these two equal teams seems like value.
  • CBASS
    SBR MVP
    • 01-22-10
    • 2613

    #2
    I'm not saying that you're not onto something here, but.....I see sports betting as an investment after much diligent research. Maybe you have already, but betting a team that simply shows 'value' means nothing if the team that shows 'value' does not cover. Self explanatory, I know. Hear me out though, why not find a couple of games that are loaded with angles that point heavily towards a side? I don't like military match ups, because they are extremely difficult to predict (even after excessive capping). As for the Ark/A&M game, what reasons do you have as to why Arkansas should win? If you can't answer that question, then why risk $ on it? I'm just curious as to your methods to wagering is all. Help me to understand the 'value' argument. Thanks and GL this weekend.
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    • wal66
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 10-14-08
      • 5305

      #3
      Personally I think Arkansas has a chance, not enough to put money on it but then again I play very few games. Air Force? Sure they have a chance but I think Navy still wins and even covers this game though. Again, I have no money on this game either though.

      Good luck with all your plays.
      Comment
      • zuluhead1``1
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-07-10
        • 733

        #4
        I don't think either are terrible plays. I personally think the wiser move would have been to take the points rather than the higher pay out. BOL!
        Comment
        • Pin Fish
          SBR MVP
          • 11-28-08
          • 1295

          #5
          Hog yes..Falcons no............
          Comment
          • suicidekings
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-23-09
            • 9962

            #6
            I would like the Falcons if not for the fact that their team is currently pretty banged up and lacking depth. A bet on Air Force this week is putting faith in their second string players. Not for me.

            Arkansas is my favourite play of the week. They're going to welcome TAM to the SEC is style.
            Comment
            • fud007
              SBR Hustler
              • 08-25-11
              • 78

              #7
              I'm on Arkansas as well! GL!!
              Comment
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