Cinci (2-3) vs Louisville (3-2)

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  • jadenandashton
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-21-10
    • 171

    #1
    Cinci (2-3) vs Louisville (3-2)
    I am going for a perfect 5-0 this week for the first time all season and feel very confident about this next game. Through looking at the game last night and some good research this morning this game should be another KSU or Central Florida type of game. Again I hate to repeat myself but I am big on numbers and statistics and I dont think there is a light switch that you can hit and all of a sudden you are going to be a good football team. Everything that I look at tells me that Cincy should roll in this game by atleast 10 to 14 points. Let first take a look at Louisville and there 3-2 record;
    wins-
    Eastern KY by ten points. They are currently 2-3 on the season with there big win coming against E. Illinois or Kentucky State you take your pick.
    Arkansas State by ten points. They are currently 2-4 with there big win coming against North Texas.
    Memphis by 56 points. They are currently 1-5 on the season.There big win is against Middle tennessee state.
    I have to thank this Memphis team for taking such a beating, I think this is the reason that we are getting this game at only -3.5 instead of 8 or 9 points. We might be thanking them if those points come into play tonight.
    Those teams have a combined record of 5-12 loses. Not exactly quality wins by any stretch of the imagination.

    Cincinati 2-3
    Lets take a look at there loses
    Fresno state by 14. They are currently 3-2 on the season
    Nc State by 11. They are currently 5-1 and are a top 25 team in a very competitive ACC. There only loss coming to VT who they were beating until the 4th quarter.
    Oklahoma by 2. They are 5-0 and a top ten team.
    These teams have a combined record of 13-3. I would also note that there leading rusher did not play against NC state in a loss and was only at half speed against Fresno State.

    Keys to victory:
    - Cincy's run defense is number 8 in the country only giving up an average of 84 yards per game.
    - cincy is also 22nd in the country in pass efficiency and leads the Big east.
    - leading rusher will be going up against the number 90th run defense (before the memphis game) and his last two games he has rushed for 171 yards against Oklahoma and 199 yards vs Miami, OH.

    Louisville, much like some other teams that we have won against this week, has no answers for Cincy on either side of the ball. This is why they play the games though. Weather will not be an issue for it will be in the 50's at game time with clear skies. Should be an entertaining one under the lights. Be weary of the over with such a good defense on the cincy side against a very mediocre offense on the louisville side. Points could be an issue and plan on Cincy pounding the running game until the game opens up in the second half. GL to all and hope to go 5-0 and cash tonight.
  • hotshotz3
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-05-09
    • 217

    #2
    Nice write up I was leaning cinci myself
    Comment
    • CntryBoy
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-14-10
      • 415

      #3
      Good write-up, I'm leaning Cinci as well. This is yet another fishy line like both games last night, but won both of them. I'm trying not to overthink here as well.. BOL!
      Comment
      • CarolinaDaze
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-07-09
        • 6845

        #4
        Good write-up, i was already liking the Under and was leaning Cinci, GL 2nite.
        Comment
        • jadenandashton
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-21-10
          • 171

          #5
          I am also making a strong play on the under at 56. I don't see Louisvill being able to put alot of numbers up in this game. I actually loved the under last night in the WV game and layed off of it. I am not making that mistake tonight. 1x u 56
          Comment
          • oklahomaoutlaw
            SBR High Roller
            • 06-21-10
            • 231

            #6
            Originally posted by jadenandashton
            I am going for a perfect 5-0 this week for the first time all season and feel very confident about this next game. .
            Ya I am 4-0 too but so are alot of people because all of the favs have covered all week, and this will be the 3rd road fav to cover in a row this week I am thinking I like the home team on prime time TV plus the points LOU +3x for a small play but BOL.
            Comment
            • HoofHearted
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-22-09
              • 155

              #7
              Good write up..I am also leaning towards cinci. Good luck tonight
              Comment
              • The Bet Master
                SBR MVP
                • 09-29-10
                • 2665

                #8
                Thanks for re assuring my Cinci bet.
                Comment
                • udlock4life
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 10-08-10
                  • 212

                  #9
                  cinci looks good
                  Comment
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