2011 NCAA Football

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reoord 0-0

9/24 Late plays

LSU/WV Over 47

Arizona/Oregon Under 65

Nebraska -21 1.5 units

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record 2-1 (+1.40)

Over 51.5 Pittsburgh/S. Florida (1.5 units)

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BYU -7.5 1 unit

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record 3-2 (+1.8)

West Virginia -17.5

NC St +10

Florida +4

San Jose St +4 (1.5 units)

Oregon St +17

Hawaii +4.5

Over Nebraska/Wisconsin 55 (2 units)

Under VT/Clemson 50.5

South Carolina -11

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Updated record

9-4 (+7.1)

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10/8

Utah +3.5
ND -14
La Tech -3.5
Michigan -7 -120
Missouri -4
ECU +11.5
Florida +14

all for 1 unit each

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Updated record

12-8 (+5.7)

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Plays for week of 10/13-10/15

113 Navy +3.5 (2 units)

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Under 56.5 Hawaii/San Jose St 1 unit

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add

Over Utah/Pitt 46.5 1 unit

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2-1 this week

Updated record

14-9 (+7.6)

Nothing more this week. Good luck to anyone playing tonight.

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Play for Saturday 10/22

Missouri +7.5 (2 units)

I have Missouri about 5-6 points better than Texas and the line is the same or higher than it closed on Saturday vs the Longhorns. Too much value in my opinion.

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Duke +3.5 (1.5 units)

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add (all for 1 unit each)

LSU -20.5
Army +10.5
Oregon St +3
Oreg st/Wash st over 57
ND -9
Wisconsin -7
Marshall +24

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week update 4-5 -2.1

Overall

18-14 (+5.5)

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Pittsburgh -10 (1.5 units)

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record

19-14 (+7.00)

Saturday

Louisville -3 1 unit

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add

Oklahoma -13 1 unit

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add

Utah -4.5

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Kansas +28.5 1 unit

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Updated Record

22-15 (+8.90)

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11/5

Early

Ball St +2.5 1 unit

*you may get +3 closer to kick, I won't be around until later so I posted the current line and will grade it as such.

If anyone wants to check out a "predictor" model I use to help with my handicapping. Here is a sample for the game above.

http://www.nationalsportsrankings.com/index.php?option=com_predictor&magic=1005

click select new teams to change the match up.

PLEASE NOTE: I use this as a guide. I don't just play a game or total because the numbers say so. It's not a magic equation. It's based on overall season performance and doesn't account for weather, a recent injury or hot/cold streaks etc....

All that being said, it does help in the handicapping process so I thought I'd share.

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add

Kentucky +2
So Miss -9

1 unit each

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Add

South Carolina +5

1 unit

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3-1 this week

Updated Record

25-16 (+10.80)

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Friday 11/11

South Florida -4 (1.5 units)

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adding 1 more unit

South Florida -3

2.5 units total (1.5 at -4, 1.0 at -3)

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Hit my biggest college bet of the year with S. Florida last night, record now 26-16 (+13.30)

Here are my Saturday Projections. Like I said in an earlier post, I use these as a guide to help with my handicapping.

Saturday projections

Location Predicted Line
at Louisville Louisville 22 Pittsburgh 20 -2
Neutral Pittsburgh 22 Louisville 21 -1
at Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 23 Louisville 19 -4

Location Predicted Line
at Purdue Ohio St. 29 Purdue 17 -12
Neutral Ohio St. 30 Purdue 16 -14
at Ohio St. Ohio St. 32 Purdue 14 -18

Location Predicted Line
at Illinois Michigan 27 Illinois 23 -4
Neutral Michigan 29 Illinois 22 -7
at Michigan Michigan 30 Illinois 20 -10

Location Predicted Line
at Northwestern Northwestern 42 Rice 24 -18
Neutral Northwestern 41 Rice 26 -15
at Rice Northwestern 39 Rice 27 -12

Location Predicted Line
at Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 26 Kentucky 17 -9
Neutral Vanderbilt 25 Kentucky 19 -6
at Kentucky Vanderbilt 23 Kentucky 20 -3

Location Predicted Line
at Clemson Clemson 38 Wake Forest 21 -17
Neutral Clemson 37 Wake Forest 22 -15
at Wake Forest Clemson 35 Wake Forest 24 -11

Location Predicted Line
at Virginia Virginia 31 Duke 21 -10
Neutral Virginia 29 Duke 22 -7
at Duke Virginia 28 Duke 24 -4

Location Predicted Line
at Boston College N.C. State 23 Boston College 21 -2
Neutral N.C. State 25 Boston College 19 -6
at N.C. State N.C. State 26 Boston College 18 -8

Location Predicted Line
at East. Michigan East. Michigan 27 Buffalo 24 -3
Neutral Buffalo 26 East. Michigan 25 -1
at Buffalo Buffalo 27 East. Michigan 24 -3

Location Predicted Line
at Kansas St. Texas A&M 33 Kansas St. 30 -3
Neutral Texas A&M 35 Kansas St. 29 -6
at Texas A&M Texas A&M 36 Kansas St. 27 -9

Location Predicted Line
at Akron Kent St. 24 Akron 17 -7
Neutral Kent St. 25 Akron 15 -10
at Kent St. Kent St. 27 Akron 14 -13

Location Predicted Line
at Kansas Baylor 48 Kansas 28 -20
Neutral Baylor 50 Kansas 27 -23
at Baylor Baylor 51 Kansas 25 -26

Location Predicted Line
at Air Force Air Force 38 Wyoming 21 -17
Neutral Air Force 37 Wyoming 23 -14
at Wyoming Air Force 35 Wyoming 24 -11

Location Predicted Line
at BYU BYU 32 Idaho 15 -17
Neutral BYU 31 Idaho 17 -14
at Idaho BYU 29 Idaho 18 -11

Location Predicted Line
at SMU SMU 33 Navy 28 -5
Neutral SMU 31 Navy 29 -2
at Navy Navy 31 SMU 30 -1

Location Predicted Line
at Utah State Utah State 32 San Jose St. 23 -9
Neutral Utah State 31 San Jose St. 24 -7
at San Jose St. Utah State 29 San Jose St. 26 -3

Location Predicted Line
at Tulsa Tulsa 36 Marshall 20 -16
Neutral Tulsa 34 Marshall 21 -13
at Marshall Tulsa 33 Marshall 23 -10

Location Predicted Line
at Boise State Boise State 37 TCU 23 -14
Neutral Boise State 35 TCU 24 -11
at TCU Boise State 34 TCU 26 -8

Location Predicted Line
at Florida St. Florida St. 31 Miami (FL) 22 -9
Neutral Florida St. 29 Miami (FL) 24 -5
at Miami (FL) Florida St. 28 Miami (FL) 25 -3

Location Predicted Line
at Cincinnati Cincinnati 35 West Virginia 33 -2
Neutral West Virginia 35 Cincinnati 34 -1
at West Virginia West Virginia 36 Cincinnati 32 -4

Location Predicted Line
at Army Rutgers 27 Army 22 -5
Neutral Rutgers 28 Army 20 -8
at Rutgers Rutgers 30 Army 19 -11

Location Predicted Line
at Missouri Missouri 27 Texas 27 0
Neutral Texas 29 Missouri 26 -3
at Texas Texas 30 Missouri 24 -6

Location Predicted Line
at Penn St. Nebraska 23 Penn St. 19 -4
Neutral Nebraska 25 Penn St. 17 -8
at Nebraska Nebraska 26 Penn St. 16 -10

Location Predicted Line
at Texas Tech Oklahoma St. 51 Texas Tech 31 -20
Neutral Oklahoma St. 52 Texas Tech 30 -22
at Oklahoma St. Oklahoma St. 54 Texas Tech 28 -26

Location Predicted Line
at Iowa Michigan St. 23 Iowa 21 -2
Neutral Michigan St. 25 Iowa 20 -5
at Michigan St. Michigan St. 26 Iowa 18 -8

Location Predicted Line
at Arkansas Arkansas 33 Tennessee 20 -13
Neutral Arkansas 32 Tennessee 21 -11
at Tennessee Arkansas 30 Tennessee 23 -7

Location Predicted Line
at South Carolina South Carolina 25 Florida 19 -6
Neutral South Carolina 23 Florida 21 -2
at Florida Florida 22 South Carolina 22 0

Location Predicted Line
at USC USC 38 Washington 27 -11
Neutral USC 36 Washington 29 -7
at Washington USC 35 Washington 30 -5

Location Predicted Line
at Georgia Georgia 34 Auburn 22 -12
Neutral Georgia 33 Auburn 24 -9
at Auburn Georgia 31 Auburn 25 -6

Location Predicted Line
at California California 29 Oregon St. 21 -8
Neutral California 28 Oregon St. 23 -5
at Oregon St. California 26 Oregon St. 24 -2

Location Predicted Line
at Stanford Stanford 36 Oregon 33 -3
Neutral Stanford 35 Oregon 35 0
at Oregon Oregon 36 Stanford 33 -3

Location Predicted Line
at Nevada Nevada 35 Hawaii 29 -6
Neutral Nevada 34 Hawaii 30 -4
at Hawaii Nevada 32 Hawaii 32 0

Location Predicted Line
at Memphis UAB 29 Memphis 21 -8
Neutral UAB 30 Memphis 20 -10
at UAB UAB 32 Memphis 18 -14

Location Predicted Line
at Colorado St. San Diego St. 34 Colorado St. 19 -15
Neutral San Diego St. 35 Colorado St. 17 -18
at San Diego St. San Diego St. 37 Colorado St. 16 -21

Location Predicted Line
at Mississippi St. Alabama 29 Mississippi St. 13 -16
Neutral Alabama 30 Mississippi St. 11 -19
at Alabama Alabama 32 Mississippi St. 10 -22

Location Predicted Line
at Washington St. Arizona State 38 Washington St. 23 -15
Neutral Arizona State 39 Washington St. 22 -17
at Arizona State Arizona State 41 Washington St. 20 -21

Location Predicted Line
at Mississippi Mississippi 27 Louisiana Tech 27 0
Neutral Louisiana Tech 28 Mississippi 25 -3
at Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 30 Mississippi 24 -6

ocation Predicted Line
at Minnesota Wisconsin 48 Minnesota 15 -33
Neutral Wisconsin 49 Minnesota 14 -35
at Wisconsin Wisconsin 51 Minnesota 12 -39

Location Predicted Line
at Maryland Notre Dame 36 Maryland 18 -18
Neutral Notre Dame 38 Maryland 17 -21
at Notre Dame Notre Dame 39 Maryland 15 -24

Location Predicted Line
at New Mexico St. Fresno St. 36 New Mexico St. 27 -9
Neutral Fresno St. 37 New Mexico St. 26 -11
at Fresno St. Fresno St. 39 New Mexico St. 24 -15

Location Predicted Line
at Utah Utah 28 UCLA 19 -9
Neutral Utah 27 UCLA 20 -7
at UCLA Utah 25 UCLA 22 -3

Location Predicted Line
at Southern Miss Southern Miss 31 UCF 20 -11
Neutral Southern Miss 29 UCF 22 -7
at UCF Southern Miss 28 UCF 23 -5

Location Predicted Line
at UTEP UTEP 30 East Carolina 29 -1
Neutral East Carolina 31 UTEP 29 -2
at East Carolina East Carolina 32 UTEP 27 -5

Location Predicted Line
at Colorado Arizona 39 Colorado 25 -14
Neutral Arizona 40 Colorado 23 -17
at Arizona Arizona 42 Colorado 22 -20

Location Predicted Line
at New Mexico UNLV 34 New Mexico 26 -8
Neutral UNLV 35 New Mexico 25 -10
at UNLV UNLV 37 New Mexico 23 -14

Location Predicted Line
at Arkansas State Arkansas State 35 LA Lafayette 23 -12
Neutral Arkansas State 33 LA Lafayette 24 -9
at LA Lafayette Arkansas State 32 LA Lafayette 26 -6

Location Predicted Line
at Troy Troy 32 North Texas 22 -10
Neutral Troy 30 North Texas 24 -6
at North Texas Troy 29 North Texas 25 -4

Location Predicted Line
at LA Monroe LA Monroe 32 Middle Tenn. St. 26 -6
Neutral LA Monroe 31 Middle Tenn. St. 28 -3
at Middle Tenn. St. Middle Tenn. St. 29 LA Monroe 29 0

Location Predicted Line
at Florida International Florida International 32 Florida Atlantic 12 -20
Neutral Florida International 31 Florida Atlantic 13 -18
at Florida Atlantic Florida International 29 Florida Atlantic 15 -14

Location Predicted Line
at LSU LSU 45 West. Kentucky 0 -45
Neutral LSU 43 West. Kentucky 1 -42
at West. Kentucky LSU 41 West. Kentucky 2 -39

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11/16

Miami Oh +1.5 (1.5 units)
Under Mia Oh/W. Mich 60 (1 unit)
Bowling Green + 7.5 (1.5 units)

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11/18

Toledo -14 (2 units)

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Updated record

29-17 (+16.15)

Early Saturday

Louisville +1
Army +13

1 unit each

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Add

San Jose St +6.5 (heritage)

1 unit

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Saturday 2-1 (+0.90)

Updated record

31-18 (+17.05)

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11/22

Under 55 Miami/Ohio (1 unit)

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Updated record

32-18 (+18.05)