Gamble's NCAAF Plays/Talk

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  • gamble
    SBR MVP
    • 06-30-10
    • 1087

    #1
    Gamble's NCAAF Plays/Talk
    Ok NCAAF is a much better sport for me, along with NCAAB, gonna post my plays in here and talk some through, all comments are encouraged

    starting us off with my team here - minus the points

    MIZZOU -20.5 (2.2u to win 2u)

    mizzou pounded miami last year and honestly franklin won't be a huge step down from gabbert. gabbert was always more of an nfl qb, couldn't run this offense to his capabilities. also losing aldon smith on the line won't hurt too bad, as our line is stacked this year, I expect one of the best lines in the country to terrorize this undersized MAC O-Line. Mizzou should jump on them early and often in this one

    TEXAS A&M/SMU OVER 57 (2.2u to win 2u)

    been reading about this game, sorry if i repeat some of it. SMU runs a very fast paced offense and return 10 (i believe) of their starters on O. This will give more time for both teams to score and I think SMU should be able to score some points here as A&M adjusts without stud Von Miller. A&M should have no problem scoring on this soft SMU defense as Tannehil and company will put up some points.

    will probably add more tonight as well
  • gamble
    SBR MVP
    • 06-30-10
    • 1087

    #2
    looking at the cuse -6.5 and the kent/westkent over as well, any thoughts?
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    • shopbar picks
      SBR MVP
      • 12-08-10
      • 2157

      #3
      been looking at unlv. This match up in the past has been closer, than the 36.5 points. I have a hard time playing O/U`s til later in the season. But like your over pick
      Comment
      • gamble
        SBR MVP
        • 06-30-10
        • 1087

        #4
        yea i don't think i could play wisky here, i may just lay off that game, too many unknowns
        Comment
        • shopbar picks
          SBR MVP
          • 12-08-10
          • 2157

          #5
          good luck this season.
          Comment
          • gamble
            SBR MVP
            • 06-30-10
            • 1087

            #6
            Originally posted by shopbar picks
            good luck this season.
            thank you sir, good luck to you as well

            ps think i told you already but love the avatar
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            • shopbar picks
              SBR MVP
              • 12-08-10
              • 2157

              #7
              thanx. Would like to redesign it for ohio state.
              Comment
              • gamble
                SBR MVP
                • 06-30-10
                • 1087

                #8
                Originally posted by shopbar picks
                thanx. Would like to redesign it for ohio state.
                ha wouldn't mind that one either

                gonna add some more to my tamu/smu over

                TEXAS A&M/SMU OVER 57 (1.65u to win 1.5u)

                which would make it a total of 3.85u to win 3.5u
                Comment
                • gamble
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-30-10
                  • 1087

                  #9
                  added a couple more saturday plays

                  OKLAHOMA -25 (1.65u to win 1.5u)

                  last years game ou won 45-0 with the turnover margin being even, I don't expect it to be even again and oklahoma returns just about all of their firepower on offense. should be a blowout

                  TEXAS -24.5 (2.2u to win 2u)

                  Rice is just a bad team in this game, at Rice last year Texas beat em by 25, this was without their new rb recruit macolm brown. brown should take some pressure off of gilbert, who has to improve this year as he was awful last year. texas defense should shut down rice at home in this one
                  Comment
                  • gamble
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-30-10
                    • 1087

                    #10
                    ok games for tonight, here we go

                    UNLV/WISCONSIN OVER 56.5 (2.2u to win 2u)

                    like this one to go over tonight, wisconsin will move the ball on unlv and score plenty points, this one will depend on unlv scoring some. unlv should be able to punch in a couple scores here but i expect wisky to score 40+ and possibly a garbage td for unlv late

                    SYRACUSE - 6 (1.1u to win 1u)

                    wake is just not a good team in my opinion, they may improve because they return a decent chunk of players but this is a huge qb mismatch in this game. nassib had a solid year last year and will look to build on it (19tds/8int), wake's qb price on the other hands played pretty bad (7td's/8int). the cuse should be fired up at home on espn for this one

                    WESTERN KENTUCKY/KENTUCKY OVER 48 (1.1u to win 1u)

                    this game was an absolute shootout last year, and it probably won't have as many points as last year (93 total) but it should have enough to go over. western kentucky will rely on their stud rb rainey to move the ball and he should have some success as he did last year (184 yds 2 tds) and i expect kentucky to get to 30 in this game.

                    thoughts are welcome, good luck
                    Comment
                    • gamble
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-30-10
                      • 1087

                      #11
                      added another unit to wisky over, sorry for the edit.

                      playing
                      wisky over
                      cuse
                      kentucky over


                      thats probably it for tonight, good luck
                      Comment
                      • gamble
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-30-10
                        • 1087

                        #12
                        damn, i literally stopped following the cuse game cause i thought it was over, great comeback win for me there. counting the kentucky over as a loss, don't know what the hell happened there

                        RECAP FOR 9/1

                        UNLV/WISCONSIN OVER 56.5 (2.2u to win 2u)
                        SYRACUSE - 6 (1.1u to win 1u)
                        WESTERN KENTUCKY/KENTUCKY OVER 48 (1.1u to win 1u)

                        2-1 (+1.9u) YTD
                        good start to the year, on to the next day
                        Comment
                        • shopbar picks
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-08-10
                          • 2157

                          #13
                          nice hits. I played the over in wisky. and took unlv plus the points congrats
                          Comment
                          • gamble
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-30-10
                            • 1087

                            #14
                            ok been out of town all weekend, back to recap

                            MIZZOU -20.5 (2.2u to win 2u)

                            TEXAS A&M/SMU OVER 57 (2.2u to win 2u)
                            TEXAS A&M/SMU OVER 57 (1.65u to win 1.5u)
                            OKLAHOMA -25 (1.65u to win 1.5u)
                            TEXAS -24.5 (2.2u to win 2u)

                            3-1 for the weekend here, +4.8u

                            5-2 (+6.7u) YTD
                            Comment
                            • gamble
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-30-10
                              • 1087

                              #15
                              WEEK 2

                              gonna lock in stanford -21 but may buy out of that one, will discuss it more during the week

                              STANFORD -21 (1.1u to win 1u)
                              Comment
                              • gamble
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-30-10
                                • 1087

                                #16
                                OREGON -26.5 (2.2u to win 2u)

                                like oregon to bounce back here at home, should score plenty of points here, also will post more later
                                Comment
                                • shopbar picks
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-08-10
                                  • 2157

                                  #17
                                  GL gamble, nice hits last week.
                                  Comment
                                  • gamble
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-30-10
                                    • 1087

                                    #18
                                    thank you shopbar, good call on the wisconsin game as well
                                    Comment
                                    • gamble
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-30-10
                                      • 1087

                                      #19
                                      IOWA -6.5 (2.2u to win 2u)

                                      jumping on this before it gets to 7, iowa state looked terrible against I-AA opponent Northern Iowa last week, pulling it out in the last minute for a GW TD. Iowa's big lines will dominate Iowa State in this one, controlling the ball and opening lanes for Marcus Coker to pound through. Iowa pounded Texas Tech last week as well, a Big XII school that is around the same talent level of Iowa State. Iowa State is also breaking in a JC transfer QB which will take some time (I realize Iowa has a new QB as well)
                                      Comment
                                      • gamble
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 06-30-10
                                        • 1087

                                        #20
                                        SOUTHERN METHODIST -20 (1.65u to win 1.5u)

                                        USM looked bad at college station last week, they went down early and couldn't recover. Look for a bounce back game for them in a revenge spot as they lost SU to UTEP last year 28-14 in a game they called their ' worst effort of the season'. UTEP on the other hand looked pretty bad against I-AA foe Stony Brook as they did win, but were outgained by almost 200 yards on the ground. They have 5 new O-Line starters and it showed, I don't see them getting anything going against USM here, should be a 4TD ballgame IMO.
                                        Comment
                                        • WildcatNation
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 09-03-10
                                          • 209

                                          #21
                                          I agree 100% with you on the Iowa game .. bol
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                                          • gamble
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-30-10
                                            • 1087

                                            #22
                                            liking the over in the arizona ok state game, also like arizona as i think they will definitely score on ok state's soft defense (34 pts to ul lafayette i think). high total though so i'm not sure yet, anyone have a play there?
                                            Comment
                                            • gamble
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-30-10
                                              • 1087

                                              #23
                                              backin off that arizona ok state game a bit, not sure if i will play it.

                                              liking No Illinois at Kansas though, No Ill is solid returning their stud qb harnish, kansas looked terrible last week at mcneese state and they shouldnt fare much better here.

                                              liking ball state as well on the road at south florida, who 'lucked' into their win at ND last week. they should have lost that game as they were +5 in the TO margin, and got outgained by over 250 yards, no way they should be favored by 3 tds

                                              may lock these in tonight
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                                              • gamble
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 06-30-10
                                                • 1087

                                                #24
                                                forgot one more, the tennessee over as well, any thoughts are welcomed
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                                                • gamble
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-30-10
                                                  • 1087

                                                  #25
                                                  NO ILLINOIS -6.5 (1.65 to win 1.5u)
                                                  BALL STATE +19.5 (2.2u to win 2u)
                                                  TENNESSEE/CINCINNATI OVER 53.5 (1.65u to win 1.5u)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • gamble
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-30-10
                                                    • 1087

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by WildcatNation
                                                    I agree 100% with you on the Iowa game .. bol
                                                    thank you sir, should be a winner, good luck to you
                                                    Comment
                                                    • gamble
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-30-10
                                                      • 1087

                                                      #27
                                                      NOTRE DAME -3.5 (1.65u to win 1.5u)

                                                      line is begging for the public to bet on michigan, have to go the other way here
                                                      Comment
                                                      • shopbar picks
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-08-10
                                                        • 2157

                                                        #28
                                                        like the smu play. Also like the over 65. arz/okst Thurs. Noc games are ususally high scoring affairs. Both teams score in bunches
                                                        Comment
                                                        • gamble
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-30-10
                                                          • 1087

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by shopbar picks
                                                          like the smu play. Also like the over 65. arz/okst Thurs. Noc games are ususally high scoring affairs. Both teams score in bunches
                                                          like the over as well, not sure if i'm playing it or not yet though. if i play anything it will be the over, just concerned zona might not score enough on the road, i'll probably play it small for action at the least, but i do like it as well
                                                          Comment
                                                          • gamble
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-30-10
                                                            • 1087

                                                            #30
                                                            knew zona wouldn't score enough on the road, pretty bad showing from them, hopefully nobody was on them tonight
                                                            Comment
                                                            • shopbar picks
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-08-10
                                                              • 2157

                                                              #31
                                                              what about your tigers fri nite?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • gamble
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 06-30-10
                                                                • 1087

                                                                #32
                                                                definitely not plaing az st, i think mizzou looked as bad as they're going to all year in week 1, franklin will get better, he was a stud recruit out of texas a year ago. if he plays better, mizzou has a chance to cover and win but i will probably just stay away from this game altogether though. mizzou has a couple injuries but they're positions of depth for us (wr, rb, dline) so that doesn't concern me, i feel like without week 1, this game would either be a pickem or mizzou would be favored, so that is basically why im not playin az state, plus i think mizzou plays better, but maybe i'm just a homer
                                                                Comment
                                                                • gamble
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 06-30-10
                                                                  • 1087

                                                                  #33
                                                                  do have a play for tonight though, like FLA INT against Louisville, Louisville really doesn't impress me that much. I like FIU's offense and TY Hilton is a good playmaker at WR that could give Louisville some problems tonight.

                                                                  FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL +3.5 (1.1u to win 1u)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Greyraptor
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 09-02-11
                                                                    • 610

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by gamble
                                                                    do have a play for tonight though, like FLA INT against Louisville, Louisville really doesn't impress me that much. I like FIU's offense and TY Hilton is a good playmaker at WR that could give Louisville some problems tonight.

                                                                    FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL +3.5 (1.1u to win 1u)
                                                                    Have to agree with you on this one Gamble. Wouldn't be a bit surprised if FIU wins it straight up.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • gamble
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 06-30-10
                                                                      • 1087

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Greyraptor
                                                                      Have to agree with you on this one Gamble. Wouldn't be a bit surprised if FIU wins it straight up.
                                                                      got this one, hope you played this one too

                                                                      FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL +3.5 (+1u)

                                                                      6-2 (+7.7u) YTD

                                                                      8 pending this weekend as well
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