So Carolina v Auburn. Let's get serious.

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  • rthoughton
    SBR MVP
    • 12-27-09
    • 1992

    #1
    So Carolina v Auburn. Let's get serious.
    I am seriously thinking SC can put up a fight in this one. Been bouncing back and forth, time for you guys to help me out on this one.

    I love the 2 Team Teaser idea in this game.
    o/u is currently sitting at 62. I can see this either way. o56 and u68.
    I also think Im over-analyzing this, jumping back to Auburn. haha.
    USC +10 or Auburn +2 ? ?

  • Clear2Land
    SBR Sharp
    • 07-09-10
    • 271

    #2
    Teaser just makes it where you HAVE to hit two..never a good idea unless your absolutely certain...i dont think theres any value in taking Auburn +2 because you dont cross over a key number (3,7,14 etc) I don't see Auburn losing today...but since you can see the over/under going either way its probably not a strong bet for ya...not telling you what to do but if it was me id take either Auburn -4 or SC ML

    I myself am on Auburn -4

    BOL
    Comment
    • odusmykal
      SBR MVP
      • 08-30-07
      • 3426

      #3
      S.C. ml is the paly today.. Lattimore & Alshon will do big things in this game..
      Comment
      • rthoughton
        SBR MVP
        • 12-27-09
        • 1992

        #4
        I really like SC +4 and SC ML. I just wanna make sure Im not pretending. Maybe Auburn is just better, but I dont think so. Scam Newton is better, but where else?
        Comment
        • sapidoc
          SBR MVP
          • 03-25-10
          • 1273

          #5
          Originally posted by Clear2Land
          Teaser just makes it where you HAVE to hit two..never a good idea unless your absolutely certain...i dont think theres any value in taking Auburn +2 because you dont cross over a key number (3,7,14 etc) I don't see Auburn losing today...but since you can see the over/under going either way its probably not a strong bet for ya...not telling you what to do but if it was me id take either Auburn -4 or SC ML I myself am on Auburn -4 BOL
          Yea, crossing -3 and crossing 0 tho are key numbers. I remember reading something about never crossing 0 on a teaser though.

          That being said, Auburn -4 is the play and its not even close.
          Comment
          • rthoughton
            SBR MVP
            • 12-27-09
            • 1992

            #6
            wow. that is certainly confident.
            Comment
            • GimpedMaster
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-15-10
              • 764

              #7
              Got SC +12 on a teaser, hope that's enough damn points!
              Comment
              • Poster X
                SBR High Roller
                • 07-09-10
                • 236

                #8
                lattimore is a stud. auburn will have difficulty stopping him imo.
                Comment
                • rthoughton
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-27-09
                  • 1992

                  #9
                  I agree that SC has a chance. a big chance. Auburn should have lost to UK, SC did, but where else is the dominance for the tigers besides newton?! they have no adv anywhere else. I need to know more why AUburn -4 is such a lock..?

                  I think every adv goes to SC except at QB.
                  Comment
                  • rthoughton
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-27-09
                    • 1992

                    #10
                    ruh roh 3.5
                    Comment
                    • sapidoc
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-25-10
                      • 1273

                      #11
                      I had this huge writeup in mind when I woke up this morning. Only 20 minutes before game time so I'm not going to post all the points I had thought of as to why to bet Auburn here, but take this one:

                      The books sit down and say to themselves "Big game here this sat. Auburn and SC, what are we gunna do to make some money?". They settle on a -6 and roughly -190 ML.

                      The public starts to hit the spread decently, but only slightly on the SC ML. (55/45ish)

                      By the end of the week we have a -4 spread and a roughly -170 ML as the large bets and money pour in on SC? (ML value and anything over 3 points really would have accomplished the same goal imo).

                      If any of what's happened so far surprises you then stay away, but to me it completely makes sense.

                      Now that you've got all that, as yourself this: "How will this game end to make the books a profit on this game?".

                      There's more than one way for sure. A few of them will just completely rape the majority of people, but there's an easy one as well if you can see it.


                      Take Auburn -4 or whatever. I honestly believe they will end up winning this game by 14 points or more.

                      Good luck guys.

                      PS-- of course I could be wrong, but at least I've got the balls to post this sht before kickoff.

                      PPS-- Cause I've read all the jazz about the 2nd half performance of Auburn I'll also say Auburn is winning at halftime too.
                      Comment
                      • gshock1
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-04-09
                        • 5366

                        #12
                        SC covers and possibly wins SU!
                        Comment
                        • rthoughton
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-27-09
                          • 1992

                          #13
                          I went teaser. against what youve said.
                          SC +10.5 and o55. holla.
                          Comment
                          • sapidoc
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-25-10
                            • 1273

                            #14
                            Originally posted by rthoughton
                            I went teaser. against what youve said. SC +10.5 and o55. holla.
                            Still going to wish u good luck, and props for sharing your play before the game ends.
                            Comment
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