TPowell's SHARP MONEY CFB Plays

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  • THE PROFIT
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-27-09
    • 17701

    #36
    I really like NAVY
    Comment
    • TPowell
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-21-08
      • 18842

      #37
      not sure what to say guys, I hate to say tail because the percentages say I'm due to have a losing week to say the LEAST. Looking forward to tommorow though, as NHL has killed me this week already
      Comment
      • cowboyfan08
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-18-10
        • 575

        #38
        I know what u mean i had been killing them up til last week end. Then got burned this past weekend.wish i had seen ur sharp plays when gettin my ass handed to me.bol this weekend u may stay hot.
        Comment
        • M.W.
          SBR MVP
          • 09-07-08
          • 1668

          #39
          Umm, 13-1 last Saturday? Holy moly.

          Hope you win again tomorrow.
          Comment
          • TPowell
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-21-08
            • 18842

            #40
            FIRST SET OF GAMES!

            Syracuse +2 (-110)
            Michigan State -6.5 (-110)
            Purdue -5.5 (-110)
            Ball State -15 (-110)
            Florida State -21 (-120)
            Comment
            • Cougar Bait
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-04-07
              • 18282

              #41
              Good luck TP I went with Pitt

              The rest look solid

              If you go 5-0 on these I might have to resign though
              Comment
              • SimonSayz
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-17-09
                • 859

                #42
                GL Powell...as always and to every player...

                Kill the Bookie.
                Comment
                • TPowell
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-21-08
                  • 18842

                  #43
                  MORE PLAYS

                  Notre Dame -24 (-110)
                  Navy -1.5 (-110)
                  Idaho -1.5 (-110)
                  Texas Tech -3 (-110)
                  Comment
                  • Cougar Bait
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-04-07
                    • 18282

                    #44
                    With you on Idaho
                    Comment
                    • mmike032
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-11-08
                      • 8905

                      #45
                      with ya on Idaho and FSU
                      Comment
                      • Roy Halladay
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-27-10
                        • 1074

                        #46
                        nice
                        Comment
                        • TPowell
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-21-08
                          • 18842

                          #47
                          ADDING 3 MORE!

                          California +2.5 (-110)
                          Kentucky +4.5 (-110)
                          UAB -3 (-110)
                          Comment
                          • ebbearsfb1
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-07-08
                            • 18815

                            #48
                            Lots of action for u. Powell good luck
                            Comment
                            • TPowell
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-21-08
                              • 18842

                              #49
                              Originally posted by TPowell
                              [COLOR=#000000 !important]CFB SHARP MONEY PLAYS: 14-1 (+13.90 units)[/color]


                              alright guys these are the final contenders for sharp money plays. Barring crazy events, these will be plays for tommorow!! Will post official plays with the actual lines when I lock them in.


                              Michigan State
                              Purdue
                              Florida State
                              Ball State
                              Notre Dame
                              California
                              Texas
                              Texas Tech
                              Auburn
                              Navy
                              Idaho
                              UAB
                              Kentucky
                              Mississippi State
                              Wisconsin
                              Florida International
                              San Diego State

                              these plays went 11-5-1 guys, I really think I found something here.
                              Comment
                              • TPowell
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-21-08
                                • 18842

                                #50
                                Alright guys, on a 24-7 ATS run to start off CFB season! Tail or fade, your choice!

                                OFFICIAL LEANS (Plays will be up Friday night)

                                South Florida (+7.5)
                                Ohio State (-23.5)
                                Northwestern (+5)
                                Syracuse (+14)
                                Iowa State (+20.5)
                                Maryland (+4)
                                Arkansas State (-7.5)
                                UConn (-1)
                                Iowa (-5.5)
                                Kansas State (+6.5)
                                Kent State (-2)
                                Akron (+7.5)
                                Texas Tech (-2.5)
                                Central Michigan (+9.5)
                                Idaho (-23.5)
                                Virginia (-24)
                                Air Force (+18.5)
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #51
                                  How did Iowa make the list, TP?

                                  Didn't they open at -6? As far as I can tell, 2/3rds of the public is on the Hawks, yet they've dipped to -5.5.
                                  Comment
                                  • TPowell
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-21-08
                                    • 18842

                                    #52
                                    without giving away too much, the line dipped down to 5 and came back up at one point.
                                    Comment
                                    • linewiz
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 05-18-10
                                      • 234

                                      #53
                                      Good stuff, Powell....tremendous record. First time on this thread. Do you weight or prioritize your plays in any way...or just consider them all of equal strength?
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by TPowell
                                        without giving away too much, the line dipped down to 5 and came back up at one point.
                                        Unless it makes it back to 6, I'm skeptical. I really like Iowa in this spot, but as a tease play. I could easily see a 3-4 point win here.
                                        Comment
                                        • TPowell
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-21-08
                                          • 18842

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by linewiz
                                          Good stuff, Powell....tremendous record. First time on this thread. Do you weight or prioritize your plays in any way...or just consider them all of equal strength?
                                          I flat bet these plays
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #56
                                            I see Pinny actually moved it to 4.5 at one point.
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #57
                                              Really keeping an eye on the MSU/Northwestern game as well. Public loves the Spartans in this spot, but the line keeps dropping. If it gets to 4.5, I might hammer the Wildcats.
                                              Comment
                                              • TPowell
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-21-08
                                                • 18842

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                Unless it makes it back to 6, I'm skeptical. I really like Iowa in this spot, but as a tease play. I could easily see a 3-4 point win here.

                                                I think Iowa has a decent chance of running Wisconsin out of the game. Iowa defense is very tough and if Wisky can't run the ball, they have no shot at covering 10 points, no offense to their QB but he isn't good enough to do much against this Iowa defense. On the other side, I like Stanzi throwing the football in big games, his stats aren't good but something about him makes me want to bet him in a big game, especially at home. NONE OF THIS is why Iowa is a lean though
                                                Comment
                                                • No coincidences
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                  • 76300

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by TPowell
                                                  I think Iowa has a decent chance of running Wisconsin out of the game. Iowa defense is very tough and if Wisky can't run the ball, they have no shot at covering 10 points, no offense to their QB but he isn't good enough to do much against this Iowa defense. On the other side, I like Stanzi throwing the football in big games, his stats aren't good but something about him makes me want to bet him in a big game, especially at home. NONE OF THIS is why Iowa is a lean though
                                                  I could see this as well, but with White, Wisconsin's run game is pretty potent. The Clay/White tandem makes me think the Badgers can hang in there. Last week's win, though, actually hurts Wisky in this spot IMHO.

                                                  I still think Iowa is relatively weak at LB as well.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • packbacker79
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 10-09-10
                                                    • 96

                                                    #60
                                                    Really like:

                                                    Northwestern
                                                    Syracuse
                                                    Maryland
                                                    Akron
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dimetimekid
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 09-30-10
                                                      • 136

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by packbacker79
                                                      Really like:

                                                      Northwestern
                                                      Syracuse
                                                      Maryland
                                                      Akron

                                                      I would go with syracuse only. i would be willing to bet 25sbr points that only one of those dogs covers...if syracuse is the only one to hit then i get double (50sbr points).

                                                      what do you say?northwestern +5.5
                                                      syracuse +13.5
                                                      maryland +4
                                                      akron +7

                                                      i know the dogs are winning most of the time, but i just dont see these four all winning.

                                                      what do you say?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • packbacker79
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 10-09-10
                                                        • 96

                                                        #62
                                                        Public is all over the other side but the lines have dropped.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TPowell
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 02-21-08
                                                          • 18842

                                                          #63
                                                          guys, these lines have been crazy since I posted my leans. Here is my revised list of leans as of now

                                                          Ohio State (-23.5)
                                                          Virginia Tech (-27)
                                                          Syracuse (buy the hook to +14)
                                                          Maryland (+4)
                                                          Arkansas State (-7.5)
                                                          BYU (-10.5)
                                                          Iowa (-5.5)
                                                          Kansas State (+6.5)
                                                          Kent State (-2.5)
                                                          Akron (+7.5)
                                                          Texas Tech (-2.5)
                                                          Idaho (-23.5)
                                                          Air Force (+18.5)
                                                          Oklahoma State (+6)
                                                          Fresno State (-19)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • packbacker79
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 10-09-10
                                                            • 96

                                                            #64
                                                            What made you back of Northwestern?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TPowell
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 02-21-08
                                                              • 18842

                                                              #65
                                                              sharp money came in on Iowa at -5 and that TECHNICALLY takes them off my system plays. I DO HOWEVER like this game and will probably bet it as a spot play
                                                              Comment
                                                              • packbacker79
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 10-09-10
                                                                • 96

                                                                #66
                                                                Did you mean Mich State?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TPowell
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 02-21-08
                                                                  • 18842

                                                                  #67
                                                                  yeah sorry about that
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Aussiecapper101
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-04-10
                                                                    • 2220

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TPowell
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 02-21-08
                                                                      • 18842

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Ohio State -23.5 (-110)
                                                                      Virginia Tech -27 (-105)
                                                                      Syracuse +14 (-118)
                                                                      Maryland +4 (-113)
                                                                      Arkansas State -7 (-125)
                                                                      BYU -10 (-120)
                                                                      Iowa -6 (-115)
                                                                      Kansas State +6 (-105)
                                                                      Kent State -2.5 (-107)
                                                                      Akron +7.5 (-110)
                                                                      Texas Tech -2.5 (-120)
                                                                      Idaho -24 (-110)
                                                                      Air Force +18.5 (-110)
                                                                      Oklahoma State +6 (-110)
                                                                      Fresno State -19 (-110)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • rochestertitans
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 12-14-09
                                                                        • 8149

                                                                        #70
                                                                        im throwin a dime on cuse,, just cant judge if ill get 14 b4 game time or it will stay or drop
                                                                        Comment
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