UAB at S Miss

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  • jeepsguy004
    SBR MVP
    • 11-20-09
    • 1292

    #1
    UAB at S Miss
    Opening Line: S Miss -10
    Current Line : S Miss -9.5 and -10 at some books.

    UAB comes into this game off a tough loss last week at Mississippi St by 5 but covering the 19.5 point spread. This team does not impress me at all this year. I watched them get man handled a few weeks ago at Central Florida and I have a feeling that is going to happen again in this game. They do not play that well on the road. They are allowing 33 points per game on the road this year and now they have to go into S Miss who has been lighting the scoreboard up the past few weeks. They have not gone on the road yet this year with not allowing 28 or more points. They do not score as well on the road either. They are only averaging 17 points per game on the road. I took a look at how they play in conference on the road and they are 2-3 ATS their last 5 road conference games and are scoring 21 points per game but allowing 32 points per game in those 5 games.

    S Miss on the other hand has just been on fire their last few games. Thy come into this one off a blowout win at Memphis where they covered as 16.5 point favorites. They are averging 42 points per game thier last 3 games. They have played 6 games this year against Division 1 schools and they have only allowed more then 20 points twice in those 6 games. That was against South Carolina who is a top 25 team and ECU who is at the top of their conference. I looked at how they play in conference and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home conference games averaging 41 points per game and allowing 23 points per game. So I dug a little deeper on them and took a look how they perform as a big favorite. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 8 or more points. In those 5 games they are averaging 41 points per game and allowing only 18 points per game. This is showing me that they do not take teams for granted and play to their level and not down to other teams levels.

    I feel that S Miss is going to come into this game and should keep their hot scoring going since UAB does give up points on the road. Their defense has played well this season and should shut down this UAB offense. UAB hammered this S Miss team last year, winning by 13 as a 10 point dog. This is revenge for S Miss this year, since it is on their home field now. I do not like to play big favorites like this but like I said I am not impressed with this UAB team from what I have seen. I think S Miss wins this game by a score of 37-17.

    S Miss -10 for me.

    Good Luck Everyone!
  • aufordboy
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-22-06
    • 519

    #2
    I like Southern Miss -9.5 BOL Everyone
    Comment
    • BiffTFinancial
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-29-09
      • 22670

      #3
      i've been leaning So Miss all week, but haven't pulled the trigger yet. good write-up and analysis, think i may make this the final pick on my card. BOL this weekend.
      Comment
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