Dexter's NCAAF 2011-2012

[Dexter]

(2.5u) tulsa +3 (added)

[Ab34]

Good work Dex keep it up

[jfk24]

nice work dex. really hard to believe tu covered..I'll take the win reluctantly..

[Dexter]

nice work dex. really hard to believe tu covered..I'll take the win reluctantly..

after the way that game started, im shocked. texas's offense was horrible. that gadget play TD got them going. they have a great defense - and thats what kept them in the game.

[suicidekings]

b/c houston has played nobody all year, and never faced an offense like this that can keep up with them. tulsa has 3 losses all year. okl, okl st and boise. all BCS teams.

The argument could be made that if both teams had played Houston's schedule that there could be two undefeated teams in this game. That's fair, however it doesn't translate into value on Tulsa, IMO. I disagree that Tulsa deserves all that much credit for their games against OU/OKSt/BSU because they got absolutely thrashed in all three, losing by an average of 26 points and being outscored in the first halves of those games 88-13. The remainder of their points came when the game was out of reach and their opponents didn't care. Those three high-powered passing attacks took advantage of Tulsa's fairly weak secondary (107th pass defense), and Keenum is definitely in the Moore/Jones/Weeden weight class. He's going to sit in the pocket behind his 16th ranked pass protection and have a lot of time to operate as Tulsa doesn't have much of a pass rush.

I don't really see how Tulsa's brutal losses to 3 top teams are any more meaningful than if they had huge wins over 3 weak FCS schools. Either way, the games were against teams that don't really compare.

[Dexter]

The argument could be made that if both teams had played Houston's schedule that there could be two undefeated teams in this game. That's fair, however it doesn't translate into value on Tulsa, IMO. I disagree that Tulsa deserves all that much credit for their games against OU/OKSt/BSU because they got absolutely thrashed in all three, losing by an average of 26 points and being outscored in the first halves of those games 88-13. The remainder of their points came when the game was out of reach and their opponents didn't care. Those three high-powered passing attacks took advantage of Tulsa's fairly weak secondary (107th pass defense), and Keenum is definitely in the Moore/Jones/Weeden weight class. He's going to sit in the pocket behind his 16th ranked pass protection and have a lot of time to operate as Tulsa doesn't have much of a pass rush.

I don't really see how Tulsa's brutal losses to 3 top teams are any more meaningful than if they had huge wins over 3 weak FCS schools. Either way, the games were against teams that don't really compare.

right, and if there were 2 undefeated teams in this game, tulsa would be the favorite. instead i am getting 3-3.5 pts on a home dog who only lost their games because they ran into college's elite.

you dont think being seasoned vs other top offenses/teams is meaningful? houston has never seen an offense like tulsa, and tulsa has seen 3 offenses that are just as good as houston's (and likely better). ive played sports my whole life, and prepping vs better competition makes you a better team. i played baseball and when we were 14 my coach would make us start the season in a 16 year old division to face better competition. we got our asses handed to us, but when we went back to face teams on our level, we destroyed them.

[AdaBarber]

Dex if I were to take this play I would take Texas with the points and the under. I would wait until game time because the public is pushing the spread upwards. It is at 8.5 right now. I am getting different outcomes on the total so that cancels that for me, but the line movement says go with the under. I will probably wait and see if I can get 9 and make a play with Texas. Texas A&M is overrated and Texas' defense has picked up lately.

We both got the win Dex. I took the game and you took the under! Good Job A Da and Dex!

[suicidekings]

right, and if there were 2 undefeated teams in this game, tulsa would be the favorite. instead i am getting 3-3.5 pts on a home dog who only lost their games because they ran into college's elite.

you dont think being seasoned vs other top offenses/teams is meaningful? houston has never seen an offense like tulsa, and tulsa has seen 3 offenses that are just as good as houston's (and likely better). ive played sports my whole life, and prepping vs better competition makes you a better team. i played baseball and when we were 14 my coach would make us start the season in a 16 year old division to face better competition. we got our asses handed to us, but when we went back to face teams on our level, we destroyed them.

Except in that analogy, the 14 year olds are finishing off their season with another game against the 16 year olds (with respect to Houston's passing game only). Most of what I predict about games falls apart fairly quickly in the game. I'm actually getting really excited to watch this one, as I expect it will be a great game. GL today Dex

[AdaBarber]

Eastern Michigan +19
Kent State +17
South Florida -3.5
Bowling Green +2.5
Toledo/Ball State Under 70.5

This what I am rolling with today Dex. I am waiting on the Iowa line to see if it goes up to 9.5. It is moving everywhere except at my spot.

[AdaBarber]

(2.5u) tulsa +3 (added)

I am leaning Tulsa Dex but I think this may come down to those 3 points. I am laying off. Let's go Tulsa.

[repski]

Eastern Michigan +19
Kent State +17
South Florida -3.5
Bowling Green +2.5
Toledo/Ball State Under 70.5

This what I am rolling with today Dex. I am waiting on the Iowa line to see if it goes up to 9.5. It is moving everywhere except at my book.

whoa....4 MAC games in one day...feelin lucky??

[AdaBarber]

whoa....4 MAC games in one day...feelin lucky??

I know right! I wish myself luck!

[Dexter]

Except in that analogy, the 14 year olds are finishing off their season with another game against the 16 year olds (with respect to Houston's passing game only). Most of what I predict about games falls apart fairly quickly in the game. I'm actually getting really excited to watch this one, as I expect it will be a great game. GL today Dex

like i said 39-37 Hou - lets hope for that.

[upscope]

great season dex.....enjoying the thread

[Dexter]

up to 79 now. love it....

[Dexter]

over is toast - tulsa cant get stopped 4th and 1 at the 20...

[AdaBarber]

If anyone wants to watch a game that isn't on tv you can go to firstrowsports.tv. Don't download anything. Just wait for it to load!

[Dexter]

lol - tulsa receiver fumbles at the 10.

should have went the other way and middled this once i saw 30mph winds. hou coach even just admitted its affecting play calls.

[r1kkie]

lol - tulsa receiver fumbles at the 10.

should have went the other way and middled this once i saw 30mph winds. hou coach even just admitted its affecting play calls.

This sucks...

[petermans23]

Hi,

Totally trust in Dexter. Made my biggest bet of the year on tulsa-houston over!

It´s 13-10 halftime. I have faith in Dexter. He knows what he is doing and went 5u on this game so lets hope it goes way over for second half.

I really need this one to cash. And Dexter would never go so big himself if he wasn´t sure this game would go over and cash.

What do you guys think? Isn´t this a sure casher second half?

[doogtonmai]

Second half Houston O 36.5 line looks great!

[Dexter]

Hi,

Totally trust in Dexter. Made my biggest bet of the year on tulsa-houston over!

It´s 13-10 halftime. I have faith in Dexter. He knows what he is doing and went 5u on this game so lets hope it goes way over for second half.

I really need this one to cash. And Dexter would never go so big himself if he wasn´t sure this game would go over and cash.

What do you guys think? Isn´t this a sure casher second half?

this is not going to cash - i am never "sure" of anything. i never talk like that.

the wind is too much of a factor.

[r1kkie]

Rough start on the day dex, Houston O is **** and N Illinois is a loss too.

[Dexter]

Rough start on the day dex, Houston O is **** and N Illinois is a loss too.

Thanks for the update

[Dexter]

tulsa's offense at home cant move the ball vs houston - mind blowing. their pass offense is disgusting

[FlaxMartin]

Can someone please call buffalos headcoach and tell him that they don´t have to run the ball on 1std own, 2nd down, 3rd down, 4th down and 5th down?

[mdfizzle]

tulsa's offense at home cant move the ball vs houston - mind blowing. their pass offense is disgusting

this... we will get our money back when we fade Houston in their bowl game.

[doogtonmai]

Second half Toledo O 33.5 even greater!

[r1kkie]

Damn, brutal day...

[Bs1194]

Wow, I can't believe that Toledo over hit

[r1kkie]

Wow, I can't believe that Toledo over hit

Sick! 17-21 in the fourth quarter. Why cant they do that in the first so we don't have to sweat it out in the last seconds.

[Dexter]

(1u) under w. virginia 58.5

[Dexter]

i have 2 plays booked for tomorrow and will likely only be adding a handful more plays. huge card in college hoops tomorrow and i am focusing on building that bankroll up. will accept the losing week in football. thank god the toledo game went over. could have been really ugly.

[Dexter]

Second half Houston O 36.5 line looks great!

Second half Toledo O 33.5 even greater!

good job buddy. hope you made most of it back.

[Dexter]

(1u) under arizona st 56