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Game: Illinois at Baylor (Thursday 12/30 00:00 CET)
I don't get line movement in this one because Baylor is clearly the favourite in this match-up and however the line is theoretically saying that Illinois is the play, I can't even pass this one, knowing that Baylor is practically having a home bowl game. What's more I think that Illinois might be unmotivated after very bad season and they showed that they're unable of beating strong opponents already. Quarterback Griffin is a very solid player and he should be gaining lots of yards through both rushing and passing. Baylor is underestimated due to the fact they went 0-3 SU in last three games but they faced three strong opponents, while Illinois 1-3 SU in last four is much worse. Fresno State and Minnesota are mediocre, so don't see them faring well against Bears. By the way Griffin already set that it's a statement game for his team, so motivation won't be a problem for them, adding the crowd behind them. Illinois are just 6-6 so far, nothing extraordinary, so winning bowl game will be a surprise for me. No much of an information, just thinking that better team, playing 'home' game is going to win, that's it.
Pick: 1 unit on Baylor (+2.0) @ 1.952
I don't get line movement in this one because Baylor is clearly the favourite in this match-up and however the line is theoretically saying that Illinois is the play, I can't even pass this one, knowing that Baylor is practically having a home bowl game. What's more I think that Illinois might be unmotivated after very bad season and they showed that they're unable of beating strong opponents already. Quarterback Griffin is a very solid player and he should be gaining lots of yards through both rushing and passing. Baylor is underestimated due to the fact they went 0-3 SU in last three games but they faced three strong opponents, while Illinois 1-3 SU in last four is much worse. Fresno State and Minnesota are mediocre, so don't see them faring well against Bears. By the way Griffin already set that it's a statement game for his team, so motivation won't be a problem for them, adding the crowd behind them. Illinois are just 6-6 so far, nothing extraordinary, so winning bowl game will be a surprise for me. No much of an information, just thinking that better team, playing 'home' game is going to win, that's it.
Pick: 1 unit on Baylor (+2.0) @ 1.952
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