Fishmonger 2011-12

[fishmonger]

Here it goes fellas. Should of played a heavy card on thursday but got caught up doing yard work and said screw it and laid off the action. Would of went 3-1, but then bet the prime time game, UNLV +35. 1-0 is better than 0-1 I guess.
But Now here comes the "official plays". No waffling. If I post it, I already have the betting ticket. Not this bullshit of I got Team A and then an hour later I switched it to Team B. I like playing weird games and shit dogs. Not many favs. Made one game of the year bet TCU +14.5 at boise. So here we go.

Howard +30.5 No way should a 2-10 MAC team be a 30 point fav to any team. I know howard is garbage and over half the people on the forum could play for them but same goes for Eastern Michigan.

UTEP -17 (-120) Mike price usually puts out a semi respectable team at home. UTEP returning a lot of starters on defense. I can see a 28-7 turn out for this.

New Mexico +7 (-120) Just fading everyone on this one. Just seems to easy to take CSU on this and that's why I took New Mexico. They are horrible, this and that, yada yada yada. Everyone has the same thoughts on this game. No game is free money.

Don't know if this counts but bet my buddy Richmond +14 against Duke. He's a huge Duke fan and gave me +14 when the line opened at +8. I'll take 6 free points on any bet. So don't count it if you want because I don't think you can get the same line I got but it's still going down as a play for me.

Good luck!

[CBASS]

GL fishmonger! Good stuff man and hope you cash them.

[fishmonger]

Howard bet was canceled. It doesn't even have the line up for the rescheduled time. Checked 5dimes and BetOnline. So scratching it off the card since I have no action on it.

[305GURU]

GL

[fishmonger]

WV/Marshall under 56 small play for the in-game under.(canceled)

[fishmonger]

Got another bet canceled! I guess it's for the better. Would of loss the Howard bet by a couple points and the offense of WV started scoring points. Oh well. It is what it is.

Got these in early, before the line moves.

Stanford -18.5 Duke looked like shit versus Richmond and Stanford looked to good against SJSU. SJSU has a better defense than Duke. This line will sky rocket till it's a loser. Or maybe not. I can see it going to 24. Only thing Duke has going for them is Stanford has to travel cross country to play this game.

UL Lafayette +10 Was waiting for the line to go up a little to get the extra hook but was moving down to 9.5 at other spots so I pulled the trigger before it moved off 10. No way Kent should be a 10 point fav to this team. UL scored some points against OKST and I can see them doing the same against Kent. They should keep it close.

[FrattyCapper22]

I like Stanford for sure

[fishmonger]

Miami +4 Maryland was very mediocre last year beating average teams. I'm taking the athletes of Miami to do their thing. To fast for Maryland.

[fishmonger]

Arizona +23 (in-game)they should stop the bleeding and get within three scores.

[fishmonger]

UNLV +14 Washington st killed a 1-10 FCS team that anyone could. Unlv impressed me with the running game they showed against wisconsin. The should keep it close with the run game.

Fresno st +28.5 seems like to many points for a fresno team that likes to play the dog role. I don't think that they are THAT bad.

ND -3 (-115) ND had five turnovers but out out gained SF. Michigan caused 3 turnovers and barely out gained a weak W. Michigan team. There is a reason why ND is still favored in this game.

[CBASS]

GL to you fish

[SpeedPro]

aggieshawn told me you won the other night and he won the next night. Nice. I need to get a win soon!

[SpeedPro]

Oh yeah is this your 2011 thread for picks?

[fishmonger]

Yeah I won then pissed away the poker free play of 600 points. I wish it was a sportsbook free play. But this is my pick thread for 2011. Haven't really done to much. I should have a solid card this weekend. You got a thread for your picks?

[fishmonger]

New Mexico +21 been waiting all week to get past 21 but it wouldn't budge. So I'll take 21. New Mexico could surprise this Tech team. Were only out gained by 60 yards in last years blow out. New Mexico looked good in their loss to CSU and with the pistol being the new offense for Tech will chew up clock. An upset would not surprise me.

SDSU -5 I could get burned in this one. But WSU has beaten no one and this is their first road game. I will jump on the WSU bandwagon if they win but not just yet. Went against the line movement but I think those people are already on the WSU bandwagon.

Clemson -3(-120) Auburn on the road and hasn't really showed me anything. Vegas opened this line at 7. I don't think they are 4 points off.

New Mexico St -3(-115) Utep has a horrid defense and the qb is out. I just hope this isn't a let down game for NMST after beating Minny.

[SpeedPro]

No let me go ahead and start one.

[fishmonger]

Arizona +9.5 (ingame)

[fishmonger]

Got on these early before the lines moved. Hope I did the right thing.

USC +3

Missouri +21

Fresno -6

[fishmonger]

UL Lafayette +17.5 was hoping for a couple more points but saw it jumping up and down off 17 and 17.5 so pulled the trigger at 17.5 could be a low scoring grind it out type game and will take the points.

[fishmonger]

Memphis +21.5 I know memphis is garbage but to lay that many on the road is ridiculous. I did some real back logging of smu on the road. The last time they beat an opponent on the road by more than 21 was 1998. The last time they covered a spread of more than 21 on the road was 1984!!! A road fav of 21 is reserved for the likes of the bamas, boises, and wisconsins of college football. And sometimes they don't cover that spread! SMU is no way playing that class of football.

[fishmonger]

New Mexico +6 An FCS team favored over a FBS team??? I know New Mexico sucks but they are in two separate divisions of football. I wanted to bet the SHIT out of this game but just couldn't do it. But I still bet it. Just on FBS vs FCS. I know upsets are more common now with FCS teams vs FBS teams and that's alright. But to lay almost a touchdown on the road? New Mexico doesn't even have to win for me to cover. They just got to keep close to an FCS team at HOME! It just doesn't make any dam sense.

[fishmonger]

Should of waited on Missouri, Memphis and Fresno lines. Hope I don't get fukked.

[fishmonger]

UCF +1.5 just to make watching this game better. No real reason.

[CBASS]

Good luck to you Fish

[fishmonger]

Good luck to you Fish

Thanks, just been treading water lately. Got a big card this week. Taking alot of no love dogs.

[SpeedPro]

ok here is my thread in NFL

SpeedPro 2011 Picks

[fishmonger]

I feel like I've been on the wrong side of so many bad beat football games. Miami vs Maryland, ND vs Michigan, and now UCF vs BYU. I don't mind losing but to lose in those fashions just sucks and I've been on the wrong side of all of them.

[SpeedPro]

I feel ya. I did pretty good this weekend but mostly with the in-game playing I've been doing. Check out my spreadsheet when you get a chance.

[fishmonger]

Pitt +3 wanted to get 3.5 but I don't think it will show up so I got it at 3. Still happy with the number. South Florida really hasn't been tested. ND gave them the game and they have played nobodies at home ever since. They played like shit and still won at ND. Well the offense played like shit. I think that this road game will test them for the first time this season. Pitt has had a tough outing in the past couple games and should be ready to bounce back from their short comings.

[fishmonger]

SJSU +4 Very under rated team here. I think the defense will keep them in this game.

ECU +7 Look ahead spot last week against UAB. This game is the highlight of their season. Night games in Greenville are hard to play at.

Army -7 Tulane is garbage. Duke ran all over this team. Army should do the same.

[MartinBlank]

Good luck this weekend Monger....

Nice hit on Pitt!! Keep it rolling.

[SpeedPro]

I taking Army with you.

[fishmonger]

SJSU +11.5 was hoping to get more but saw the line dropping and took it before it got bet down any further. SJSU a very under rated team. And BYU is not that good but they get lucky.

[treytb8]

On SJSU pick with you, no way BYU should be laying 11.5 at this point in there season.
What you think about Georgia pick?

[fishmonger]

I really don't bet that many sec games but I would lean towards tenn. Georgia has not impressed me this season and has not had a road test this season. This will be their first. If you are leaning towards tenn i would wait because I would bet that the line will go up because of the false hype georgia has received.