With the season 1 month away it is time to start a new thread for the season I will make a new one every week so all the plays are on top.
Tweaking what we were working off last year
RLM PLAYS
1- Play games with more than 58% on one side
2- Only play games with points under 21
3- At least 1-2 points RLM
4- Watch crossing a 3 or 7
Questions to ask
1 Has the point spread moved since open
2 Is the spread moving with or against the action
3 Is there even % of bets on both sides
The Second System is a little different
1 Differential in team efficiency
2 Total Differential / Total Points
3 Then I come up with # of points per differential points
4 Then I have a common factor for the teams then we take that number and get what the line should be compared to what the line is.
5 Compare the line with the adjusted line and look at the games with the most disparity and you will get some off spreads.
Tweaking what we were working off last year
RLM PLAYS
1- Play games with more than 58% on one side
2- Only play games with points under 21
3- At least 1-2 points RLM
4- Watch crossing a 3 or 7
Questions to ask
1 Has the point spread moved since open
2 Is the spread moving with or against the action
3 Is there even % of bets on both sides
The Second System is a little different
1 Differential in team efficiency
2 Total Differential / Total Points
3 Then I come up with # of points per differential points
4 Then I have a common factor for the teams then we take that number and get what the line should be compared to what the line is.
5 Compare the line with the adjusted line and look at the games with the most disparity and you will get some off spreads.