Way off on every line?

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  • TPowell
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-21-08
    • 18842

    #1
    Way off on every line?
    I have:
    Syracuse -8.5 at home against Wake Forest (-5.5)
    TCU -12.5 on the road against Baylor (-9)
    Boston College -4 at home against Northwestern (-5)
    USC -15 at home against Minnesota (-18)
    Notre Dame -10 at home against South Florida (-8.5)
    BYU -5 on the road against Ole Miss (-1)
    South Carolina -21.5 at home against East Carolina (-16)
    Boise State -7.5 on the road against Georgia (-2.5)
    Oregon -2 on the road against LSU (LSU -3)
    Maryland -2 at home against Miami FL (MIAMI -4)



    Out of 10 games, I see 8 of them being over a field goal off, line wise.

    Anybody have any opinions? South Carolina is a lock to win the SEC East this year IMO and Georgia is way overrated once again. Baylor still has zero defense as does Ole Miss. BYU will be very solid offensively this year.
  • TPowell
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-21-08
    • 18842

    #2
    ACC Rankings

    Virginia Tech
    Florida State
    North Carolina State
    Miami
    Maryland
    UNC (who knows)
    Clemson
    Boston College
    Georgia Tech
    Virginia
    Wake Forest
    Duke
    Comment
    • Bealz
      SBR Rookie
      • 08-13-09
      • 14

      #3
      Originally posted by TPowell
      I have:
      Syracuse -8.5 at home against Wake Forest (-5.5)
      TCU -12.5 on the road against Baylor (-9)
      Boston College -4 at home against Northwestern (-5)
      USC -15 at home against Minnesota (-18)
      Notre Dame -10 at home against South Florida (-8.5)
      BYU -5 on the road against Ole Miss (-1)
      South Carolina -21.5 at home against East Carolina (-16)
      Boise State -7.5 on the road against Georgia (-2.5)
      Oregon -2 on the road against LSU (LSU -3)
      Maryland -2 at home against Miami FL (MIAMI -4)



      Out of 10 games, I see 8 of them being over a field goal off, line wise.

      Anybody have any opinions? South Carolina is a lock to win the SEC East this year IMO and Georgia is way overrated once again. Baylor still has zero defense as does Ole Miss. BYU will be very solid offensively this year.
      SC has a big game with UGeo. the next week, only reason I can see to hold off on that line.
      Agree with Boise, Geo will be looking ahead at the toughest game on their schedule the next week. Richt is in trouble. Plus most of Geo.'s HFA is killed by the temperature controlled dome.
      LSU covers against Ore. The heat/humidity so far from Ore. is just a killer.
      Skip Holtz might keep SF close, but no way he wins outright on the *long* road!
      Comment
      • treytb8
        SBR High Roller
        • 07-24-11
        • 144

        #4
        tpowell how do you come up with your lines?
        Comment
        • TPowell
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-21-08
          • 18842

          #5
          Originally posted by Bealz
          SC has a big game with UGeo. the next week, only reason I can see to hold off on that line.
          Agree with Boise, Geo will be looking ahead at the toughest game on their schedule the next week. Richt is in trouble. Plus most of Geo.'s HFA is killed by the temperature controlled dome.
          LSU covers against Ore. The heat/humidity so far from Ore. is just a killer.
          Skip Holtz might keep SF close, but no way he wins outright on the *long* road!

          sorry guys, I didnt have USF the favorite, I had ND -10 and the line was -8.5

          The first team is favored unless noted so like the LSU and Miami game.

          Also, keep in mind this is STRICTLY based of power ratings and not on much else.
          Comment
          • iwantcougars
            SBR MVP
            • 09-29-09
            • 2156

            #6
            my local book has some shady lines, miami fl is @ -5.5. USC -20
            Comment
            • Inkwell77
              SBR MVP
              • 02-03-11
              • 3227

              #7
              Originally posted by TPowell
              I have:
              Syracuse -8.5 at home against Wake Forest (-5.5)
              TCU -12.5 on the road against Baylor (-9)
              Boston College -4 at home against Northwestern (-5)
              USC -15 at home against Minnesota (-18)
              Notre Dame -10 at home against South Florida (-8.5)
              BYU -5 on the road against Ole Miss (-1)
              South Carolina -21.5 at home against East Carolina (-16)
              Boise State -7.5 on the road against Georgia (-2.5)
              Oregon -2 on the road against LSU (LSU -3)
              Maryland -2 at home against Miami FL (MIAMI -4)



              Out of 10 games, I see 8 of them being over a field goal off, line wise.
              You're actually pretty close with the "Current" Vegas lines on most of those plays (Not the opening lines at the Stratosphere, but the current lines at both Cantor and Stratosphere)

              Notre Dame is -11 against South Florida
              Syracuse is -7 against against Wake
              TCU is -6.
              BC is -2 against Northwestern
              USC is -19.5 against Minn
              BYU is -2 against Miss
              South Car is -20 versus ECU
              Boise St is -3.5
              Oregon is -3
              Miami is -5

              So it looks like your Miami/Maryland, TCU/Baylor, Boise/Georgia and USC/Minn are the lines that may be off, but it's week 1 and everything is crazy! Your lines look pretty respectable.
              Comment
              • suicidekings
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-23-09
                • 9962

                #8
                Originally posted by TPowell
                I have:
                Syracuse -8.5 at home against Wake Forest (-5.5)
                TCU -12.5 on the road against Baylor (-9)
                Boston College -4 at home against Northwestern (-5)
                USC -15 at home against Minnesota (-18)
                Notre Dame -10 at home against South Florida (-8.5)
                BYU -5 on the road against Ole Miss (-1)
                South Carolina -21.5 at home against East Carolina (-16)
                Boise State -7.5 on the road against Georgia (-2.5)
                Oregon -2 on the road against LSU (LSU -3)
                Maryland -2 at home against Miami FL (MIAMI -4)
                This is what I have for these games. (Current 5Dimes line)

                Wake Forest @ Syracuse -5.5 (Syracuse -6)
                TCU -9 @ Baylor (TCU -7)
                Northwestern @ Boston College -1.5 (BC -3)
                Minnesota @ USC -20.5 (USC -20)
                USF @ Notre Dame -8 (ND -10.5)
                BYU -6.5 @ Ole Miss (BYU -2.5)
                East Carolina @ South Carolina -12 (SC -20.5)
                Boise State -1 @ Georgia [I'm counting it as a Georgia home game. True neutral field: Boise -5.5] (Boise -3.5)
                Oregon -1.5 @ LSU [This game is at Cowboy Stadium. If it was at LSU: LSU -4] (Oregon -1)
                Miami -5.5 @ Maryland (Miami -5.5)

                BYU and TCU definitely catch my eye as good plays among these. I definitely think LSU is being overvalued by a lot of people this season, but Oregon will not repeat their dominance of last year either. Not a good game to touch.
                Comment
                • DIRTYDIRTY
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-12-09
                  • 1144

                  #9
                  lookin 4 a good year tpowell is the shit!!!!!!!!!!!!!! made me good $ in the past TPowell are u gonna have a season long thread
                  Comment
                  • TPowell
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-21-08
                    • 18842

                    #10
                    I will def post a season long thread before the opening games. Still getting my numbers together, have a few teams done and the entire ACC right now. Have 2 weeks off starting next week that I'll use to finish things up
                    Comment
                    • bfour
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-14-08
                      • 690

                      #11
                      Best of luck to you this season T.
                      Comment
                      • andywend
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-20-07
                        • 4805

                        #12
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important]I have:[/color]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important]Syracuse -8.5 at home against Wake Forest (-5.5)[/color]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important]TCU -12.5 on the road against Baylor (-9)[/color]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important]Boston College -4 at home against Northwestern (-5)[/color]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important]USC -15 at home against Minnesota (-18)[/color]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important]Notre Dame -10 at home against South Florida (-8.5)[/color]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important]BYU -5 on the road against Ole Miss (-1)[/color]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important]South Carolina -21.5 at home against East Carolina (-16)[/color]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important]Boise State -7.5 on the road against Georgia (-2.5)[/color]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important]Oregon -2 on the road against LSU (LSU -3)[/color]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important]Maryland -2 at home against Miami FL (MIAMI -4)[/color]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important][/color]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important][/color]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important][/color]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important]Out of 10 games, I see 8 of them being over a field goal off, line wise. [/color]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important][/color]
                        [COLOR=#000000 !important]Anybody have any opinions? South Carolina is a lock to win the SEC East this year IMO and Georgia is way overrated once again. Baylor still has zero defense as does Ole Miss. BYU will be very solid offensively this year.[/color]
                        The college football season has not started yet. How can any team be a lock?


                        SBR, when are you going to fix this bug in your programming?
                        Comment
                        • thetrinity
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-25-11
                          • 22430

                          #13
                          south carolina east carolina game is in charlotte
                          Comment
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