Kansas State +6, ML is the Play of the Week!!!

thebestthereis · 10-25-10, 01:47 PM

no idea why this line is +6. to me it is a pick em. love it but hate loving plays

Powerhaus · 10-25-10, 08:01 PM

Originally posted by thebestthereis

no idea why this line is +6. to me it is a pick em. love it but hate loving plays

That's exactly what I had it at, I cap the games every Sunday (to guess the lines) and this one is way off!!!

Flight · 10-25-10, 08:53 PM

Some sharp players have enjoyed success with Oklahoma State all season.

But I agree with you this week, should be closer to Kansas St +3 or so.

emat · 10-25-10, 11:43 PM

I respectfully disagree. From the area and follow KSU every weekend. Don't be deceived by the Baylor score. KSU should have lost that game by 20. OSU has a similar offense as Baylor and better defense. KSU does not have the horses to keep up with an offense like this. I would take OSU on anything under a TD.

Kubilak · 10-26-10, 12:25 AM

Yeah this was the first game I circled after riding K St. for 2 weeks to 2 covers, they don't have anyone to cover Blackmon, and by all accounts had no business covering against Baylor.

I'll be on Ok St.

emat · 10-26-10, 12:33 AM

The Baylor cover was Sick Loss #2 for me on what turned about to be about 5 including the Cowboys 2H cover tonight. Baylor could have easily blown KSU out in this game. Blackmon will go for 200+ in this game.

HoulihansTX · 10-26-10, 01:56 AM

Ok st can blow this team out. They will score at least 45' and I feel K-St ceiling is I. The 28-35 range.

Powerhaus · 10-26-10, 07:40 AM

Originally posted by emat

I respectfully disagree. From the area and follow KSU every weekend. Don't be deceived by the Baylor score. KSU should have lost that game by 20. OSU has a similar offense as Baylor and better defense. KSU does not have the horses to keep up with an offense like this. I would take OSU on anything under a TD.

Baylors QB is much more mobile, and are you kidding me??? Oklahoma States defense is an absolute joke this year,they gave up 38 to Troy and could have easily lost that game, gave up 35 to A&M and should have lost that game, and allowed 21 points in the 1st half alone to Louisiana-Lafayette!!!

Outside of Nebraska, Oklahoma has played a very soft schedule in which most of their games have been at home. Kansas State is putting up an average of 34 points a game and they've played a tougher schedule.

This line opened at -6, it's already down to -5.5 with 90% of the public on Okie St.

3PtShooter · 10-26-10, 07:52 AM

the line is correct here, could be a good game

emat · 10-26-10, 08:42 AM

I said better than Baylor's defense which is not saying much I know, but still better. KSU averages are deceiving because of their last 2 games. An awful KU team and shootout with Baylor does not constitute a high powered offense. KSU is capable of scoring 30+ in this game, but I OSU can score a lot more.

Uncle Harv · 10-26-10, 12:27 PM

The main point here is OSU's defense is horendous. Couldnt slow down A & M or Nebraska at home. K State plays very well at home, and they play the Cowboys tough. And notice the early RLM when this line came out.

Powerhaus · 10-30-10, 08:02 AM

Originally posted by Powerhaus

We'll see reverse line movement in this bad boy as well...

Kansas State +6

Kansas State ML

Bank on it!!!

What did I tell you guys? Line is now +4.5, with 70% of the public on Oklahoma State. Although during the week 90% of the money was on the Cowboys!!!

dimetimekid · 10-30-10, 08:08 AM

Originally posted by Kubilak

Yeah this was the first game I circled after riding K St. for 2 weeks to 2 covers, they don't have anyone to cover Blackmon, and by all accounts had no business covering against Baylor.

I'll be on Ok St.

i thought blackmon was out...dui...so if that is true then they wont have to worry about him

ji03 · 10-30-10, 08:28 AM

I'm on KSU as well and was on them last week and got lucky on the cover.

pokerpro44 · 10-30-10, 08:31 AM

i like it.good luck.

Powerhaus · 10-30-10, 08:33 AM

Originally posted by dimetimekid

i thought blackmon was out...dui...so if that is true then they wont have to worry about him

From all the reports I've seen Blackmon is out for today's game.

SportsCenterHD · 10-30-10, 08:34 AM

I picked Oklahoma St. Point Spread +1.5 & Total Over 60.5

CappinTerp · 10-30-10, 08:41 AM

KST. is 8-2 SU vs. OK ST. and 5-0 @ home.!!(since 1992)

KUGAMER · 10-30-10, 09:16 AM

Sorry but I am all over Okie State here. The Cowboys are the exact kind of team that gives K-State problems. There only chance is to put up a lot of points. To much team speed against a slow K-State Defense. Like the Cowboys by 10-14 pts here

Blazermaniac · 10-30-10, 09:45 AM

As someone who looks at line and money movement, Powerhaus is right on. The only time a team doesn't cover or win out right like this is when they either have a bad team or the qb sucks. KSt qb is not great....decent. Defense is solid. I don't know about ML but should cover. And doesn't hurt if Blackmon out.

Blazermaniac · 10-30-10, 09:50 AM

One thing though Powerhaus.....for me to take it % on OkSt has to be close to 70%....right now it's sitting around 62. Money is hard to come by so don't really give it away that easy. Everything has to be right for me to take it.

JMF2479 · 10-30-10, 09:57 AM

i think KSU wins too

Blazermaniac · 10-30-10, 10:23 AM

Retracting.....if the line drops because of Blackmon being out then that line movement is accurate. The line movement that I look for is the line drop but no injuries to roster or suspension only money and line movement. BOL to those on KState. If I do play be with a 2 team 7 point teaser.

Blazermaniac · 10-30-10, 10:40 AM

No play for me for KSt....BOL to everyone.