Week 6 Plays

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  • justkeepwinning
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-30-10
    • 933

    #1
    Week 6 Plays
    Last Week: 8-6 +.3 units
    Overall: 28-27 +1.0 unit

    Well it has been a grind so far this season, but I can't complain as I am on the plus side.

    Leans for Saturday:
    Michigan State +4
    Tennessee +11.5
    Alabama -6.5
    Notre Dame -6
    Arkansas -6
    Kentucky +7
    Houston +5
    Stanford -9.5

    Wow this is a tough week on Saturday that is for sure. Everyone of those games is scary. Looks like lots of traps and scores in the end that can make the cover one way or the other.

    I will be playing the midweek games on a day to day basis and about to start on tonight's game soon.

    Stay tuned....

    Good luck
  • justkeepwinning
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-30-10
    • 933

    #2
    Early lean for Tuesday:
    Middle Tennessee State -3
    Troy vs Middle Tennessee State under 62.5

    Stay tuned...

    Good luck
    Comment
    • 714cuzzin
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-11-10
      • 205

      #3
      I suck at total. But played mtenn gl buddy. Hope we cash. Need this one. Hahahah
      Comment
      • tbond10
        SBR MVP
        • 11-02-08
        • 1014

        #4
        On both of these plays as well.... both very small plays at .5 unit each.

        MTSU -3 (-110)
        Under 62.5 (-105)

        Good Luck!

        Comment
        • justkeepwinning
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 08-30-10
          • 933

          #5
          714cuzzin - good luck on the side I will more than likely be on it as well

          tbond - good to see you are on both. I might wait on the total and see if it can get a little higher
          Comment
          • justkeepwinning
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 08-30-10
            • 933

            #6
            Tuesday Night Play:
            Troy vs. Middle Tennessee State under 63.5 (1x)

            Still wanting to bet Middle Tennessee State but my local is sitting at -3.5 and won't let me buy points right now.

            Stay tuned...

            Good luck
            Comment
            • justkeepwinning
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 08-30-10
              • 933

              #7
              Have to go to dinner if this line gets back down to 3 I will be on it for 1 unit. Hopefully will be back before halftime to let everyone know and possibly make a play on the halftime line.

              Stay tuned....

              Good luck
              Comment
              • justkeepwinning
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 08-30-10
                • 933

                #8
                Good start to the week hitting the under tonight. Middle Tennessee State looked out of sync all night tonight plus Troy played a great game.

                Week 6: 1-0 +1 unit

                Stay tuned...

                Good luck
                Comment
                • justkeepwinning
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 08-30-10
                  • 933

                  #9
                  Wednesday Night Leans:
                  Central Florida -12
                  UAB vs. Central Florida under 48.5

                  Want to back the home favorite in tonight's game. Everyone has UAB's near upset against Tennessee fresh in their mind and think they will hang close again tonight.

                  Stay tuned...

                  Good luck
                  Comment
                  • justkeepwinning
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 08-30-10
                    • 933

                    #10
                    Wednesday Night:
                    Central Florida -11 (-120) (1x)

                    Wouldn't mind playing the under either but when you have a double digit dog it's hard to hit both bets.

                    Stay tuned...

                    Good luck
                    Comment
                    • justkeepwinning
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 08-30-10
                      • 933

                      #11
                      Good day again yesterday pushing this week to 2-0 +2 units.

                      About to check out the game tonight. Looking at the line by itself Nebraska looks undervalued going to have to find out why they are favored by less than 2 TDs.

                      Stay tuned...

                      Good luck
                      Comment
                      • justkeepwinning
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 08-30-10
                        • 933

                        #12
                        Wednesday Night Lean:
                        Nebraska -11

                        Can't find anything that points to Kansas State keeping this one close. I really hate playing road favorites especially in midweek games but here I don't see anyway around it. Going to watch this line for a while and see if it drops down to 10 or less.

                        Stay tuned...

                        Good luck
                        Comment
                        • justkeepwinning
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 08-30-10
                          • 933

                          #13
                          Updated Leans:
                          Nebraska -10.5
                          Nebraska vs. Kansas State over 47.5

                          Hoping both these lines keep moving down.

                          Stay tuned...

                          Good luck
                          Comment
                          • justkeepwinning
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 08-30-10
                            • 933

                            #14
                            Thursday Play:
                            Nebraska -10 (-120) (1x)
                            Nebraska vs. Kansas State over 47.5 (1x)


                            Stay tuned...

                            Good luck
                            Comment
                            • 714cuzzin
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 09-11-10
                              • 205

                              #15
                              good hit man...!
                              Comment
                              • pokergod18
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 09-15-10
                                • 77

                                #16
                                miami-6 love my canes at home!!
                                Comment
                                • RibbedTrojan
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-12-09
                                  • 1487

                                  #17
                                  Good job brother and good luck this weekend.
                                  Comment
                                  • justkeepwinning
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 08-30-10
                                    • 933

                                    #18
                                    714cuzzin, RibbedTrojan - thanks guys the major thing is to keep it going throughout the weekend.

                                    pokergod18 - already decided I was looking more at the game. Should be a good one plus I have a friend who is living in the Miami area and he said the atmosphere should be nuts.



                                    Those are the kind of games where I sit back midway through the 3rd quarter and start making my mix the drinks real strong. I wish I could say the same about the MLB playoffs but let's just say I am in a slump there and if you want to play those just go over there and take the opposite of what I am on.

                                    WTD: 4-0 +4 units

                                    Looking at both games now have a feeling I will be going dog and then fave tonight.
                                    Comment
                                    • justkeepwinning
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 08-30-10
                                      • 933

                                      #19
                                      Okay only looking at Friday's games for now. Might check the morning games out tonight and if not tomorrow before they start.

                                      Preface: for some reason I thought UCONN was the favor. Sorry,,,

                                      Friday Leans:
                                      Connecticut -5.5
                                      Connecticut vs Rutgers under 43
                                      Both of these are small I like Connecticut but I hate backing road faves in football games. Also the under looks okay at the number. Would look a lot better 45 and higher.

                                      Oklahoma State vs. University of Louisiana Lafayette 61.5
                                      Oklahoma State -24

                                      The over looks like the much safer play but I also can't see the Cowboys not making this game an embarrassment.

                                      Stay tuned...

                                      Good luck
                                      Comment
                                      • justkeepwinning
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 08-30-10
                                        • 933

                                        #20
                                        Glad I laid off the first game but somewhat worried considering I thought the exact opposite would be happening in that game. About to make my plays on the late game just looking at one more thing.

                                        Stay tuned...

                                        Good luck
                                        Comment
                                        • justkeepwinning
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 08-30-10
                                          • 933

                                          #21
                                          Friday Night Plays:
                                          Oklahoma State -24 (1x)
                                          Oklahoma State vs. University of Louisiana Lafayatte over 60.5 (1x)

                                          Looks like more than likely I will cap tomorrow's games in the morning.

                                          Stay tuned...

                                          Good luck
                                          Comment
                                          • justkeepwinning
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 08-30-10
                                            • 933

                                            #22
                                            Second Half Play:

                                            Connecticut vs Rutgers under 22.5 (-105) (1x)

                                            Stay tuned...

                                            Good luck
                                            Comment
                                            • justkeepwinning
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 08-30-10
                                              • 933

                                              #23
                                              Cannot complain about the games so far this week.

                                              Swept the board tonight going 3-0.

                                              WTD: 7-0 +7 units

                                              About to try and look over these leans and see what I can pull up for tomorrow.

                                              Stay tuned...

                                              Good luck
                                              Comment
                                              • justkeepwinning
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 08-30-10
                                                • 933

                                                #24
                                                Saturday Leans and Quick Analysis:
                                                Michigan State +4 - Still think Michigan is getting too much media hype. This game could be a fun one to watch with what should be plenty of scores. Weaker lean

                                                Tennessee +11 - Georgia is just having a terrible year so far and Tennessee should be wanting to get back after it after last week's game. Also there could be more points scored in this than expected.

                                                Alabama -6.5 - Everyone thinks one of these weeks the Alabama game will be close. I don't think it's this one though as I see them rolling up the Gamecocks tomorrow.

                                                Notre Dame -6 - How is Pittsburgh even supposed to keep this one close?

                                                Arkansas -5 - line is continuously moving down even though the public seems to be on this play which is interesting. However, I don't see how the Razorbacks don't coven especially playing in Jerry's World and you know he will be calling the Hogs tomorrow. Yeah this is going to be a play, could be a large one.


                                                The rest of these leans are later in the afternoon and I am exhausted and plan on sleeping the morning away. Might be about to place this Tennessee wager in case I don't wake up.

                                                More Leans:
                                                Kentucky +7
                                                Houston +5
                                                Stanford -9.5
                                                Comment
                                                • justkeepwinning
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 08-30-10
                                                  • 933

                                                  #25
                                                  Morning Play:
                                                  Tennessee +11 (1x)

                                                  Stay tuned...

                                                  Good luck
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Tk Fo Sho
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 10-04-10
                                                    • 212

                                                    #26
                                                    I like Michigan State
                                                    Comment
                                                    • redrum
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-13-08
                                                      • 1903

                                                      #27
                                                      nice picks i see michigan st +4.5 at betjam
                                                      Comment
                                                      • justkeepwinning
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 08-30-10
                                                        • 933

                                                        #28
                                                        Tk Fo Sho - lets cash that ticket

                                                        redrum - thanks hope it continues throughout this weekend. That extra .5 might be crucial in that game.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • justkeepwinning
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 08-30-10
                                                          • 933

                                                          #29
                                                          Auburn -6 - Looks like Auburn should win this one by more than a touchdown plus there should be lots of points but with the total up to 58.5 I will probably lay off the over.

                                                          Florida -6 - First look at this game and I say it goes under but the whole fact that Florida had so many chances in the redzone last week scares me away from it since it is sitting at 41.5. This game is huge for Florida after being embarrassed just last Saturday. LSU has been the luckiest team in the country so far this year and I think that changes tonight.

                                                          Houston +5.5 - This is by far the weakest lean I have. Mississippi State has played some weak teams on offense outside of the Cam Newton lead Auburn Tigers. Houston was forced to their 3rd string quarterback after injuries and last week it looked as the team was playing much better than when he first took over.

                                                          Stanford -10 - I don't see the Trojan defense being able to stop this offense tonight and especially through the air. There could be a ton of points put up in this game from both teams but I see Stanford pulling away with this one in the 2nd half.

                                                          Miami -6 - Rivalry game is back with a lot of meaning this year. This should be a fun game to just watch but after looking at the game I can see Miami with the home crowd backing them late at night beating FSU tonight.

                                                          Afternoon plays are about to be posted.

                                                          Stay tuned...

                                                          Good luck
                                                          Comment
                                                          • justkeepwinning
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 08-30-10
                                                            • 933

                                                            #30
                                                            Afternoon Plays:
                                                            Alabama -6.5 (1x)
                                                            Notre Dame -6.5 (1x)
                                                            Arkansas -5.5 (1x)
                                                            Michigan State +4 (1x)

                                                            Also two Night Plays:
                                                            Florida -6.5 (1x)
                                                            Miami (FL) -5.5 (1x)


                                                            Watching the line on:
                                                            Auburn -6 - Might should take it now but hopefully bet on the home team throughout the day
                                                            Houston +5 - This will have to be at 6 or greater for me to play
                                                            Stanford -10 - Risky watching but I would love to get 9.5 and with it being USC maybe the public bets them

                                                            Stay tuned...

                                                            Good luck
                                                            Comment
                                                            • justkeepwinning
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 08-30-10
                                                              • 933

                                                              #31
                                                              The hook beat me in the Notre Dame game

                                                              Adding:
                                                              Auburn -6 (1x)

                                                              Still waiting to see if Stanford moves.

                                                              Stay tuned...

                                                              Good luck
                                                              Comment
                                                              • justkeepwinning
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 08-30-10
                                                                • 933

                                                                #32
                                                                Added Play:
                                                                Stanford -10 (1x)

                                                                Stay tuned...

                                                                Good luck
                                                                Comment
                                                                • justkeepwinning
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 08-30-10
                                                                  • 933

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Week Recap: 9-7 +1.3 units

                                                                  Started the week off 7-0 and then came Saturday....

                                                                  Still a profitable week

                                                                  Overall 37-34 +2.3 units
                                                                  Comment
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