Notre Dame +3 and ML

dolphinvann · 12-31-10, 02:17 PM

Remember the name leonard hankerson. T WIZZLE BET, lets do it. 100 points

t-wizzle · 12-31-10, 02:20 PM

It's a bet.

Look4Cover · 12-31-10, 02:25 PM

Including Clemson losing and the probability that they will actually lose and not cover, makes my pick MIAMI -3. Why? Well, including this Clemson loss, the last 3 bowl games have had the favored teams lose and of course, not cover. Probabilty is, this ND v MIA game, the favored team wins and covers the 3 points. Now, if it were more than 3 points that I would have to give, then I would not align with any pick because the favored team has a lower chance of covering, even when they win. I'm just working my brain, people.

Look4Cover · 12-31-10, 02:31 PM

Originally posted by Look4Cover

Including Clemson losing and the probability that they will actually lose and not cover, makes my pick MIAMI -3. Why? Well, including this Clemson loss, the last 3 bowl games have had the favored teams lose and of course, not cover. Probabilty is, this ND v MIA game, the favored team wins and covers the 3 points. Now, if it were more than 3 points that I would have to give, then I would not align with any pick because the favored team has a lower chance of covering, even when they win. I'm just working my brain, people.

This isn't looking good, so far. ND up 7-0.

lyon804 · 12-31-10, 02:32 PM

Originally posted by Look4Cover

Including Clemson losing and the probability that they will actually lose and not cover, makes my pick MIAMI -3. Why? Well, including this Clemson loss, the last 3 bowl games have had the favored teams lose and of course, not cover. Probabilty is, this ND v MIA game, the favored team wins and covers the 3 points. Now, if it were more than 3 points that I would have to give, then I would not align with any pick because the favored team has a lower chance of covering, even when they win. I'm just working my brain, people.

This games outcome has nothing to do with the others. If you win it was the right play, but it won't win because the others failed. That kinda thinking is suicidal. Underdogs could cover 9 in a row, then where would you be? If I was you I would bet witht the trend and not against it..Kinda like in NCAA hoops...People that take favorites during tourney time get drilled. Don't swim upstream if you are betting trends only.

t-wizzle · 12-31-10, 02:40 PM

Originally posted by lyon804

This games outcome has nothing to do with the others. If you win it was the right play, but it won't win because the others failed. That kinda thinking is suicidal. Underdogs could cover 9 in a row, then where would you be? If I was you I would bet witht the trend and not against it..Kinda like in NCAA hoops...People that take favorites during tourney time get drilled. Don't swim upstream if you are betting trends only.

Especially in the college bowls. Always a public killing.

t-wizzle · 12-31-10, 02:51 PM

This looks to be on its way to a blowout. Lot of football left though. Just a month ago I was on Alabama when they were up 24-3 on auburn so I'm not punching this ticket yet.

lyon804 · 12-31-10, 02:56 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

This looks to be on its way to a blowout. Lot of football left though. Just a month ago I was on Alabama when they were up 24-3 on auburn so I'm not punching this ticket yet.

Me too.. Good call, it was def. the right call, but so was Bama.. I know nobody here will probably agree with me, but Auburn was so outclassed in that game it wasn't even funny. Bama was way better, but turnovers and the Nick Saban way of trying to "MANAGE" a win cost us. Cameron Newton was the difference and is a hell of a player, but he would have not mattered had Bama handled there business on offense... Alabama was outcoached, severly.. Nick Saban is given way too much credit. He is not some messiah of coaching. Nick Saban has enjoyed beating alot of schools when he had more talent on the roster than his oponents. When Saban plays a team near as talented as his he never looks so smart..

t-wizzle · 12-31-10, 03:01 PM

I agree, I thought that Bama had no commitment to the running game, particularly in the second half. When you're up by as much as they were, you need to control the ball and the line of scrimmage and use the clock to your advantage. It seemed like every Alabama drive in the second half was a 3 and out in which they passed every play. Let's not forget when they only got 3 when they should have gotten a td after the Auburn turnover which was on a fumbled punt I believe.

lyon804 · 12-31-10, 03:07 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

I agree, I thought that Bama had no commitment to the running game, particularly in the second half. When you're up by as much as they were, you need to control the ball and the line of scrimmage and use the clock to your advantage. It seemed like every Alabama drive in the second half was a 3 and out in which they passed every play. Let's not forget when they only got 3 when they should have gotten a td after the Auburn turnover which was on a fumbled punt I believe.

Horrible, Horrible 2H that had nothing to do with Auburn's "Dominance"LOL... Trent Richardson missed a easy pitch and catch TD in the endzone and settled for a FG. Mark Ingraham fumbled on the 19 after a long run, that would have led to at least a FG opp. Greg Mcelroy fumbled inside the 10 on the 3rd and goal and Aubrun recovered.... If Alabama would have just got the points they should have got in the 1H the 2H would have been irrelevant. The 2H offensive play calling got way too conservative.. the running game was shit. Bama just has no sack..

ManBearPig · 12-31-10, 03:09 PM

Miami didn't come to play and as long as Harris is throwing the ball this play is dead...need to get out if possible.

paco · 12-31-10, 03:12 PM

Nice call t-wiz. I thought I was gonna see the "good" Jacory. Might as well just root for the Over now

t-wizzle · 12-31-10, 03:12 PM

This line just made no sense to me. I thought Notre Dame should have been favored by 4.

ManBearPig · 12-31-10, 03:14 PM

right on cue...Harris throws another INT...

Vortexx00 · 12-31-10, 03:16 PM

Nice call.

Miami playing like shit..

lyon804 · 12-31-10, 03:18 PM

3rd pick for Harris, he usually waits for 4Q's to get 3 in.. didn't even wait a half today...

Landscaper · 12-31-10, 03:18 PM

Wow Miami has no interest in playing anymore..

t-wizzle · 12-31-10, 03:19 PM

Originally posted by paco

Nice call t-wiz. I thought I was gonna see the "good" Jacory. Might as well just root for the Over now

Thanks Paco. Harris has given Miami no shot in this one but I just felt overall that ND was the better team. Floyd is a beast.

2Bdown · 12-31-10, 03:19 PM

nice start for the irish t-wiz, good call

2Bdown · 12-31-10, 03:20 PM

where is findthelock?

FindTheLock · 12-31-10, 03:28 PM

I am right here. Notice my conversation with this guy was referring to last years wisconsin game. Miami has 4 turnovers right now so it is easy to rip them. Harris is a very sketchy QB, but the coaches love him for some reason.

jetsjets1028 · 12-31-10, 03:29 PM

wow thats amazing

Nellyinctown · 12-31-10, 03:30 PM

Wow I couldn't have been more wrong congrats ND backers

jetsjets1028 · 12-31-10, 03:30 PM

just goes to show these bowl games hard predict.. still need championship system though like our fcs conference

Mr Handicapable · 12-31-10, 03:41 PM

You save Jimmy Johnsons ass for me....lol! All Catholics...no convicts today!! I'm back moving in the right direction....6-5 nothing to brag about though...been tough to cap these bowls!

bacon22 · 12-31-10, 03:45 PM

I have ND as well. Good luck to everyone.

The fiddler · 12-31-10, 04:26 PM

Originally posted by FindTheLock

the weather had nothing to do with that game. Hurricanes had 8 defensive starters injured for that game. Do some more research. lol
P.S. Canes lost the game by 6 points with their backups in the whole time on defense! that's getting embarrassed?

Wisky abosolutely shitstomped Miami last year. The final score was no indication as to how dominating Wisky was.

Look up the fukkin stats. Wisky outgained the shitCanes by 350 yards.

As for today's shitstomping....Lock of the year in progress. Miami of Ohio would beat Miami of Florida this year....

t-wizzle · 12-31-10, 05:08 PM

Originally posted by dolphinvann

Remember the name leonard hankerson. T WIZZLE BET, lets do it. 100 points

Points please sir