I want to take Arkansas big, BUT

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    I want to take Arkansas big, BUT
    75-80% of the public is on the Razorbacks ML, depending on where you look.

    50-60% is on Arkansas plus the points.

    Line opened at -2.5 in favor of Ohio State, and is now -3.5 at some shops?

    Razorbacks are a public play, and worse, a public dog. If I don't see the sharp books scale back the Ohio State ML, I may lay off.
  • texhooper
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-05-09
    • 10001

    #2
    oh well. hogs win. who gives a f*ck about all that other shit, books aren't gonna give anything away with trademark line moves in a hugely wagered upon bowl game, you just gotta go with what you know dude. hogs...win...outright.
    Comment
    • beerman2619
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-24-09
      • 7752

      #3
      alot of the public was on Stanford tonight also.
      Comment
      • Cuse0323
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-09-09
        • 30169

        #4
        Same things going through my head. Big 10 has laid an egg, Arkansas seems like easy money but Ohio State is on a different level. Tough game to pick.
        Comment
        • Cuse0323
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-09-09
          • 30169

          #5
          Originally posted by beerman2619
          alot of the public was on Stanford tonight also.
          and how often does the public win
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by beerman2619
            alot of the public was on Stanford tonight also.
            Line moved accordingly.

            Stanford opened at -1 and was immediately pounded up to -3.

            I may just take tomorrow off, given I'm going to lay the hammer with Middle Tennessee State on Wednesday.
            Comment
            • astrodomer
              SBR MVP
              • 08-03-10
              • 1665

              #7
              hog fan here.....Ive picked every game correctly on them this season........Mallett usually lays a big egg in huge games......I went with my heart with the hogs which is a no no.....if you wanna make some money take ohio st. my gutt feels it......Ohio st wins this game and also covers......hogs were to tempting at that price and I bitt
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                Originally posted by astrodomer
                hog fan here.....Ive picked every game correctly on them this season........Mallett usually lays a big egg in huge games......I went with my heart with the hogs which is a no no.....if you wanna make some money take ohio st. my gutt feels it......Ohio st wins this game and also covers......hogs were to tempting at that price and I bitt
                Mallett is the key, and the guy worries me -- especially at crunch time. All the talent in the world, but he always seems to make the one bad throw that costs Arkansas.
                Comment
                • kylehen_son
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 09-08-06
                  • 354

                  #9
                  leaning heavy on the over 57 here, I feel it'll get driven up to 59-60 by tomorrow so it's safe to say you should lock it in tonight if you like it
                  Comment
                  • CBASS
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-22-10
                    • 2613

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Cuse0323
                    Same things going through my head. Big 10 has laid an egg, Arkansas seems like easy money but Ohio State is on a different level. Tough game to pick.

                    On a different level from what? THE Ohio State is THE most overrated team every year. They always prove it in their bowl games and people never learn.
                    Comment
                    • t-wizzle
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-18-09
                      • 38099

                      #11
                      Originally posted by CBASS
                      On a different level from what? THE Ohio State is THE most overrated team every year. They always prove it in their bowl games and people never learn.
                      I hate Ohio State but they came up big last year in the Rose Bowl.
                      Comment
                      • Cuse0323
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-09-09
                        • 30169

                        #12
                        Originally posted by CBASS
                        On a different level from what? THE Ohio State is THE most overrated team every year. They always prove it in their bowl games and people never learn.
                        I meant that Ohio State is on a different level from other Big 10 teams that flopped in bowls, besides maybe Wisconsin who barely lost to an undefeated team.
                        Comment
                        • Sidetracked
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-21-09
                          • 751

                          #13
                          big 10 didnt fair all that well last year...and ohio st destroyed oregon....and the only thing thats different from this years oregon team and last years oregon team is the qb...take all that for what u will but its either ohio st or no play for me
                          Comment
                          • RJ89
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 09-03-09
                            • 363

                            #14
                            I think Ohio St. is the play. There is a huge public overreaction to the Big Ten going 0-5 on New Years. They were underdogs in all 5 games so it doesn't make sense to draw conclusions from that. Ohio St. is a better team than Arkansas, their rested defense is going to be the best defense Arkansas has seen all year, and I don't think Ohio St. will have trouble moving at all. Ohio St. will also be super-motivated for this game because all they have heard about is how they the Big Ten sucks and went 0-5, and how they can't win against teams from the SEC. They definitely want to prove everyone wrong, and this is their best chance to do so.
                            Comment
                            • aznjeff07
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-22-09
                              • 1295

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Cuse0323
                              and how often does the public win
                              probably at least 40-50%....
                              Comment
                              • RJ89
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-03-09
                                • 363

                                #16
                                I would say it's closer to 40% when most of the public is on a side and the line doesn't move at all..
                                Comment
                                • BookiesBernanke
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 12-09-10
                                  • 849

                                  #17
                                  anyone like the under? I havent really been that impressed with Ohio States offense against high ranked teams
                                  Comment
                                  • frankzig
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-26-09
                                    • 2268

                                    #18
                                    mant ideas here still like razorbacks
                                    Comment
                                    • thenate023
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 12-18-10
                                      • 32

                                      #19
                                      tough one even though osu is terrible vs sec opp
                                      Comment
                                      • firehoyt
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-02-10
                                        • 3569

                                        #20
                                        I thought about taking the Under but I'm worried Ark will run up the score like Stanford did. Thinking about making a play on the OSU TT. I think the Ark D will shut them down



                                        Originally posted by BookiesBernanke
                                        anyone like the under? I havent really been that impressed with Ohio States offense against high ranked teams
                                        Comment
                                        • spongerat
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-01-08
                                          • 2023

                                          #21
                                          geez you guys overanalyze the line movement way too much sometimes. The public is right 50% the same as flipping a coin
                                          Comment
                                          • Adr3nalin3 Ru5h
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 08-14-10
                                            • 292

                                            #22
                                            Buckeyes -3 is the play but i like everyone being on Arkansas
                                            Comment
                                            • HoulihansTX
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 02-12-09
                                              • 30566

                                              #23
                                              Take off your panties No Coin, and bet the Hogs..

                                              BIG
                                              Comment
                                              • gardner47
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 09-09-10
                                                • 152

                                                #24
                                                where are you seeing public on ARK. Sportsoptions has 54% on OSU.
                                                Comment
                                                • Boscoe
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-08-10
                                                  • 2811

                                                  #25
                                                  i'm in the same boat..... oh well..... i'm going with the hogs anyway.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mlb
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-04-09
                                                    • 10509

                                                    #26
                                                    I like ohio st .. think they will bring it ... I'm not buying Arkansas even though big ten has been shasty
                                                    Comment
                                                    • HoulihansTX
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 02-12-09
                                                      • 30566

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by mlb
                                                      I like ohio st .. think they will bring it ... I'm not buying Arkansas even though big ten has been shasty
                                                      You mean Shitty.

                                                      Outside of Wisconsin, all of the Big Ten teams looked average or worse.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • RiverBoatGambler
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 12-29-10
                                                        • 627

                                                        #28
                                                        It's 60/40 with the public on Arkansas. Hell the public pounded Stanford last night. The team with the best QB will win(Arkansas), and yes I'm a huge Razorback fan. I saw almost all their games this season and caught a few Ohio State games. OSU is good, make no mistake about it. The X factor is Bobby Petrino, the man can call an offensive football game. He will be in the zone tonight with all the prep time his staff has had. Arkansas D is going to be more than up to stopping Ohio State. Speed, speed, speed, and lots of it Arkansas has. The D has gotten better as the season went on.


                                                        You guys can over analyze the lines and shit or you can man up and pick the best team...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by RiverBoatGambler
                                                          It's 60/40 with the public on Arkansas. Hell the public pounded Stanford last night. The team with the best QB will win(Arkansas), and yes I'm a huge Razorback fan. I saw almost all their games this season and caught a few Ohio State games. OSU is good, make no mistake about it. The X factor is Bobby Petrino, the man can call an offensive football game. He will be in the zone tonight with all the prep time his staff has had. Arkansas D is going to be more than up to stopping Ohio State. Speed, speed, speed, and lots of it Arkansas has. The D has gotten better as the season went on.


                                                          You guys can over analyze the lines and shit or you can man up and pick the best team...
                                                          I watched almost every Arkansas game this year, and Mallett makes a lot of crunch-time mistakes.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RiverBoatGambler
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 12-29-10
                                                            • 627

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                            I watched almost every Arkansas game this year, and Mallett makes a lot of crunch-time mistakes.
                                                            So besides 2 bad throws at Alabama what crunch time mistakes did he make??
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RiverBoatGambler
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 12-29-10
                                                              • 627

                                                              #31
                                                              What about the 4th and 3 against LSU that Mallet threw a 30+ yd TD? That was pretty crunch time and he seemed to do ok then....
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BetWeather
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 06-30-10
                                                                • 796

                                                                #32
                                                                bet the Hogs..
                                                                Comment
                                                                • drgonzo111
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 06-12-10
                                                                  • 245

                                                                  #33
                                                                  would prefer to see Arkansas win, but I'm afraid I may be blinded by my hatred for ohio state.
                                                                  Comment
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