HARRY'S WEEK 3 COLLEGE PLAYS (9-4 on season)

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  • Harry N. Lloyd
    SBR MVP
    • 03-26-08
    • 4810

    #1
    HARRY'S WEEK 3 COLLEGE PLAYS (9-4 on season)
    Boyz,

    I'm gonna post my first play of the week now, because it's a weeknight game. I will be back later in the week to post the rest of my card.

    BOISE STATE -19 at TOLEDO

    Bookmaker's posting the line at 19 on Wed nite, other sites at 20. Last week I played the Rockets at the Horseshoe and they didn't disappoint. I felt going into the game that they had a "puncher's chance" to pull the outright upset (and that would've been a HUGE upset as the Buckeyes haven't lost to an in-state team in close to 90 years.) This week Toledo is going to look a lot more like Chuck "The Bayonne Bleeder" Wepner. They come into this one on the heels of their most emotional effort in years, then only have a few days to prepare. The Broncos come off a bye. This is another huge out-of-conference game for Boise State (11-2 ATS out of conference, 20-4 ATS away.) Those eye-popping spread results are no fluke. The Broncos only hope to impress BCS voters is to perform out of conference. If they whomp Toledo, after the Rockets played Ohio State tough.....it looks good, right? Hell yeah, and they know it. Last year they pasted Toledo at home, 57-14. This year they'll do close to the same on the road. Don't buck these Broncos!

    As always, best of luck.
    Harry
  • cutlerfan
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-24-10
    • 212

    #2
    Thanks! Let's cash.
    Comment
    • gilbert91016
      SBR MVP
      • 04-29-09
      • 1479

      #3
      Like your play. Why do u think off the first half
      Comment
      • ShogunRua
        SBR MVP
        • 12-23-09
        • 4668

        #4
        Like Boise in this spot as well. Good luck.
        Comment
        • M.W.
          SBR MVP
          • 09-07-08
          • 1668

          #5
          Nice analysis - good luck.
          Comment
          • sweethook
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-21-07
            • 12667

            #6
            nice sir. lets cashe it
            Comment
            • fedtpels
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-08-10
              • 407

              #7
              Looks good Harry. I'll be following you again this year. Especially NCAA. BOL
              Comment
              • cheddar327
                SBR High Roller
                • 10-15-10
                • 169

                #8
                i got it at 19.5

                good luck
                Comment
                • shopbar picks
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-08-10
                  • 2157

                  #9
                  thanx
                  Comment
                  • HR Paperstacks
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-20-11
                    • 910

                    #10
                    I went 4-0 last saturday off of Harry's picks. Keep up the good work bro.
                    Comment
                    • Giant Rebels
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 10-09-10
                      • 289

                      #11
                      I missed last weeks picks but not this week. Go Boise. I love the Ole Miss Rebels also against Vanderbuilt.
                      Comment
                      • JMF2479
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 08-29-09
                        • 592

                        #12
                        I'm glad you're on Boise as well
                        Comment
                        • odog11
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-14-11
                          • 3874

                          #13
                          Like this play Harry. Does it make sense to buy a half to move from 20 -105 to 19.5 -115? Thoughts people?
                          Comment
                          • Harry N. Lloyd
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-26-08
                            • 4810

                            #14
                            Originally posted by odog11
                            Like this play Harry. Does it make sense to buy a half to move from 20 -105 to 19.5 -115? Thoughts people?
                            Cannot see any logic in that whatsoever. 10% more vig to move to a number that's less than 1% more advantageous.
                            Comment
                            • RED
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 02-07-09
                              • 245

                              #15
                              Good Luck Tonight
                              Comment
                              • colts
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-09-10
                                • 1563

                                #16
                                How's your Saturday card looking?
                                Comment
                                • Harry N. Lloyd
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-26-08
                                  • 4810

                                  #17
                                  Boyz,

                                  Here's how the rest of Saturday's card looks.....

                                  PENN STATE -7 at TEMPLE

                                  Relatively short number to lay with the better team, in need of a win after last week's beatdown against Alabama. The Nittany Lions seem to run a high-school caliber playbook but they've got the better athletes and should be able to shut down this Owl's attack which has looked proficient against tomato can opponents. Penn State has the better game on the ground and in the air and should cover this one.

                                  COLORADO STATE +7- against COLORADO

                                  Game is being played in Denver, virtually neutral field. The Buffs have not showed much yet this year, losing to Hawaii and Cal. Don't see any reason they should be laying over a TD in this fierce Rivalry. Colorado has had the upper hand in this annual series, but the Rams have a way of keeping it close. 7 of the past 9 have been decided by less than 7. I'll take the points.

                                  NORTHERN ILLINOIS +17 against WISCONSIN

                                  Hats off to these Badgers--they look damn good. That big offensive line of theirs will plow through the Huskies. Northern Illinois can score though. They can move the ball on the ground and in the air. They've scored 40 points in each of their first two games. They won't get that here, but they should put up enough to stay within the generous spread.

                                  KENTUCKY -5- over LOUISVILLE

                                  The Cardinals have looked sluggish out of the gate, barely getting by Weber State and losing to Florida International. This is a tough spot for them to find their mojo. Kentucky has been very tough at home under Coach Joker Phillips. The Cats have a helluva time stealing victories in the tough SEC so they won't let a cupcake like this one elude them. Lay it.

                                  USC -14- against SYRACUSE (***Double Play***)

                                  Gotta believe that USC is due for a big game. They won their first two, but looked a bit lackluster in the process. They're moving the ball but have had a tough time converting yards into points. Kiffin is gonna start feeling the heat unless he gets his boys playing better. Big time scheduling advantage for the Trojans in this one. It's their third straight home game to start the season. The Orange have to make the long trip west after barely surviving URI last week at home. That's not a good sign.

                                  OKLAHOMA -3 at FLORIDA STATE

                                  It's not often one gets to bet the top team in the country, laying only a FG. Gonna be a hostile environment no doubt, but the Sooners have the better QB and better team.

                                  MIAMI -2- against OHIO STATE

                                  A very big test for a wounded Buckeyes team that appears to down a notch (or two) from recent seasons. They're catching a Hurricane team that is in need of a win, is well rested, and has their best players all returning from suspension. Miami doesn't put away teams like they once did, but they'll win this one.

                                  As always, best of luck.
                                  Harry
                                  Comment
                                  • str8ridah
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 09-04-11
                                    • 12

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Harry N. Lloyd
                                    Boyz,

                                    I'm gonna post my first play of the week now, because it's a weeknight game. I will be back later in the week to post the rest of my card.

                                    BOISE STATE -19 at TOLEDO

                                    Bookmaker's posting the line at 19 on Wed nite, other sites at 20. Last week I played the Rockets at the Horseshoe and they didn't disappoint. I felt going into the game that they had a "puncher's chance" to pull the outright upset (and that would've been a HUGE upset as the Buckeyes haven't lost to an in-state team in close to 90 years.) This week Toledo is going to look a lot more like Chuck "The Bayonne Bleeder" Wepner. They come into this one on the heels of their most emotional effort in years, then only have a few days to prepare. The Broncos come off a bye. This is another huge out-of-conference game for Boise State (11-2 ATS out of conference, 20-4 ATS away.) Those eye-popping spread results are no fluke. The Broncos only hope to impress BCS voters is to perform out of conference. If they whomp Toledo, after the Rockets played Ohio State tough.....it looks good, right? Hell yeah, and they know it. Last year they pasted Toledo at home, 57-14. This year they'll do close to the same on the road. Don't buck these Broncos!

                                    As always, best of luck.
                                    Harry
                                    I tailed u on this game. GL on the rest of the picks!
                                    Comment
                                    • Harry N. Lloyd
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-26-08
                                      • 4810

                                      #19
                                      There's little question that Coach Peterson of Boise St. is quite aware what the Vegas spread is on his games......and he wants to cover the impost. Why? Not because he's betting on it (like Pete Rose) and not because his booster's are betting the games (like Barry Switzer and Jackie Sherrill used to do their boys a favor back in the day.) Coach Peterson does it to impress the BCS computers. It's his only chance to rise in the polls and potentially not get shut out of the big games at season's end.
                                      Comment
                                      • gshock1
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 12-04-09
                                        • 5366

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Harry N. Lloyd
                                        There's little question that Coach Peterson of Boise St. is quite aware what the Vegas spread is on his games......and he wants to cover the impost. Why? Not because he's betting on it (like Pete Rose) and not because his booster's are betting the games (like Barry Switzer and Jackie Sherrill used to do their boys a favor back in the day.) Coach Peterson does it to impress the BCS computers. It's his only chance to rise in the polls and potentially not get shut out of the big games at season's end.
                                        Great post. I just summed up what you said from a whinos thread claiming BSU ran up the score.

                                        Comment
                                        • porterkid69
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 03-17-08
                                          • 228

                                          #21
                                          Harry, Thanks for the plays.
                                          Comment
                                          • Harry N. Lloyd
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-26-08
                                            • 4810

                                            #22
                                            Boyz,

                                            Not gonna release an official "Total Package" this week but I will personally make the following plays......

                                            NEBRASKA - UNDER 55
                                            MICHIGAN - UNDER 62-
                                            KENTUCKY - OVER 40-
                                            FLORIDA STATE - OVER 55
                                            ALABAMA - UNDER 55-

                                            Good luck.
                                            Comment
                                            • Giant Rebels
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 10-09-10
                                              • 289

                                              #23
                                              Love Oklahoma and Over against Flor ST. Lets get it.
                                              Comment
                                              • cmatth1326
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-18-08
                                                • 761

                                                #24
                                                N. Ill. Not sure why I took this. Hope you're right.
                                                Comment
                                                • Harry N. Lloyd
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-26-08
                                                  • 4810

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by cmatth1326
                                                  N. Ill. Not sure why I took this. Hope you're right.
                                                  Oops, missed the boat on this game. Still eked out a small profit for the week. We'll start studying for next week.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • allidoiswin89
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 03-22-11
                                                    • 915

                                                    #26
                                                    how did you make a profit lol....you went .500....i guess your book offers you +odds on all lines lol
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Harry N. Lloyd
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-26-08
                                                      • 4810

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by allidoiswin89
                                                      how did you make a profit lol....you went .500....i guess your book offers you +odds on all lines lol
                                                      Not interested in having one of those threads where it's debatable what my record is, but with a double play (I make on per week) on USC, I finished 5-4.......and 3-2 on the totals.....
                                                      Comment
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