Machine Report: Oklahoma at Missouri

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  • Machine Choice
    SBR MVP
    • 12-12-08
    • 3997

    #1
    Machine Report: Oklahoma at Missouri
    Machine Plays: 16-7 (70%)
    Current Streak: 0-1

    Some slight value here for Missouri, especially in the raucous home, night environment. The line is Oklahoma -3 (although it may slip to -2.5 soon). How many times has Oklahoma gone on the road this year and covered 3 points? The answer: they haven't. They beat Cinci by 3. That's Cinci with a defense nowhere near as strong as Mizzou.

    Simply put: Oklahoma has not been road-tested this year and they'll have to show me something before I'll back them. Meanwhile, Mizzou has rocked both Big 12 opponents by an average 24 point margin.

    Mizzou's defense will be the difference in this game, only giving up 5.6 yards per pass attempt and now facing a pass-happy team. Missouri is slightly more balanced offensively with respect to ypc/ypa. And there is a huge revenge factor involved after OU smashed Mizzou 62-21 two years ago. Locker room material. Missouri got GameDay for the first time ever, and this is their chance to shine in the public eye in prime time. Oklahoma will come in over-confident after the Iowa State beatdown, I think Mizzou will be better prepared.

    MIZZOU +3
  • SwisherSweet420
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-18-10
    • 922

    #2
    oklahoma will cover. Just because the number 1 team has gone down the 1st week after they should be able to cover. There the better team with a chance to win 14 to 21 +++
    sbr
    Comment
    • khaden
      SBR MVP
      • 01-19-09
      • 1864

      #3
      Nice I've been liking Mizz all week now I'm gnna pound it.
      Comment
      • Pete0
        SBR MVP
        • 04-09-10
        • 3849

        #4
        Thanks machine

        Is this the pick u were talking about in your previous post ?
        (about only 1 pick u were really going to concentrate on)

        I'm on it anyways ! Good luck man !
        Comment
        • kevinslack1016
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-17-10
          • 162

          #5
          Case can be made for both teams to say they're untested. Missouri hasn't played a team nearly as talented as Oklahoma and I think Missouri's D stats are a little misleading.
          Comment
          • NYSportsGuy210
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-07-09
            • 11347

            #6
            Michigan St. came through for me.....now Oklahoma will definitely be the play here to cover (-3) or (-2.5)

            Gonna take the Sooners here to win by 8 points or more.
            Comment
            • kmarinouofm
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-26-09
              • 8437

              #7
              buying half a point.. i like it machine.. been a lean all week Mizz +3.5
              Comment
              • hitman2010
                SBR MVP
                • 09-03-10
                • 1465

                #8
                I am in.
                Comment
                • k1ane
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 09-20-08
                  • 40

                  #9
                  OU is wayyy too balanced! There is NO WAY mizzou wins tonight!

                  Oklahoma -3 and Under 53
                  Comment
                  • Machine Choice
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-12-08
                    • 3997

                    #10
                    All I'm saying is, in the past 18 college football games I have handicapped I have used the exact same methodology to cap all of them (I didn't use it in the first three games this season). In those 18 games, I've gone 13-5. In this game, that methodology tells me that Mizzou should be favored by five points. That's all I'm saying. Clearly I could lose the game, but I'll go with the probabilities.
                    Comment
                    • G's pks
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-01-09
                      • 22251

                      #11
                      Machine who has mizzou played look at the scores and qualities (or lack of) they have played... I have no play on this right now...
                      Comment
                      • kmarinouofm
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 8437

                        #12
                        Originally posted by k1ane
                        OU is wayyy too balanced! There is NO WAY mizzou wins tonight!

                        Oklahoma -3 and Under 53
                        book are counting on this public perception.. its how they pay the bills in vegas..
                        Comment
                        • G's pks
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-01-09
                          • 22251

                          #13
                          Machine uses Jeff Sagarin...
                          Comment
                          • Machine Choice
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-12-08
                            • 3997

                            #14
                            Originally posted by G's pks
                            Machine uses Jeff Sagarin...
                            And many other things. Hint: CNNSI
                            Comment
                            • zoso11871
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 01-04-10
                              • 452

                              #15
                              I'm playing the Over.
                              Comment
                              • k1ane
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 09-20-08
                                • 40

                                #16
                                Pretty sure the "books" are counting on people going with the Over
                                Comment
                                • the h man
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 10-14-10
                                  • 145

                                  #17
                                  Any lean on the TCU game?
                                  Comment
                                  • tbond10
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-02-08
                                    • 1014

                                    #18
                                    On Mizz +3 (-105) and O 53
                                    Comment
                                    • dozer
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 03-03-10
                                      • 1495

                                      #19
                                      u r right, but

                                      okla has only played 1 away game. it was against cinci, and they did win by 2. however, they were up 20 i believe and pretty much just got bored and had to hang on for the win.

                                      heres my opinion. okla has played 2-3 opponents in the same class as mizzou and beat them all. mizz has played 0 in okla's class. murray running and catching the ball i think will be the difference. mizzou really isnt good at running the ball. okla will get the sacks this eveing.

                                      im on okla, but not huge.

                                      so many games i like tomorrow. steelers, pats/chargers over, falcons, cowboys, vikes, kc. all favs, but what the hell.
                                      Comment
                                      • whatdafuxup
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-25-08
                                        • 1307

                                        #20
                                        taking the over 53.5
                                        Comment
                                        • k22t
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 04-28-09
                                          • 558

                                          #21
                                          Took Team Total over 25.5 on Missouri, also Missouri +3
                                          Double Up. Hit em in the head.
                                          Comment
                                          • Machine Choice
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-12-08
                                            • 3997

                                            #22
                                            So far so good. Hey Mizzou, don't forget who you're playing!! Do not take your foot off the gas or ease up even 1%. OU will make us pay!
                                            Comment
                                            • Machine Choice
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-12-08
                                              • 3997

                                              #23
                                              GAME OVER

                                              Machine Plays: 17-7
                                              Comment
                                              • brewcrew2k
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-26-10
                                                • 1158

                                                #24
                                                Great work, and its another great Saturday...Except for my SMU play
                                                Comment
                                                • Mac4Lyfe
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-04-09
                                                  • 48383

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Machine Choice
                                                  GAME OVER

                                                  Machine Plays: 17-7
                                                  Premature ejaculate much? Still plenty of time...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • G's pks
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 01-01-09
                                                    • 22251

                                                    #26
                                                    good call on this one...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Machine Choice
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-12-08
                                                      • 3997

                                                      #27
                                                      No other handicapper in AMERICA called Mizzou tonight. No one!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • G's pks
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 01-01-09
                                                        • 22251

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Machine Choice
                                                        No other handicapper in AMERICA called Mizzou tonight. No one!!!!!!!!!!!!!

                                                        I would not go that far...but you did make a good call...

                                                        Mizzou was faster...stronger and wanted it much more...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • CntryBoy
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 09-14-10
                                                          • 415

                                                          #29
                                                          Great call Machine! I couldn't pull the trigger, but what a good game they played. Keep up the good work.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • gilbert91016
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-29-09
                                                            • 1479

                                                            #30
                                                            Nice call!!
                                                            Comment
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