Machine Report: Troy vs MTSU

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  • Machine Choice
    SBR MVP
    • 12-12-08
    • 3997

    #1
    Machine Report: Troy vs MTSU
    Dasher is back, but Troy will cover +3 no problem. Troy PF/PA splits against competition with net rank of 92 (Sagarin) matches well against MTSU PF/PA splits against inferior competition (ranked 139). Troy frosh QB Corey Robinson is stellar with 8/3, 62% and 1244 yards. Dasher will be very rusty, and has not played well against Troy in three years. He will gash Troy on the ground for many long gains, but Troy will ultimately key on him and force errant throws. Dasher is NOT A THROWER. If Troy contains him even remotely on the ground, game over.

    Both team's MOV/MOL against similar or better competition relative to today's line gives Troy a 3-0 ATS record this year. Troy won last year 31-7 with Dasher in the game. I'll take my chances with them again, they recruit better athletes.

    TROY +3
  • mp5070
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-13-08
    • 5446

    #2
    Welcome back, Machine......are you going to have plays for ncaab again?
    Comment
    • gmoney45
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-09-09
      • 312

      #3
      Welcome back machine. GL
      Comment
      • THE PROFIT
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-27-09
        • 17701

        #4
        But Troy lost a lot to graduation last year. Young line, freshman QB, on the road, MTSU in a blackout, Dashers 1st game & looking to make a statement, just seems scary
        Comment
        • Gauged
          SBR Rookie
          • 09-30-10
          • 8

          #5
          Well as scary as it is...I Gotta go With Troy And the Under....Not much on it but what I Had 2 pay out today..My Little 250 I'm not worried.....GO TROY!!!!!!!
          Comment
          • Machine Choice
            SBR MVP
            • 12-12-08
            • 3997

            #6
            Locked in at +3.5. I don't think +4 is in the cards before kick-off.
            Comment
            • Gundog
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 12-15-07
              • 833

              #7
              the play here is MTS.
              GOOD LUCK
              The Good Lord" Gave you a Body that can stand Almost Anything. It's your mind you have to convince.

              Once you learn to Quit It Becomes A " HABIT"



              Im so far behind i actually think im in First.

              To get to "Easy Street" you must Travel through "The Dump"
              Comment
              • LBDT168
                SBR Sharp
                • 10-05-10
                • 251

                #8
                i agree...i think it is MTSU or no play
                Comment
                • gummo
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-04-06
                  • 6297

                  #9
                  MTSU and over
                  Comment
                  • pronk
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-22-08
                    • 6887

                    #10
                    Why is everyone saying Dasher will be rusty? That's one helluva stupid argument for Troy.
                    Comment
                    • Machine Choice
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-12-08
                      • 3997

                      #11
                      Originally posted by pronk
                      Why is everyone saying Dasher will be rusty? That's one helluva stupid argument for Troy.
                      Dasher only completed 55% of his passes last year and threw 14 interceptions. Bet your ass he'll throw at least one and probably two tonight. Especially nerves from first game and all the hype/expectations.
                      Comment
                      • SR
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-10-08
                        • 1317

                        #12
                        Haha the Machine is back. Lets hope he got rewired. I'm with the electronics on this one. Troy conquers.
                        Comment
                        • shooms79
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-09-10
                          • 1105

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Machine Choice
                          Dasher only completed 55% of his passes last year and threw 14 interceptions. Bet your ass he'll throw at least one and probably two tonight. Especially nerves from first game and all the hype/expectations.
                          Based on what? Troys stellar D? Even if he is nervous and hype, i dont see Troys D stopping, he will stop himself. Imo It is up to troy to win in a shootout which is quite possible, but MTSU does have a decent D. BOL to all. MTSU -3 my play
                          Comment
                          • OilyDave
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 09-12-10
                            • 416

                            #14
                            Lets get an Over tonight!!!
                            Comment
                            • van1LLaDutch
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 09-23-10
                              • 32

                              #15
                              i like mtu on nationally televised games at home.. cant go against them, so might as well ride with them
                              Comment
                              • Metalhead
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-14-09
                                • 719

                                #16
                                Neither team can stop the run, but MT runs the ball better offensively.
                                Comment
                                • chiliv5
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 02-16-10
                                  • 1273

                                  #17
                                  THE MACHINE!!! time to rock and roll!
                                  Comment
                                  • infamousbacardi
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-16-08
                                    • 4556

                                    #18
                                    MTSU -3 for me. gl
                                    Comment
                                    • Machine Choice
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-12-08
                                      • 3997

                                      #19
                                      Game Over
                                      Comment
                                      • greenshark11
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-17-10
                                        • 484

                                        #20
                                        troy is looking good so far
                                        Comment
                                        • rb3b3
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 10-03-10
                                          • 962

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Machine Choice
                                          Game Over
                                          just wanted to let you know that your insight won me money tonight!! EXCELLENT writeup for tonights game!! so i just wanted to say thank you!! do you have a cfb or nfl thread of your weekly picks i can follow?
                                          Comment
                                          • RayzHELL
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-18-09
                                            • 2164

                                            #22
                                            Troy & the UNDER was "THE PLAY!"

                                            Select #1 : NCAA Football
                                            Troy Trojans 10/5/2010 8:00 PM - (EST)
                                            Money Line +140 for Game
                                            Select #2 : NCAA Football
                                            Troy Trojans/Middle Tenn State Blue Raiders 10/5/2010 8:00 PM - (EST)
                                            Total Points UNDER 65 [buying 2 points] -150 for Game
                                            Risk: $345.00 (USD)
                                            To Win Amount: $1,035.00 (USD)
                                            Game Notes:Time Change - @ESPN2
                                            Comment
                                            • sixpackdan
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 09-30-10
                                              • 26

                                              #23
                                              Good pick machine. I cashed on troy tonight aswell.
                                              Comment
                                              • rb3b3
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 10-03-10
                                                • 962

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by RayzHELL
                                                Select #1 : NCAA Football
                                                Troy Trojans 10/5/2010 8:00 PM - (EST)
                                                Money Line +140 for Game
                                                Select #2 : NCAA Football
                                                Troy Trojans/Middle Tenn State Blue Raiders 10/5/2010 8:00 PM - (EST)
                                                Total Points UNDER 65 [buying 2 points] -150 for Game
                                                Risk: $345.00 (USD)
                                                To Win Amount: $1,035.00 (USD)
                                                Game Notes:Time Change - @ESPN2

                                                what am i missing here? was that a reverse or something?totally confused
                                                Comment
                                                • Hawk007
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 2492

                                                  #25
                                                  I would say he hit a big parlay rb.
                                                  NCAA Basketball
                                                  '08-'09 (12-8) 60%
                                                  '09-'10 (63-46) 58%
                                                  WNBA
                                                  '10 (45-29) 64%
                                                  CFL
                                                  '10 (20-18)
                                                  NCAAF
                                                  '10 (16-7)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • shooms79
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-09-10
                                                    • 1105

                                                    #26
                                                    good call...wish i wasnt on the wrong side
                                                    bol
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mp5070
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-13-08
                                                      • 5446

                                                      #27
                                                      Nice winner....keep them coming
                                                      Comment
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