Let me start by saying that I know Kansas St on paper is the better team but I am not looking for who the better team is I am looking at who is going to cover this line. Alot of people are up in the air on this game and this is what I feel about it.
This is a very interesting game to breakdown. Kansas St comes into this game off a huge loss to Nebraska and would like nothing more then to go on National TV and lay a beating on its inerstate rival. The problem though is Kansas St is a horrible road team. This team is 2-14 Straight up their last 16 road games. (this does not include neutral site games). They are 1-5 ATS the last 6 road games as a favorite. They know in their minds that they got hammered by Nebraksa and want this game big time, but they also know that they have road struggles and it is in their head. The question is though do they press too much trying for a win on the road tonight and get caught off guard by a team in Kansas that Plays pretty good at home but just horrible on the road. Kansas has had an extra week to prepeare for this game, I feel they should be ready to face a struggling road team.
Kansas St on the road in their last 5 conference road games is only averging 19 points per game and has allowed 38 points per game in those 5 conference road games. This team has yet to play a road game this year but last year they only averaged 14 points per game on the road and allowed 33 points per game.
Kansas on the other hand at home their last 5 conference games is averging 23 points per game but allows 36 points per game. Kansas though their last 7 home games has averaged 31 points per game and allowed 27 points per game. This Kansas team was humilated this year at home the first game of the season by North Dakota state, the next game they rebounded and beat G Tech on their home field. They went on to lose by 15 at S Miss and then came home and blew out New Mexico St. They then went to Baylor and got crushed by 48 points. They way it looks they seem to rebound off of bad losses. So can they rebound tonight and beat this Kansas St team?
I truly believe that Kansas can cover this spread tonight. This game looks like it is set up to be a lower scoring game with the total only at 50. So keeping that in Mind I think that either Kansas wins this game outright or they lose it either 23-21 or even 24-21. I am going to wait on this for a little bit and see if this line can get back to 3.5 and then I would take Kansas just in case it ends in a 3 point loss. If not I might just play a half unit on Kansas at +3.
Good Luck Everyone!
This is a very interesting game to breakdown. Kansas St comes into this game off a huge loss to Nebraska and would like nothing more then to go on National TV and lay a beating on its inerstate rival. The problem though is Kansas St is a horrible road team. This team is 2-14 Straight up their last 16 road games. (this does not include neutral site games). They are 1-5 ATS the last 6 road games as a favorite. They know in their minds that they got hammered by Nebraksa and want this game big time, but they also know that they have road struggles and it is in their head. The question is though do they press too much trying for a win on the road tonight and get caught off guard by a team in Kansas that Plays pretty good at home but just horrible on the road. Kansas has had an extra week to prepeare for this game, I feel they should be ready to face a struggling road team.
Kansas St on the road in their last 5 conference road games is only averging 19 points per game and has allowed 38 points per game in those 5 conference road games. This team has yet to play a road game this year but last year they only averaged 14 points per game on the road and allowed 33 points per game.
Kansas on the other hand at home their last 5 conference games is averging 23 points per game but allows 36 points per game. Kansas though their last 7 home games has averaged 31 points per game and allowed 27 points per game. This Kansas team was humilated this year at home the first game of the season by North Dakota state, the next game they rebounded and beat G Tech on their home field. They went on to lose by 15 at S Miss and then came home and blew out New Mexico St. They then went to Baylor and got crushed by 48 points. They way it looks they seem to rebound off of bad losses. So can they rebound tonight and beat this Kansas St team?
I truly believe that Kansas can cover this spread tonight. This game looks like it is set up to be a lower scoring game with the total only at 50. So keeping that in Mind I think that either Kansas wins this game outright or they lose it either 23-21 or even 24-21. I am going to wait on this for a little bit and see if this line can get back to 3.5 and then I would take Kansas just in case it ends in a 3 point loss. If not I might just play a half unit on Kansas at +3.
Good Luck Everyone!