TheGOAT's 2011 season picks...

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  • TheGOAT13
    SBR High Roller
    • 08-30-11
    • 145

    #36
    Looking great now....Sitting at 62% and +52.5 Units (+5,250)

    Today's Plays:

    8 Units : UGA -5.5- I've had people tell me I'm a UGA fan in other threads, not the case at all....Born and raised in Denver, I'm a diehard Colorado fan....Last year I bet against UGA almost every week but this year they have been big time undervalued. And I have been right to bet them as they are 7-3-1 ATS. Pretty simple here, UGA has biggest OL in CF or NFL and GT is big time undersized. GT is one of worst teams in country against the run, and when healthy UGA has a solid stable of backs. The size of UGA's DL should disrupt timing of GT's option. To those saying UGA will have no motivation and this will be GT's super bowl, the history doesn't support your theory. It will the exact same situation as in 02,03,05 and UGA went 3-0 ATS in those 3 years. Should be an easy cover today, just too big of a mismatch

    6 Units: Vandy -1.5- Vandy is the most underrated team in the nation since starting Jordan Rodgers. Should have beat UT, and Ark. Blew UK out and played UGA close. Also gave Bama all they wanted for 2.5 quarters. Wake is solid but Rodgers will be the key to a 10-17 pt Vandy win. They are fighting for a bowl birth and will have some anger to get out after the UT game

    4 Units: Tenn -7- Tyler Bray is back and they are a different team with him in there. Their D isn't terrible and should be enough to keep a bad UK offense from scoring much. Bray will allow UT to put up some Pts and UT should win 31-13....Also UK's strength is their Run D, as they showcase one of the nations best LBs in Danny Trevathon. UTs running running game isn't their strength so I see them going to the air early and often which will limit Trevathon's impact.

    3 Units: UVA +5.5- UVA is coming off 4 is a row and more than anything they are playing great D. I expect it to hamper VTs running and keep the game very close, maybe even an upset. Not a very big unit play but IMO, this line is slightly off.

    3 Units: Clemson +3.5- I usually don't take ACC vs SEC but I have to here. Clemson's passing attack will be to much for USC to handle in this one. USCe's offense just will not be able to keep pace without Garcia, Lattimore and with an Alshon Jeffery that hasn't been able to stay out of the buffet line and is looking fat and slow out there.

    As Always GLTA.
    Comment
    • TheGOAT13
      SBR High Roller
      • 08-30-11
      • 145

      #37
      Gonna add a 5 unit 6 pt teaser on UGA pk/ Tenn -1

      GLTA
      Comment
      • TheGOAT13
        SBR High Roller
        • 08-30-11
        • 145

        #38
        adding a 5 unit play on the OVER in the USCE/Clemson game @50.5
        Comment
        • TheGOAT13
          SBR High Roller
          • 08-30-11
          • 145

          #39
          No locks today but some solid plays....ended last week like a chump but still up for the week so can't bitch too much.....

          UGA +13.5- 6 unit play
          Under in UGA/LSU 46.5 -5 Unit play
          Ok St -3(buy .5)- 4 unit play
          Texas +3- 4 unit play
          VT -6.5- 4 unit play

          GLTA
          Comment
          • TheGOAT13
            SBR High Roller
            • 08-30-11
            • 145

            #40
            Took it on the chin hard last week, but I'm back with a LOCK this week.

            Under 57 Navy/Army.....8 units.....GLTA
            Comment
            • TheGOAT13
              SBR High Roller
              • 08-30-11
              • 145

              #41
              Regular season ends +42.8 units

              Army/Navy 8 unit play ended season on a solid note...Ready to crush bowl season.

              First Bowl Play: TCU/La Tech Under 54- 5 Unit play.

              GLTA.
              Comment
              • TheGOAT13
                SBR High Roller
                • 08-30-11
                • 145

                #42
                3 plays for tonight:

                5 Units- FSU -3

                5 Units- Under Baylor/Wash 80

                4 Units- Baylor -9.5

                GLTA
                Comment
                • jameellionaire
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-18-10
                  • 187

                  #43
                  Thanks for posting your plays. Looks like you've had a nice season. Going to tail you tonight. Let's get this money!
                  Comment
                  • TheGOAT13
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 08-30-11
                    • 145

                    #44
                    Wow, worst call of my life on the under....At least the other 2 covered to help save the embarrassment. Anytime I see point totals at 75 or above in bowl games I usually bet under b.c so most of the time teams come back after the holidays without their usual timing on offense but looks like the Ds just didnt bother to even show up last night. I had it capped at 41-28. Oh well. Time to get serious about these bowls and get my head out of my ass.

                    Got some plays for today but looking at tomorrows lines it should be my biggest bowl day this season. I see a couple of lines tomorrow that are WAYY off.

                    Todays plays- Only one play I feel great about and thats MSU, the other are mostly plays that I feel have value. Ms St is not a bad football team, they kept it close with LSU and Bama for most of the game, and you have to love the matchup against Wake. Wake finished the season by getting their doors blown off to a Vandy team that is very comparable to MS St. Also, look how the ACC has look thus far in bowls. UNC got their sh*t kicked in, FSU won but looked like crap doing it. The difference in conferences in huge here. The ACC Champs Clemson looked like a mid major and was totally dominated against South Car, but turns around the next week and blows out VT? The last week of the season we saw 4 SEC V ACC matchups and the SEC went 3-1 with 3 blowouts....The lone win for FSU came against UF, but FSU only gained 90 total yards in that game. That wasn't a typo...They were just given the game buy a UF QB that could barely walk and kept throwing them picks. I just don't think ppl quite realize how different these 2 conferences are. MSST rolls 34- 13 in this one.



                    7 Units- Miss St -7

                    5 Units- BYU/Tulsa Over 57- Everyone knows how great Tulsa's offense is with Kinne but a lot of people haven't realized just how good BYU is playing on O since they made the QB switch. Neither D is anything better than average or slightly above, in fact they have both struggled when faced with quality QBs....Pretty good value bet.

                    4 Units- Iowa +14- OU was picked to play in the MNC game and now they are playing Iowa in the toilet bowl....I just don't see them fired up enough to cover 14...They have a history of not playing their best in bowl games under Stoops. Wouldn't shock me to see Iowa win straight up.

                    2 Units- Iowa St +1- just a slight value bet, nothing more.
                    Comment
                    • TheGOAT13
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 08-30-11
                      • 145

                      #45
                      Line just went from 57 to 60 on the Over bet...Wow, still like it though, maybe a slight downgrade.
                      Comment
                      • jaeguyoon
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-27-11
                        • 992

                        #46
                        with u on the mississippi bet. let's get em
                        Comment
                        • TheGOAT13
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 08-30-11
                          • 145

                          #47
                          Gonna add 4 units on under 49 in the MS St game. GLTA
                          Comment
                          • TheGOAT13
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 08-30-11
                            • 145

                            #48
                            LOL, all I can do is laugh at the MS St and Iowa games. Can't cap one better than I did on Ms St....Sometimes sh*t happens though.

                            Todays Plays:

                            8 Unit Play- Vandy -2

                            7 Unit Play- Utah +2.5

                            7 Unit Play- Auburn -3

                            4 Unit Play- Texas AM -9

                            GLTA
                            Comment
                            • TheGOAT13
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 08-30-11
                              • 145

                              #49
                              LOL, all I can do is laugh at the MS St and Iowa games. Can't cap one better than I did on Ms St....Sometimes sh*t happens though.

                              Todays Plays:

                              8 Unit Play- Vandy -2

                              7 Unit Play- Utah +2.5

                              7 Unit Play- Auburn -3

                              4 Unit Play- Texas AM -9

                              GLTA
                              Comment
                              • TheGOAT13
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 08-30-11
                                • 145

                                #50
                                Big Plays today...

                                10 Units- Georgia -3

                                8 Units- Georgia/MSU Under49.5

                                7 Units- SoCarolina -3

                                6 Units- UF -2.5

                                4 Units Houston -6.5

                                4 units- Under 46 in SoCar/Neb

                                GLTA....Finishing the bowl season with a bang
                                Comment
                                • TheGOAT13
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 08-30-11
                                  • 145

                                  #51
                                  5 unit play on Michigan -3 tonight. GLTA
                                  Comment
                                  • TheGOAT13
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 08-30-11
                                    • 145

                                    #52
                                    6 Unit play on Clemson -3 tonight.
                                    Comment
                                    • TheGOAT13
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 08-30-11
                                      • 145

                                      #53
                                      4 unit play on Ark -8.5.
                                      Comment
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