Heavy RLM with MSU v. NW

[SR]

I really like Michigan State here, they've looked good and still have alot to play for.

However starting at -7 and dropping to -5 with 58% of the action on MSU makes no sense.

Thoughts?

[jeeves]

I think the group taking NW is convinced of the letdown scenario for the Spartans. And It's a classic: Coming off big conference wins (2/3 were Home, 2/3 were rank opponents) they travel away to play "harmless" Northwestern, while looking ahead to the HUGE showdown next week at Iowa. Thing is: Northwestern is far from harmless.

[SR]

I just wonder if the books are convinced as well since most of the money is coming in on MSU but they are still dropping the line.

[jeeves]

To the linesmakers, the Sharp plays have more influence on the line movement, even if they only account for 40% of the money on the game.