Cincinnati vs South Florida

aman86 · 10-22-10, 08:27 AM

Cincy rolls IMO they've got a hot offense with a confident qb at home whereas usf has just the opposite, should be almost as ez as last night

CLASSIC ROCK · 10-22-10, 08:28 AM

Neither team the same as last year. Lean towards Cinny, but just not sure they can be trusted to cover the line

falconticket · 10-22-10, 08:29 AM

Have to lean Cincy. Can't out think it again tonight. Just playing the obvious.

bypp · 10-22-10, 08:30 AM

Cincy is not at all what they were last year, but it seems like they are starting to get their act together. I think they win comfortably by at least 10.

tripleblack1705 · 10-22-10, 08:35 AM

If you've seen both teams play there's only one side to take. Cinci -8

Loatchie · 10-22-10, 08:38 AM

Week 8 CFB Picks

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kurt_06518 · 10-22-10, 08:39 AM

south florida has a top tier defense. cincy hasnt seen a defense close to this one, my lean is south florida

stefan084 · 10-22-10, 08:39 AM

i like cinci and the over because S. Floridas QB adds scoring potential through picks and some positive plays as well

Facepunch · 10-22-10, 08:42 AM

South Florida is going to get a lot of bites from bettors tonight because they held WVU to 20 points. Fact of the matter is that if you watched the game Bill Stewart slammed the brakes on that game in the 3rd quarter and nursed the lead. There was a lot of criticism of him in the local media for doing so. We (WVU) were doing great through the air (to include 2 touchdowns), but Stewart completely shut down the passing game and held to the run , which lead to only 3 points scored in the second half. In my opinion Cinci has a pretty good passing game, so they should be able to expose this over-rated South Florida Pass D.

Facepunch · 10-22-10, 08:46 AM

Originally posted by stefan084

i like cinci and the over because S. Floridas QB adds scoring potential through picks and some positive plays as well

They have been trying to make him a pocket passer, I think if they do not abandon that plan and allow him to be the Mobile threat that he should be then he does throw 3 more picks this week. Conversely if they do allow him to move out of the pocket it could turn into serious yardage. the kid has wheels.

Either way it bodes well for the Over

kurt_06518 · 10-22-10, 08:53 AM

facepunch i cant take ur analysis serious since ur a west virginia fan

Facepunch · 10-22-10, 09:00 AM

Fair enough, I got some good scouting last week though.

Facepunch · 10-22-10, 09:02 AM

IF you think that WVU could not muster a touchdown against S Fla. in the second half because S Fla's Defense is that impressive you should probably take my advice (at least into account) when you cap this game.

kurt_06518 · 10-22-10, 09:05 AM

in my opinion it is rediculous to think that in a 17-6 football game in the 3rd quarter that west virginia took the foot off the pedal and decided not to score. The reason maybe their play call looked conservative was because teh defesne was good and took away some of the more aggresive options, but i can see as a wvu fan why u dont want to credit their defesne and simply say they didnt want to score

MovingUnits513 · 10-22-10, 09:11 AM

the over is the safest bet imo

sooner13 · 10-22-10, 09:31 AM

I'd have to say I like the under 48.5, (probably 49 by kickoff if you wait). Given the style of D and the fact that 4 out of 5 of SF's games have been under, not to mention the dismal 10 points a game that SF is averaging on the road. I'd say a 24-17 game is very likely. Goodluck.

kurt_06518 · 10-22-10, 09:41 AM

agreed

kernssca · 10-22-10, 10:06 AM

Under looks like a good one here with cincy by 10-14pts. SFla just dowsnt have a flow on the Offenssive side, but the D can keep it close for a time. Also as far as WVU slowing down there is no question for anyone that watched the game, their coach has openly been one for just taking the win, since they are not looking to go to the title he just wants wins (no matter by what) and get his BCS game for winning the Big East

PorkChop · 10-22-10, 10:27 AM

THE BUZZ: Cincinnati has won 13 consecutive Big East games and would tie for the second-longest streak in conference history with a victory over USF. Cincinnati has scored 80 points in its past two games, while the Bulls haven't scored an offensive touchdown in their past two games.
THE LINE: Cincinnati by 7.5 THE PICK: Cincinnati 27-16

kurt_06518 · 10-22-10, 10:38 AM

sounds like a real easy pick doesnt it porkchop

sweethook · 10-22-10, 10:40 AM

38-13 cinn looks good to me ,

Facepunch · 10-22-10, 10:45 AM

It is literally insane to me that anyone would take USF in this position.

ONE STAT TO CHANGE YOUR MIND IF YOU WERE THINKING ABOUT BACKING THIS GROUP OF SAD SACKS

- They have not scored an offensive touchdown YET in Big East play

They have made their bones on teams like

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
and
Florida Atlantic Owls

Their only two Touchdowns this entire season that were worth anything were the two they got against Florida in a 38-14 Loss.

smarmy · 10-22-10, 10:46 AM

Also on the Bearcats to cover. Contemplating the under as well. Just don't see USF putting up a large number. GL to all.

305GURU · 10-22-10, 10:53 AM

Usf @ home barely scored on syracuse...then put up only 6 last week...cinci rolls at home...not too confident on the over

GoCougs! · 10-22-10, 11:01 AM

Not a real exciting game. I lean on Cinci to cover, but will probably not play it at all.

jram68 · 10-22-10, 11:04 AM

I'm on Cincy as well. Collaros has been lighting it up just like he did last year in substitutions

dbacker51 · 10-22-10, 11:45 AM

Originally posted by kurt_06518

south florida has a top tier defense. cincy hasnt seen a defense close to this one, my lean is south florida

USF top tier defense? maybe statistically but look at who they earned those statistics against. I think USF defensive rankings are a bit smoke and mirrors.

I do on the other hand like who Cinn has earned they scares against. 8 seems like alot of points here, but Cinn coming home under the Friday Night Lights and they get USF who has had trouble scoring against any reasonable defenses.

CINN -8 is my play FWIW

Lean under 45, not playing it just a feeling.

AceKingHigh · 10-22-10, 12:17 PM

Playing Cincinnati -8 GL all!!

kurt_06518 · 10-22-10, 12:19 PM

dbacker you are telling me going into west virginia and only letting up 2 touchdowns is not impressive? west virginia always puts up big points at home

Poster X · 10-22-10, 12:21 PM

like the under here.

castle · 10-22-10, 12:22 PM

Facepunch's analysis is on point in this thread. Coming from an unbiased opinion here.

me-first · 10-22-10, 12:34 PM

slight lean toward S Fla in this one..

ACSeminole · 10-22-10, 12:39 PM

Agreed. These thur/fri games have been pretty obvious. Favorites have owned these week night games.

jbatcha21 · 10-22-10, 12:51 PM

Originally posted by dbacker51

USF top tier defense? maybe statistically but look at who they earned those statistics against. I think USF defensive rankings are a bit smoke and mirrors.

I do on the other hand like who Cinn has earned they scares against. 8 seems like alot of points here, but Cinn coming home under the Friday Night Lights and they get USF who has had trouble scoring against any reasonable defenses.

CINN -8 is my play FWIW

Lean under 45, not playing it just a feeling.

I agree. West Virginia could have scored more if they would have stayed aggressive in the second half. They gave up 38 to Florida when Florida could barely get the snap to the QB. The rest of their opponents are trash.