Louisville vs Cincinnati: The Right Play

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  • pokerwhiz90
    SBR MVP
    • 10-02-10
    • 2618

    #1
    Louisville vs Cincinnati: The Right Play
    Hey College Football forum!

    I'm doing really well, yesterday hitting my parlay of the over and the complete blow out by ksu! woot!

    Today I think I can extend this really good run, and I encourage you guys to check out all my threads for tennis, soccer, nfl, soon nba (have been treading waters) and mlb.

    For this game, it's a lot tougher than the KSU game as the difference between the two team aren't as historical nor large in the talent margin.

    However the play is:
    Cincinnati -2.5

    and my strong lean is the over 63.

    Many of the handicapping websites and espn are strongly predicting a game above 60 points, so my strong lean is the over.


    Although Louisville is playing well, the first obvious thing is they are not as talented as Cincinnati. Also their star wide receiver is out (thanks for the research Machine). Looking at the trends historically in the last ten matchups Louisville has been 7-3 against the spread however the last two years Cincinnati has bee 2-0 ATS against Louisville. Obviously that is because Cincinnati under the current Notre Dame coach was doing a lot better. All I can say is many students who were recruited to play under kelly are still stuck in Cincinnati, and regardless of the homefield advantage, Louisville is a miserable 1-6 in their last games straight up. In other words, this year Cincinnati is a much better team than the Cardinals.

    Disclaimer: I will not put more than 2 units on this game, 1 for the Bearcats ats and the over.

    And also, hope you guys are continuing to enjoy "the right play" series, I will continue doing this in all the sports until I hit a slump!

    And also I wouldn't mind some point donations! Still trying to start a small fund maybe a $50 miracle at 5dimes, Im dreading bodog right now so much.
  • pokerwhiz90
    SBR MVP
    • 10-02-10
    • 2618

    #2
    bonus: just wanted you guys to know I have a really good read for the nba game BOSTON-4 to pound it hard! against the raptors
    Comment
    • DennisT
      SBR MVP
      • 03-11-09
      • 2023

      #3
      Your over is good however you probably have the wrong side. Cincy won,t cover that 3. lol
      Comment
      • udlock4life
        SBR High Roller
        • 10-08-10
        • 212

        #4
        over is looking good
        Comment
        • TwampSix
          SBR High Roller
          • 10-07-10
          • 237

          #5
          I got Louisville plus the over!!
          Comment
          • ebbearsfb1
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-07-08
            • 18815

            #6
            over under is 57, were did u get 63 from?
            Comment
            • bacon22
              SBR Sharp
              • 07-09-10
              • 292

              #7
              I agree with the play. Good call
              Comment
              • ukbro00
                SBR Sharp
                • 04-02-07
                • 388

                #8
                Don't know about Over/Under, but Louisville should cover, might win. They are statistically a better team and have a good home record. Cincy is 0-2 on the road this year.
                Comment
                • pokerwhiz90
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-02-10
                  • 2618

                  #9
                  Like I said, this isn't a huge play, but its still the right play using all my points of research

                  btw guys did you guys bet on the celtics -4 like i said.. they are up almost 20 going into the half... itd be a shame if you didn't bet on this game big - i bet 25 units on it and about to get paid!!!!!
                  Comment
                  • pokerwhiz90
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-02-10
                    • 2618

                    #10
                    Over's looking really good, the game is pretty close except cincinnati's offense is a lot smoother but both defense's aren't playing top notch - Boston -4 looks like a joke with their 30 pt lead already, and I'm about to hit my over for the Bulls/Mavericks

                    I'm going to hit 3 of my parlays, 1 of my 4 team parlays, and all 4 of my single bets... pay day baby
                    Comment
                    • pokerwhiz90
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-02-10
                      • 2618

                      #11
                      we hit the over guys
                      Comment
                      • pokerwhiz90
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-02-10
                        • 2618

                        #12
                        Not only did I hit the over, I hit Cincy -3, I hit Celtics -4, I hit Bulls over 193, and to be even more modest I hit my total for the cincy game at 62!!!! proof: http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...ml#post6892487

                        i think i should get some credit today! maybe some sbr points?
                        Comment
                        • INDIANOPERATOR
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 10-15-10
                          • 158

                          #13
                          shit loss has louisville
                          Comment
                          • EXpertcapper
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-05-10
                            • 5026

                            #14
                            Good calls on both plays!
                            Comment
                            • DiggityDaggityDo
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 11-30-08
                              • 81450

                              #15
                              Originally posted by pokerwhiz90;68***27
                              and my strong lean is the over 63.
                              Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
                              and to be even more modest I hit my total for the cincy game at 62!!!! i think i should get some credit today! maybe some sbr points?
                              Comment
                              • pokerwhiz90
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-02-10
                                • 2618

                                #16
                                im not sure why i wrote 63... that was a brainfart, when i wrote 63, i really meant to say 57 (the actual over)
                                Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

                                look at the forum at look at the score i predicted

                                sorry diggity but if you do look at the link, it was a contest for guessing the score of the game, and i guessed it right... just look at the time of the post (post #1)
                                Comment
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