***The Knuckleballer's 2011-2012 NCAAF Tracking Thread***

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  • TheKnuckleballer
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-21-09
    • 351

    #36
    Comment
    • TheKnuckleballer
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-21-09
      • 351

      #37
      December 24, 2011

      Overall Record (145-152-4) -15 Units
      *****5 Unit Picks***** (4-2) 9 Units
      ****4 Unit Picks**** (11-5-1) 21.6 Units
      ***3 Unit Picks*** (19-19-2) -6.3 Units
      **2 Unit Picks** (61-66) -23.2 Units
      *1 Unit Picks* (50-60-1) -16.1 Units

      Total Unit Based Record (293-306.9-1.1) -15 Units
      Risk Adj. Winning % (48.75%)


      Merry Christmas! Today, I have just one small pick on tap as we gear up for the meat of the Bowl schedule starting next week. My system has today's game capped at Southern Miss -4.5. Line movement has made Nevada +9 a 2 Unit Pick. The public is known for short term memory bias. Thus, the only game bettors remember is Southern Miss knocking off Houston in the Conference USA Championship. Take advantage of this value pick. Good luck!

      **2 Unit Pick**
      Nevada +9
      Comment
      • TheKnuckleballer
        SBR Sharp
        • 09-21-09
        • 351

        #38
        Week 2 of Bowl Season

        Overall Record (146-152-4) -13 Units
        *****5 Unit Picks***** (4-2) 9 Units
        ****4 Unit Picks**** (11-5-1) 21.6 Units
        ***3 Unit Picks*** (19-19-2) -6.3 Units
        **2 Unit Picks** (62-66) -21.2 Units
        *1 Unit Picks* (50-60-1) -16.1 Units
        Total Unit Based Record (295-306.9-1.1) -13 Units
        Risk Adj. Winning % (48.92%)


        I hope everyone had a Merry Christmas! We made a little progress last week, but this week should be very profitable. On Friday, my system has the Oklahoma v. Iowa game capped at Oklahoma -6. Take Iowa at +13.5 and enjoy picking up 4 Units as we head into the weekend. Good luck!

        ****4 Unit Pick****
        Iowa +13.5

        **2 Unit Picks**
        Western Michigan +3
        Washington +9.5
        Rutgers -1.5
        Virginia 3

        *1 Unit Picks*
        Northwestern +10
        Cincinnati +1.5
        Comment
        • TheKnuckleballer
          SBR Sharp
          • 09-21-09
          • 351

          #39
          January 2, 2012

          Overall Record (146-154-4) -17.4 Units
          *****5 Unit Picks***** (4-2) 9 Units
          ****4 Unit Picks**** (11-5-1) 21.6 Units
          ***3 Unit Picks*** (19-19-2) -6.3 Units
          **2 Unit Picks** (62-68) -25.6 Units
          *1 Unit Picks* (50-60-1) -16.1 Units

          Total Unit Based Record (295-311.3-1.1) -17.4 Units
          Risk Adj. Winning % (48.57%)


          Due to time constraints, I have decided to go ahead and post my picks for January 2nd. Good luck!

          **2 Unit Pick**
          Stanford +4

          *1 Unit Pick*
          Michigan State +3.5
          Comment
          • TheKnuckleballer
            SBR Sharp
            • 09-21-09
            • 351

            #40
            Rest of the Bowl Season

            Overall Record (150-157-4) -19.1 Units
            *****5 Unit Picks***** (4-2) 9 Units
            ****4 Unit Picks**** (11-6-1) 17.2 Units
            ***3 Unit Picks*** (19-19-2) -6.3 Units
            **2 Unit Picks** (64-69) -23.8 Units
            *1 Unit Picks* (52-61-1) -15.2 Units

            Total Unit Based Record (301-319-1.1) -19.1 Units
            Risk Adj. Winning % (48.46%)


            There is no way to get back in the black now, but I do have a nice 5 Unit Pick on tap for tomorrow. My system has West Virginia beating Clemson by at least 1 point. Take West Virginia at +3 and enjoy the game. Good luck!

            *****5 Unit Pick*****
            West Virginia +3

            **2 Unit Picks**
            Kansas State +7.5
            Arkansas State -1.5
            Comment
            • TheKnuckleballer
              SBR Sharp
              • 09-21-09
              • 351

              #41
              2011-2012 College Football Wrap Up

              Overall Record (151-159-4) -18.5 Units
              *****5 Unit Picks***** (5-2) 14 Units
              ****4 Unit Picks**** (11-6-1) 17.2 Units
              ***3 Unit Picks*** (19-19-2) -6.3 Units
              **2 Unit Picks** (64-71) -28.2 Units
              *1 Unit Picks* (52-61-1) -15.2 Units

              Total Unit Based Record (306-323.4-1.1) -18.5 Units
              Risk Adj. Winning % (48.53%)


              Last season wasn't pretty, but I have made some much needed adjustments to my handicapping system as we prepare for another exciting season of football. The primary difference you will see this season is less picks. Our highest rated picks (4 Units and 5 Units) were an astounding 16-8-1 with 31.2 Units in profit. We will be eliminating many of the 1 to 3 Unit Picks and replacing those with 1st half picks, etc... that are related to our highest rated games. I look forward to reading everyones posts as the 2012-2013 College Football Season gets started this week. Good luck!
              Comment
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