Week 11 NCAA Matchups and Spreads

[ffbplayergod]

Hey guys! I am new to this site, and was referred here by a friend. I have been running my formula on this years NCAA football season, and thus far it has been tracking at a pace of 73.6% correct for the year. I use the formula to help me make my bets each week. It basically give me what team SHOULD win, and how much they SHOULD win by. So if my - is larger than the spread on the site I use to bet, I go with the favorite... if its smaller, I take the underdog. I use it for NCAA football and make one minor change to the formula when using it for NFL. 7 out of 10 in NCAA last week, 7 out of 9 in NFL last week.

After my friend told me about these forums a couple days ago, I figured I would come on over and share my own personal spreads with everyone. Maybe I can even help you all win some bets!

So without further ado, I give you..... WEEK 11 IN NCAA FOOTBALL!!!

Games that have already taken place:

Toledo @ Northern Illinois (-17)

Miami, OH (-9.5) @ Bowling Green

Thursday Nights Games

Pittsburgh (-10) @ Connecticut

East Carolina @ UAB (-5.5)

Friday Nights Games

Ball State @ Buffalo (-11.5)

Boise State (-44.5) @ Idaho

Saturday Games

Vanderbilt @ Kentucky (-20.5)

Mississippi (-8.5) @ Tennessee

Iowa (-11) @ Northwestern

Minnesota @ Illinois (-15)

Michigan (-16) @ Purdue

Indiana @ Wisconsin (-17)

Boston College (-5) @ Duke

Miami, FL (-5.5) @ Georgia Tech

South Florida @ Louisville (-15)

Cincinnati @ West Virginia (-10.5)

Southern Miss @ Central Florida (-1)

Kansas State @ Missouri (-18.5)

Iowa State @ Colorado (-6.5)

BYU (-3) @ Colorado State

Wake Forest @ N.C. State (-30.5)

Army (-2) @ Kent State

Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan (-23.5)

Utah (-15) @ Notre Dame

Memphis @ Marshall (-19)

Western Kentucky @ Arkansas State (-10)

Rice @ Tulane (-16.5)

Georgia @ Auburn (-12.5)

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma (-16)

Penn State @ Ohio State (-30.5)

Virginia Tech (-2.5) @ North Carolina

Maryland @ Virginia (-7.5)

Syracuse (-5) @ Rutgers

Central Michigan @ Navy (-7)

North Texas @ Middle Tennessee (-5.5)

Florida International @ Troy (-9)

Washington State @ Oregon State (-19)

San Diego State @ TCU (-28.5)

New Mexico @ Air Force (-40.5)

Kansas @ Nebraska (-34)

UTEP @ Arkansas (-24)

U.L. Monroe @ LSU (-18)

Texas A&M (-5.5) @ Baylor

U.L. Lafayette @ Florida Atlantic (-6.5)

Mississippi State @ Alabama (-14.5)

South Carolina @ Florida (-9)

Stanford (-6.5) @ Arizona State

Oregon (-24.5) @ California

Tulsa @ Houston (-5)

USC @ Arizona (-14.5)

Oklahoma State (-4) @ Texas

Clemson @ Florida State (-15.5)

Louisana Tech (-7) @ New Mexico State

Utah State (-9.5) @ San Jose State

Wyoming @ UNLV (-1.5)

Nevada (-15.5) @ Fresno State

So there you have it. Hopefully you guys enjoy, and put these to good use!

Scott

[ffbplayergod]

I will be adding to this post as the week progresses to keep track of how my formula is doing, as well as how my betting is going...

So far I am 2-0 this week as I took Northern Illinois (-11) on Tuesday night, and I had Miami Ohio last night @ (-2.5). May have been a little closer than I liked last night, but a win is a win. I have Pitt tonight at (-6).

[hokieskins1]

thanks man

[ffbplayergod]

no problem my friend

[udlock4life]

wow, you like alot of favs.... i think you have to check your lines again. isnt utah only -5 atm? ariz vs usc is at -4.5 right? or am i missing something?

[udlock4life]

boise st is -34.5 atm right?

[ffbplayergod]

As described in the beginning of the thread, the spreads posted in the OP are the spreads that my mathmatical formula came up with. Telling me who SHOULD win, and by how many points. It's a formula that I have been using all year to place my bets. So let's say we look at the Utah game... Utah is currently -5 or so. My formula says Utah should win by 15 points. So I would bet Utah. If the formula had said Utah would win by 4 points, then I would go with ND. Complicated formula, simple results. Plus, it has been winning a lot more than losing so far. This is the first year I have really done any kind of online betting, so I started out small. Through last week, I was up $200 or so. Thats on placing $5 bets, and a set # of bets a week. The formula itself is winning over 70% of the time if you look at outcomes of all games.