Ohio (-3.5) @ Kent St.

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  • brettley
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-15-10
    • 148

    #1
    Ohio (-3.5) @ Kent St.
    What am I missing? 80% on Ohio, but line moves all the way down to 3 before rising back to 3.5.

    Ohio is playing for a spot in the MAC Championship (which isn't locked up but do they hold the tiebreaker). They also have ran the ball well and Kent St. sucks against the run. Ohio has won 7 in a row... and one of their 3 season losses came at ohio state. Kent St. has lost 3 in a row and are not bowl eligible. They came into the season with high expectations, but have under achieved.

    The only intangible is that Kent St.'s head coach has announced his resignation and will leave after the team after the game on tomorrow.

    Also, the road team is 5-0 in their last 5 meetings.

    So.... why is this line so low? RLM? Is it just b/c the MAC always seems to screw the public?
  • BigTenBets10
    SBR High Roller
    • 03-14-10
    • 195

    #2
    wow just posted the same thing just a minute ago, i am going heavy on OHIO and I cannot believe that they are only favored by -3.5, the impact of their coach resigning will not impact the game enough when OHIO has so much to play for! I have watched OHIO play and KENT play several times this year, and OU is just an overall better team. They will cover and OHIO wins by at least 10 points in my opinion
    Comment
    • bonduforlife
      Restricted User
      • 08-21-10
      • 1222

      #3
      Ohio is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kent State but i dont think this means much considering the skill level difference between the two teams. Ohio WILL win big.
      Comment
      • sweethook
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-21-07
        • 12667

        #4
        theres a rat somewhere in this game
        Comment
        • BigTenBets10
          SBR High Roller
          • 03-14-10
          • 195

          #5
          Agreed something is fishy. I cannot find anything other than the head coach resigning and reading an article that the players feel responsible for essentially creating his forced resignation, and that they have banded together to send the coach off with a WIN. But it doesn't matter. Kent isn't even close to as good as OHIO, there will be 200 fans in the stadium so no home field advantage, and in the end OHIO is playing for a Conference championship and for a better BOWL game. OHIO by 10, Kent will put up a fight but OHIO covers easily.
          Comment
          • BigDofBA
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-30-09
            • 19313

            #6
            Every time I bet on these crappy Mac games, the exact opposite happens of what looks to be so obvious. It's shady.

            Everyone is right. Ohio Should handle Kent State with ease. I just don't trust these Mac games.
            Comment
            • hhsilver
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-07-07
              • 7375

              #7
              when you saw that 80% on Ohio and the line moved down, it was earlier when the volume of bets was very low. The line will continue to go back up.

              A few weeks ago there was an extreme RLM on Kent vs Army and Kent was never in the game.

              Someone still likes Kent , but I won't let that sway me from ohio.
              Comment
              • BigTenBets10
                SBR High Roller
                • 03-14-10
                • 195

                #8
                Good luck boys, Go OHIO make us some $$$$$
                Comment
                • brettley
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-15-10
                  • 148

                  #9
                  I did some more research.... 180 of ohio's 340 average yards per game come on the ground. Kent st. only gives up 101 rushing yards per game. (My comment earlier was wrong. It was based on kents last game when they gave up 259 yards on the ground.)

                  It will be if ohio's rush offense vs. Kent st.'s rush d. In last years game, ohio had -9 yards rushing. Vegas thinks kents rush d wins the matchup and ohio can't pass to win by more than 3 (or win overall). Couple that with kents recent losses where they held statistical advantages, but lost big due to turnovers and penalties.
                  Comment
                  • spargament
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-22-09
                    • 1739

                    #10
                    Originally posted by brettley
                    I did some more research.... 180 of ohio's 340 average yards per game come on the ground. Kent st. only gives up 101 rushing yards per game. (My comment earlier was wrong. It was based on kents last game when they gave up 259 yards on the ground.)

                    It will be if ohio's rush offense vs. Kent st.'s rush d. In last years game, ohio had -9 yards rushing. Vegas thinks kents rush d wins the matchup and ohio can't pass to win by more than 3 (or win overall). Couple that with kents recent losses where they held statistical advantages, but lost big due to turnovers and penalties.
                    This logic I can get with. Leaning no-play still, but that is intriguing,
                    Comment
                    • Reed Harris
                      Restricted User
                      • 12-14-09
                      • 194

                      #11
                      ohio should cover
                      Comment
                      • brettley
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 11-15-10
                        • 148

                        #12
                        Originally posted by spargament
                        This logic I can get with. Leaning no-play still, but that is intriguing,
                        I hear you. No matter which side I play, if I lost the warning signs were there.

                        I'll probably check the line tomorrow... if it stays at- 3.5, I may play kent. If it flies back up over 4, i'll play ohio.
                        Comment
                        • StillClueless
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 11-19-10
                          • 95

                          #13
                          LVSC opened this game at Ohio -7, then it was bet down gradually to where it is right now.
                          Comment
                          • clarkd32
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-15-06
                            • 863

                            #14
                            powesweep mentioned that kent had ball 3 times in redzone last week and got 0 pts... not sure if that means they were moving the ball on wmich (i think that is who they played). also chance coach announcing resignation will get guys ready to play.

                            either way... on ohio small. they control own destiny for playing in MAC championship.
                            Comment
                            • BigdaddyQH
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-13-09
                              • 19530

                              #15
                              As far as line moement goes, it all depends on where you look. This game opened at Ohio -1 at LeRoys in Vegas, and Ohio -6 at the Wynn. They have both settled at -3.5, but took opposite paths to get there.
                              Comment
                              • pdx107
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 06-20-09
                                • 923

                                #16
                                Love the Bobcats here
                                Comment
                                • AbeFroman
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 11-21-10
                                  • 384

                                  #17
                                  Put Ohio in a 6-point teaser with the WVU/Pitt Under. Moves Ohio to pick-em for me, and Pitt/WVU to 44.5.
                                  Comment
                                  • dovlon
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-04-10
                                    • 122

                                    #18
                                    Ohio is 7-1 ATS in their last seven games. Taking Ohio
                                    Comment
                                    • atari5200
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 09-15-10
                                      • 464

                                      #19
                                      o-h-i-o
                                      this is free money
                                      Comment
                                      • brettley
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 11-15-10
                                        • 148

                                        #20
                                        Just jumped to -4.5. Playing ohio.
                                        Comment
                                        • 2ForTheMoney
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 09-20-10
                                          • 138

                                          #21
                                          Ohio halftime -2!!!!
                                          Comment
                                          • pronk
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 11-22-08
                                            • 6887

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by sweethook
                                            theres a rat somewhere in this game
                                            MAC is badly rigged. Kent had over 400 yards against W.Michigan last week scoring only 3 pts. I wouldn't be shocked if flashes won straight up.
                                            Comment
                                            • swaindexter
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-27-07
                                              • 1228

                                              #23
                                              Ohio now -4.5 and still a great wager. Good luck to all on thier wagers today................
                                              Comment
                                              • mighty maron
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-20-09
                                                • 4215

                                                #24
                                                up to 5 now...got it at -4 1/2
                                                Comment
                                                • vitalyo
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-05-07
                                                  • 1615

                                                  #25
                                                  I made a large wager the day before I got Ohio @ -3 (bought the hook) .

                                                  GL.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • brettley
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 11-15-10
                                                    • 148

                                                    #26
                                                    Trap all the way... hopefully ohio finds some life on offense.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • AbeFroman
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 11-21-10
                                                      • 384

                                                      #27
                                                      Well, down two scores pretty much ends any hope of this game covering.

                                                      &$&$$($($&#(@(@!)@*#*$(*$!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mighty maron
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-20-09
                                                        • 4215

                                                        #28
                                                        I am running so cold right now
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KC Needs Hockey
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 10-27-10
                                                          • 387

                                                          #29
                                                          God I played Ohio as well I knew not to play the damn game line was scary. And now 14-0 fml lol make my money back later today bol all
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Pride
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-12-10
                                                            • 4238

                                                            #30
                                                            Ohio actually went for it on 4th and 16 ON THEIR OWN ******* 16 YARD LINE.

                                                            WHAT!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • tylerguy02
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-29-09
                                                              • 1987

                                                              #31
                                                              I'm glad I only put .5 U on this game. Line was way too fishy
                                                              Comment
                                                              • tylerguy02
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-29-09
                                                                • 1987

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Pride
                                                                Ohio actually went for it on 4th and 16 ON THEIR OWN ******* 16 YARD LINE. WHAT!
                                                                Seriously?! Way to make it obvious Ohio...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Pride
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-12-10
                                                                  • 4238

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Boo Jackson tries to run on 2nd and 11. 2 defenders were to the left, 0 defenders to the right......he runs left.
                                                                  Someone answer me seriously, is Boo Jackson retarded?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Poppa Catfish
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-22-10
                                                                    • 3352

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Got to love the MAC
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • AbeFroman
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 11-21-10
                                                                      • 384

                                                                      #35
                                                                      If that is true (just tuned in) somebody really ought to look in to this. Wouldn't be the first of many incredibly fish MAC happenings.
                                                                      Comment
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