Opening Line: FSU -3 Over Under 56
Updated Line: FSU -4 Over Under 59
I like the Under in this game. We are getting great value on this having it bet up already 3 points and I just might wait a little bit more since it looks like everyone likes the over. I do not blame them for liking the over both of these teams have good offensive numbers.
FSU Comes into this game avergaing 35 points per game on the year. They are avergaing 31 points per game their last 9 road games. They are also allowing 30 points per game in those 9 road games. In their last 5 road conference games they are avergaing 35 points per game and allowing 25 points per game. The over under is 7-2 in FSU's last 9 road games. The Over under is 4-1 in their last 5 road conference games.
NC State is averaging 36 points per game on the year. Their last 9 homes games they are averging 29 points per game and allowing 29 points per game. Their last 5 home conference games they are averging 33 points per game and allowing 32 points per game. The over under is 7-2 in their last 9 home games and is 5-0 in their last 5 home conference games. The last 4 games that NCST has played in have all gone over 60 plus points.
So Looking at those numbers above you have to wonder why would anyone like the under. Why did the over under only open at 56? These two teams have only seen the total go over 56 points once in their last 6 games against each other. NCST has played under the total in 3 of their last 4 games coming off a bye week. That their is showing me that their defense could use the rest and it helps them. FSU actually has played pretty solid defense this year. This team has seen 3 of their 4 conference games this year go under the total.
The public loves to see high scoring offenses play and run up the scoreboard. So of course they see these two offenses and they think this will be a high scoring game. Like I said the public bets this up and we get more value in this. I just think with this being a Rivalry game since these two teams play every year and they play some hard fought games that this game will be a lower scoring game. I am going to play the under for 1 unit in this game.
Good Luck Everyone!
Updated Line: FSU -4 Over Under 59
I like the Under in this game. We are getting great value on this having it bet up already 3 points and I just might wait a little bit more since it looks like everyone likes the over. I do not blame them for liking the over both of these teams have good offensive numbers.
FSU Comes into this game avergaing 35 points per game on the year. They are avergaing 31 points per game their last 9 road games. They are also allowing 30 points per game in those 9 road games. In their last 5 road conference games they are avergaing 35 points per game and allowing 25 points per game. The over under is 7-2 in FSU's last 9 road games. The Over under is 4-1 in their last 5 road conference games.
NC State is averaging 36 points per game on the year. Their last 9 homes games they are averging 29 points per game and allowing 29 points per game. Their last 5 home conference games they are averging 33 points per game and allowing 32 points per game. The over under is 7-2 in their last 9 home games and is 5-0 in their last 5 home conference games. The last 4 games that NCST has played in have all gone over 60 plus points.
So Looking at those numbers above you have to wonder why would anyone like the under. Why did the over under only open at 56? These two teams have only seen the total go over 56 points once in their last 6 games against each other. NCST has played under the total in 3 of their last 4 games coming off a bye week. That their is showing me that their defense could use the rest and it helps them. FSU actually has played pretty solid defense this year. This team has seen 3 of their 4 conference games this year go under the total.
The public loves to see high scoring offenses play and run up the scoreboard. So of course they see these two offenses and they think this will be a high scoring game. Like I said the public bets this up and we get more value in this. I just think with this being a Rivalry game since these two teams play every year and they play some hard fought games that this game will be a lower scoring game. I am going to play the under for 1 unit in this game.
Good Luck Everyone!