San Diego State -4.5 at BYU

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  • zephyr
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-19-10
    • 516

    #1
    San Diego State -4.5 at BYU
    SDSU is a 4.5 point favorite at BYU. BYU does not have a good team. They did beat Washington on the first weekend, but it's been all downhill since. BYU has a tradition of winning at home; I know that. I also know that Mendenhall has been running their butts off in practice, and trying to fire them up. But I don't think their problems can be fixed so quickly. The Cougars have one of the worst defenses in the country, especially against the run (giving up 252 yards per game). They just let their defensive coordinator and secondary coach go. The offense is mediocre at best (15 points and 312 yards per game). The Aztecs, on the other hand, are on a major upswing. Rivals has the Aztecs at #40. Their offense is putting up 38 points and over 500 yards per game. On the road, they gave Missouri a scare. At home, they blew out Utah State (who blew out BYU -- but we know not to get to excited about that sort of thing). Utah State has a fairly dangerous offense, and the Aztecs' very athletic defense shut it down. The Aztecs had last week off, giving them two weeks to prepare for this conference opener against a team that has beat them by double digits consistently over the last few years. I love these games where the traditionally better team sucks and the traditionally weak team is decent. I think SDSU wins this by at least 10, and I think it could be a blowout (especially if SDSU's defense gets a score or two, and that is very possible). Two important warnings, though: (1) over 70% of the public is on SDSU and the line has gone from -6 to -4.5, so it's probably a square play, and (2) I've been cold. Thought I'd throw this one out there though. BOL this weekend.
  • keith22
    SBR Sharp
    • 03-27-10
    • 357

    #2
    BYU is atrocious. Good luck.
    Comment
    • CLASSIC ROCK
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 07-23-09
      • 574

      #3
      i really like this play think we cash it!
      Comment
      • ronjon619
        SBR MVP
        • 09-06-09
        • 3675

        #4
        SOLID. SDSU a road FAV for a reason. They are legit this year in Brady Hoake's 2nd season. BYU is rebuilding.
        Comment
        • uanl
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-10-09
          • 825

          #5
          Originally posted by ronjon619
          SOLID. SDSU a road FAV for a reason. They are legit this year in Brady Hoake's 2nd season. BYU is rebuilding.
          and my reason is that national audience saw how utah state destroyed BYU last week, and now everyone is backing SDSU as a road fav and BYU will cover and probably win SU ..signs point to vegas fooling the public yet again... BYU + the points..
          Comment
          • slyone66
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-08-09
            • 578

            #6
            one of my top 5 plays for saturday, let's cash it
            Comment
            • Cris_from_Europe
              SBR Sharp
              • 09-25-09
              • 343

              #7
              I like SDSU to cover in this one .... BOL
              Comment
              • ronjon619
                SBR MVP
                • 09-06-09
                • 3675

                #8
                Originally posted by uanl
                and my reason is that national audience saw how utah state destroyed BYU last week, and now everyone is backing SDSU as a road fav and BYU will cover and probably win SU ..signs point to vegas fooling the public yet again... BYU + the points..
                we shall see. What signs are pointing to a Vegas TRICK? BYU just fired it's DC. That means they suck on defense and the DC got the ax for his players performance. If that's the Vegas trick then I'm looking for the Aztec TREAT. Good Luck.
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Thing that bothers me is that NEVADA was only -4 at BYU. Based on that, no line value here. although there is no way I bet BYU.

                  PASS
                  Comment
                  • nightlife32
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 05-24-09
                    • 391

                    #10
                    This game has been stamped with TRAP!!!!



                    IMO..stay away but its your $

                    Comment
                    • HoldEmHook!!
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-08-09
                      • 2962

                      #11
                      Teams that have fallen to BYU previously now smell blood in the water, alot of revenge minded teams have "get back" in thier mind. Lets get that Aztec money
                      Comment
                      • JMobile
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-21-10
                        • 19074

                        #12
                        SDSU have been playing cheap teams. And I better get on this one while BYU is still weak.
                        Comment
                        • ronjon619
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-06-09
                          • 3675

                          #13
                          Originally posted by HoldEmHook!!
                          Teams that have fallen to BYU previously now smell blood in the water, alot of revenge minded teams have "get back" in thier mind. Lets get that Aztec money
                          EXACTLY. I can't remember when SDSU was a road fav.

                          State usually loses to BYU by 20 every year. This is their shot.
                          Comment
                          • LV420
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 09-13-10
                            • 342

                            #14
                            Originally posted by uanl
                            and my reason is that national audience saw how utah state destroyed BYU last week, and now everyone is backing SDSU as a road fav and BYU will cover and probably win SU ..signs point to vegas fooling the public yet again... BYU + the points..
                            People give Vegas way to much credit for "fooling people". Unless Vegas has some players to play defense this should be a easy win for sdsu!
                            Comment
                            • ronjon619
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-06-09
                              • 3675

                              #15
                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                              Thing that bothers me is that NEVADA was only -4 at BYU. Based on that, no line value here. although there is no way I bet BYU.

                              PASS
                              Reno is one of those teams everybody gets up for. They have all the flash with their offense and can easily hang 60 on you if you let them. This is a ho hum Saturday afternoon in Provo, no national tv audience with controversy all over the Mormon campus and a hungry team looking to atone for it's past failures against BYU.
                              This is not your Daddy's BYU teams of the past. I know it's tough to bet State in this spot as they are usually a double digit road dog in these spots, but this second year head coach has the Aztecs playing really well. Sure they can lay an egg but I really feel they can do some damage here. Just my .02.
                              Comment
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