NCAAF picks W/E 08/11

[adam3248]

My 1st pick on this site so lets kick off with a winner!

Buffalo Bulls @ Ohio Bobcats (04/11)

PICK: Ohio -15

Like the look of Ohio in this one considering an away underdog (Buffalo) of 23 or fewer points with an overall win percentage below .500 after a home underdog loss against the spread scoring 9 or fewer points in their previous 2 games is 0 wins 4 losses ATS since 1980.

The favourite has won these 4 contests by an average of 24 points.

Take Ohio minus the points and good luck!

[adam3248]

Looking into this further, any conference home favorite of 17 points or less that has a winning percentage of .454 or better (Ohio) facing an opponent off a conference home underdog against the spread loss, failing to cover their previous game by 9.5 or more (Buffalo) is 12 wins 0 losses ATS since 1980.

The favorite has won those 12 games by an average of 21.9 PPG.

All points towards an Ohio ATS win.

Best of Luck!

[adam3248]

Here are my picks so far for this weeks games:

Buffalo @ Ohio -15

[hokieskins1]

I wouldnt put money on Miami right now. They don't have their quarterback and you saw how bad they were without him. I also wouldn't count out Marlyand

[adam3248]

fair comment. Oh yeah I understand what your saying about the QB situation with Miami but i feel they will cover this number at home against Maryland.. We'll wait and see though

[adam3248]

My final picks for NCAAF thursday:

Buffalo Bulls @ Ohio Bobcats -15.5 (analysis posted above)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Virginia Tech Hokies -12.5 (analysis posted up shortly...)

Went 5-0 on NBA last night. Lets go 2-0 on NCAAF tonight. Best of luck all!

[adam3248]

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Virginia Tech Hokies (analysis)

Virginia Tech is 13-4 ATS last 3 years and 4-0 ATS this year after 2 or more consecutive wins. Virginia Tech is 6-1 ATS last 3 years in Weeks 10 to 13. Virginia Tech is 18-7 ATS since 1992 and 5-1 ATS last 3 years when playing on Thursday. Virginia Tech is 12-3 ATS last 3 years after a win against a conference opponent. Virginia Tech is scoring 37 points per game overall this year and 41.2 points per game at home this season. After losing their first two games of the season, Virginia Tech has won 6 games in a row heading into tonight.

Take Virginia -12.5

[adam3248]

Tonight's results:

Buffalo Bulls @ Ohio Bobcats -15.5 (WON)
Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech -12.5 (LOST)

1-1 record.


Overall Record = 7-1
NBA 5-0
NHL 1-0
NCAAF 1-1