Currently a student in college but NCAAF and NFL capping takes up the majority of my free time; its my passion and hobby and I have been an avid sports fan my entire life. This is my second year betting on football but last year I had good success (especially NFL) but I'm learning to bet appropriately attempting to maximize possible profit. I like to analyze line movement and incorporate a feel aspect for the game because stats on paper do not always tell the story and most of all I treat this like my job and try to bet as professionally as possible! Follow my picks and we can see what I can do and good luck to all this football season!
- Using sportsbook for lines
- Always appreciate input from others or differing opinions up for debate
- I will be betting small as I did last year but hope to grow financially and make bigger wagers
First Game Analysis (More to Come)
North Texas @ Florida International -14 O/U 54
Line Movement
- Line opened at 11/12 depending on book and public has been on FIU raising it up to 14 1/2. I saw slight RLM on some sites lowering it down to 13 1/2 probably tempting more money on FIU in my opinion but my line now lays at 14. The O/U line has raised a little bit and has been favored heavily on the public at percentages around 80% probably because of the lousy defense of North Texas a year ago.
Preview
-Dan McCarney takes over the head coaching job at North Texas attempting to rejuvenate the Mean Green squad that was 3-9 a year ago. He had success at previous program at Iowa State and lots of coaching experience in the college football world. The North Texas offense should come out pounding the football putting the ball in the hands of senior RB Lance Dunbar who averaged over 5 yards a carry a year ago was preseason co-pick for Sun Belt player of the year; furthermore with inexperienced sophomore QB Derek Thompson under center, coach McCarney should look to limit passing attempts if it remains competitive in the game. 7 returners come back the the defensive unit that struggled a year ago but should show improvement. The secondary looks like the strongest part of the unit that look to slow down last years Sun Belt player of the year T.Y. Hilton. Florida International coming off the schools first bowl win a year ago has high hopes for this under their coach who received a contract extension till 2016. The Panthers should also look to have an offensive attack focused primarily on the ground with all top four rushers returning from a year ago and attacking presumably the weakest part of the North Texas defensive unit. QB Wesley Carroll had solid numbers a year ago and experience. The offensive line returns only two starters.
Analysis/Pick
- Florida International is facing a position that is unknown to the program picked to win the conference in preseason polls. The pressure is clearly on the Panthers opening up the season with a conference game. FIU blew out North Texas a year ago but the attitude has changed in the Mean Green locker room with the hiring of Coach McCarney and I expect them to come out firing and pressuring the FIU offense with a new aggressive defensive scheme. If North Texas's secondary plays strong I can see this becoming a hard-nosed physical game with both team heavily running the ball keeping the clock moving. I like North Texas with the 14 points and under of 54 (which public has hammered).
North Texas +14 5 Units
Under 54 5 Units
- Using sportsbook for lines
- Always appreciate input from others or differing opinions up for debate
- I will be betting small as I did last year but hope to grow financially and make bigger wagers
First Game Analysis (More to Come)
North Texas @ Florida International -14 O/U 54
Line Movement
- Line opened at 11/12 depending on book and public has been on FIU raising it up to 14 1/2. I saw slight RLM on some sites lowering it down to 13 1/2 probably tempting more money on FIU in my opinion but my line now lays at 14. The O/U line has raised a little bit and has been favored heavily on the public at percentages around 80% probably because of the lousy defense of North Texas a year ago.
Preview
-Dan McCarney takes over the head coaching job at North Texas attempting to rejuvenate the Mean Green squad that was 3-9 a year ago. He had success at previous program at Iowa State and lots of coaching experience in the college football world. The North Texas offense should come out pounding the football putting the ball in the hands of senior RB Lance Dunbar who averaged over 5 yards a carry a year ago was preseason co-pick for Sun Belt player of the year; furthermore with inexperienced sophomore QB Derek Thompson under center, coach McCarney should look to limit passing attempts if it remains competitive in the game. 7 returners come back the the defensive unit that struggled a year ago but should show improvement. The secondary looks like the strongest part of the unit that look to slow down last years Sun Belt player of the year T.Y. Hilton. Florida International coming off the schools first bowl win a year ago has high hopes for this under their coach who received a contract extension till 2016. The Panthers should also look to have an offensive attack focused primarily on the ground with all top four rushers returning from a year ago and attacking presumably the weakest part of the North Texas defensive unit. QB Wesley Carroll had solid numbers a year ago and experience. The offensive line returns only two starters.
Analysis/Pick
- Florida International is facing a position that is unknown to the program picked to win the conference in preseason polls. The pressure is clearly on the Panthers opening up the season with a conference game. FIU blew out North Texas a year ago but the attitude has changed in the Mean Green locker room with the hiring of Coach McCarney and I expect them to come out firing and pressuring the FIU offense with a new aggressive defensive scheme. If North Texas's secondary plays strong I can see this becoming a hard-nosed physical game with both team heavily running the ball keeping the clock moving. I like North Texas with the 14 points and under of 54 (which public has hammered).
North Texas +14 5 Units
Under 54 5 Units
