New College Football Artificial Intelligence System:

**ShivaBowl** · 10-03-11, 07:47 AM

A/I Over Plays Went, Week #4
CFB 3-2
Tracking any dog filter, Went 3-3-1

A/I Over Plays Went, Week #4
NFL 3-1

No Plays tonight

**ShivaBowl** · 10-03-11, 07:48 AM

Originally posted by GGPLAYER

Shiva I'm keeping an eye on games where the totals go 1 point or higher than the open. So far Penn St/Ind fits the bill and it's tanking. Might be a good filter for us. Aub/S Car also trended up a few points over the opening line. That game is also going under. I think I noticed last week this happening too.

Thanks GGP.

**ShivaBowl** · 10-03-11, 08:17 AM

Week #4
A/I Over Plays CFB
Went 3-2
Tracking dog filter
Went 3-3-1

A/I Over Plays NFL
Went 3-1

A/I Over Plays
12:00 PM ET Texas A&M @ Arkansas WIN
12:00 PM ET Penn State @ Indiana Loss
3:30 PM ET Bowling Green @ West Virginia WIN
3:30 PM ET Auburn @ South Carolina Loss
8:00 PM ET Alabama @ Florida Gators WIN

Tracking Filter, Play Over on AI Dog.
Sep 30 8:00 PM ET USU @ BYU 50 –120 WIN
12:00 PM ET Rutgers @ Syracuse Loss
12:30 PM ET Wake Forest @ Boston College Loss
2:00 PM ET Tulane @ Army Loss
7:00 PM ET Hawaii @ Louisiana Tech WIN
8:00 PM ET New Mexico State @ New Mexico WIN
8:00 PM ET Notre Dame @ Purdue Push

A/I Over Plays NFL
Based on early lines.
1:00 PM ET 49ers @ Eagles 43 –120 WIN
1:00 PM ET Titans @ Browns 38 WIN
1:00 PM ET Lions @ Cowboys 46 WIN
4:15 PM ET Patriots @ Raiders 55 –120 Loss

**GGPLAYER** · 10-03-11, 10:17 AM

NE/Oak fell into my line move filter. If we skipped those plays this week we would have gone 3-0 in NCAAF and 3-0 in NFL.

**joeytunes** · 10-03-11, 09:56 PM

why are the away pr seem to b higher then home? does it make sense?

**ShivaBowl** · 10-04-11, 09:13 AM

Points Awarded:
barts185 gave ShivaBowl 10 SBR Point(s) for this post.
AdamL2424 gave ShivaBowl 2 SBR Point(s) for
Aussiecapper101 gave ShivaBowl 12 SBR Point(s) for
Aussiecapper101 gave ShivaBowl 12 SBR Point(s) for
allenc85 gave ShivaBowl 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Zojo274 gave ShivaBowl 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
steve3402 gave ShivaBowl 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Luv2Play2 gave ShivaBowl 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Sherlock2011 gave ShivaBowl 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
GGPLAYER gave ShivaBowl 10 SBR Point(s) for this post.
SoCalFisher gave ShivaBowl 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

THANK YOU!

**ShivaBowl** · 10-05-11, 09:02 AM

A/I Over Plays
Week #5 CFB
Based on early lines.
12:00 PM ET Oklahoma @ Texas 57
2:00 PM ET Bowling Green @ Western Michigan 60
2:30 PM ET Florida State @ Wake Forest 49
2:30 PM ET Illinois @ Indiana 53
3:30 PM ET Pittsburgh @ Rutgers 52
8:00 PM ET Syracuse @ Tulane 50
10:15 PM ET San Jose State @ BYU 47

Tracking Filter, Play Over on AI Dog.
7:00 PM ET Troy @ Louisiana-Lafayette 55
10:30 PM ET Washington State @ UCLA 62
7:00 PM ET Texas A&M @ Texas Tech 70
3:30 PM ET Iowa @ Penn State 45

**ShivaBowl** · 10-05-11, 09:27 AM

NFL Week 5
Based on early lines.
4:05 PM ET Tampa Bay @ San Francisco 41
1:00 PM ET Philadelphia @ Buffalo 50
1:00 PM ET New Orleans @ Carolina 52.5
1:00 PM ET Tennessee @ Pittsburgh 39.5
1:00 PM ET Cincinnati @ Jacksonville 37
1:00 PM ET Arizona @ Minnesota 44

**ShivaBowl** · 10-06-11, 08:55 AM

Tracking a new filter when A/I picks a dog and it’s a pass, at >-15
Play under the total.
Oct 6 9:00 PM ET California @ Oregon -115 66
Oct 7 9:00 PM ET Boise St @ Fresno St 59

**peterpan19** · 10-06-11, 12:15 PM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

A/I Over Plays Week #5 CFB Based on early lines. 12:00 PM ET Oklahoma @ Texas 57 2:00 PM ET Bowling Green @ Western Michigan 60 2:30 PM ET Florida State @ Wake Forest 49 2:30 PM ET Illinois @ Indiana 53 3:30 PM ET Pittsburgh @ Rutgers 52 8:00 PM ET Syracuse @ Tulane 50 10:15 PM ET San Jose State @ BYU 47 Tracking Filter, Play Over on AI Dog. 7:00 PM ET Troy @ Louisiana-Lafayette 55 10:30 PM ET Washington State @ UCLA 62 7:00 PM ET Texas A&M @ Texas Tech 70 3:30 PM ET Iowa @ Penn State 45

so at what did u have to look to make it an Over play ? AI has to be dog but what else did u have to look at ?
Is it Diff ?

Why is UL-Lafa vs Troy not a normal over play ?

thx and GL

**joeytunes** · 10-06-11, 01:26 PM

when are the plays posted? not just overs?

**ShivaBowl** · 10-07-11, 04:25 AM

Tracking a new filter when A/I picks a dog and it’s a pass, at >-15
Play under the total.
Oct 6 9:00 PM ET California @ Oregon -115 66 WIN
Oct 7 9:00 PM ET Boise St @ Fresno St 59

**the h man** · 10-07-11, 09:38 AM

Kinda nervous about taking tonights under... last nights game would probably have been an over if it wasn't for the James injury

Shiva: I keep trying to donate points to you and it says this user is not accepting points or I dont have points and I obviously have points.

**Aussiecapper101** · 10-07-11, 09:48 AM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

Tracking a new filter when A/I picks a dog and it’s a pass, at >-15
Play under the total.
Oct 6 9:00 PM ET California @ Oregon -115 66 WIN
Oct 7 9:00 PM ET Boise St @ Fresno St 59

I got a good feeling about this new filtered under plays shiva, good work buddy

**GGPLAYER** · 10-07-11, 05:48 PM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

A/I Over Plays
Week #5 CFB
Based on early lines.
12:00 PM ET Oklahoma @ Texas 57
2:00 PM ET Bowling Green @ Western Michigan 60
2:30 PM ET Florida State @ Wake Forest 49
2:30 PM ET Illinois @ Indiana 53
3:30 PM ET Pittsburgh @ Rutgers 52
8:00 PM ET Syracuse @ Tulane 50
10:15 PM ET San Jose State @ BYU 47

Tracking Filter, Play Over on AI Dog.
7:00 PM ET Troy @ Louisiana-Lafayette 55
10:30 PM ET Washington State @ UCLA 62
7:00 PM ET Texas A&M @ Texas Tech 70
3:30 PM ET Iowa @ Penn State 45

I think the Fla St/WF game is at 12:30 not 2:30. Where are you getting your lines from and are they the opening number? I only ask because I have BYU at 51.5 as the opening total. Also I'm going to apply to filter of not betting games where the line has gone up more than 1 point....that would cancel out the Fla St game. It opened at 49.5 and is now 52.5 on Pinny.

**jsund** · 10-07-11, 08:25 PM

ggplayer--would not these other teams drop out as well, as their are movement on the totals as well. Iowa opened at 44 now 45.5 rutgers opened at 51 now 52.5 , texas tech 68 now 71.5. i arrived at these from pregame. Would apreciate your feedback--THANKS

**GGPLAYER** · 10-08-11, 09:15 AM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

Tracking a new filter when A/I picks a dog and it’s a pass, at >-15
Play under the total.
Oct 6 9:00 PM ET California @ Oregon -115 66 WIN
Oct 7 9:00 PM ET Boise St @ Fresno St 59

Interesting take on it. I'll also try to watch them to see how the line moves. The game last night did not go up from the the open so it would have been an Over play with my new filter.

**GGPLAYER** · 10-08-11, 09:25 AM

Originally posted by jsund

ggplayer--would not these other teams drop out as well, as their are movement on the totals as well. Iowa opened at 44 now 45.5 rutgers opened at 51 now 52.5 , texas tech 68 now 71.5. i arrived at these from pregame. Would apreciate your feedback--THANKS

Yeah anything that moves over a point I would "stay" away from. I am not playing Ill@IU either. Remember this is a trend that I have found this year. Last year I played all the over plays and did very well too. I'm really just trying to fine tune things and cut out as many loses as I can.

**cash$bro91** · 10-08-11, 09:44 AM

I have San Jose St/BYU opening at 47.5 and now between 49-50, FSU/Wake opening at 49.5 now at 52 & Illnois/Ind opening at 52.5 and now between 53.5/54. GG, looks like those three games wouldn't make it through your filter on the AI over plays.

**cash$bro91** · 10-08-11, 09:47 AM

I didn't look at the over on the AI Dog games.

**GGPLAYER** · 10-08-11, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by cash$bro91

I have San Jose St/BYU opening at 47.5 and now between 49-50, FSU/Wake opening at 49.5 now at 52 & Illnois/Ind opening at 52.5 and now between 53.5/54. GG, looks like those three games wouldn't make it through your filter on the AI over plays.

I have SJST/BYU opening at 51.5.

**Aussiecapper101** · 10-08-11, 10:21 AM

Ggplayer can u post the plays your playing that u ran thru your filters then pls?

**cash$bro91** · 10-08-11, 10:21 AM

I see SBR live odds has SanJose St/BYU opening at 51.5 but Usatoday.com & Covers.com odds show it opening at 47.5. That game starts at 10:15, I'm more interested in the games before it right now.

**ShivaBowl** · 10-08-11, 10:26 AM

A/I Over Plays
Week 5 CFB
Updated
Oklahoma @ Texas
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan
Florida State @ Wake Forest
Illinois @ Indiana
Pittsburgh @ Rutgers
Georgia @ Tennessee
Syracuse @ Tulane
San Jose State @ BYU

Tracking Filter, Play Over on AI Dog.
Iowa @ Penn State
Air Force @ Notre Dame
Troy @ Louisiana-Lafayette
Texas A&M @ Texas Tech
Wyoming @ Utah State
Washington State @ UCLA

**GGPLAYER** · 10-08-11, 10:37 AM

[quote=ShivaBowl;11784315]A/I Over Plays
Week 5 CFB
Updated
Oklahoma @ Texas
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan
Pittsburgh @ Rutgers
Georgia @ Tennessee
Syracuse @ Tulane
San Jose State @ BYU

I'm playing these.

**ShivaBowl** · 10-08-11, 10:47 AM

Tracking a new filter when A/I picks a dog and it’s a pass, at >-15
Play under, the total.
Oct 6 9:00 PM ET California @ Oregon -115 66 WIN
Oct 7 9:00 PM ET Boise St @ Fresno St 59 Loss
12:30 PM ET Memphis @ Rice
12:00 PM ET Louisville @ North Carolina
3:00 PM ET Eastern Michigan @ Toledo
3:00 PM ET Boston College @ Clemson
7:00 PM ET UNLV @ Nevada
7:00 PM ET Vanderbilt @ Alabama

**Aussiecapper101** · 10-08-11, 11:05 AM

Treat us well ncaaf! Good luck boys

**jsund** · 10-08-11, 11:41 AM

GGPLAYER---YOU PLAYED THESE AND YET THEY OPENED AT GEORGIA 53 NOW 55--PITTSPURGH 51 NOW 52.5---SAN JOSE ST 46.5 NOW 50---WHAT IS IT THAT I AM DOING WRONG?? AGAIN IT IS THE LINE I PICKED UP ON AT PRE-GAME

**badongkadong** · 10-08-11, 05:39 PM

So far so good shiva

**Aussiecapper101** · 10-08-11, 05:44 PM

just quietly

**GGPLAYER** · 10-08-11, 09:15 PM

Originally posted by jsund

GGPLAYER---YOU PLAYED THESE AND YET THEY OPENED AT GEORGIA 53 NOW 55--PITTSPURGH 51 NOW 52.5---SAN JOSE ST 46.5 NOW 50---WHAT IS IT THAT I AM DOING WRONG?? AGAIN IT IS THE LINE I PICKED UP ON AT PRE-GAME

Well I need a new source because I've just been going by SBR Odds and it screwed me today. I had Ga@ Tenn opening at 57 and thought the line moved down....loser. I had Pitt@ Rut opeing at 53 and going down...loser. So if you see BYU game as opening lower than me than maybe it should be skipped. So for the most part my filter has been working. Some hit today even with the line moving up but several of them lost.

I would really like to know why SBR odds are so different from what everyone else is finding. It did not fail me till this week.

I just tried to middle my bet on the Over with BYU. I got it earlier today for O49 and just put in for Under 52. Slim chance but at least it won't kill me either way.

**GGPLAYER** · 10-08-11, 09:25 PM

Originally posted by jsund

GGPLAYER---YOU PLAYED THESE AND YET THEY OPENED AT GEORGIA 53 NOW 55--PITTSPURGH 51 NOW 52.5---SAN JOSE ST 46.5 NOW 50---WHAT IS IT THAT I AM DOING WRONG?? AGAIN IT IS THE LINE I PICKED UP ON AT PRE-GAME

Just so I know I'm not losing my mind. I looked on Covers and Pitt/Rut opened O/U at 53 just like I had and closed at 52.5 on most books. That was a play.

Same with GA/Tenn. Opened at 57 on almost every book Coves shows and closed around 55-54.5. So we are looking at totally different things.

**jsund** · 10-08-11, 10:30 PM

Ggplayer--i got my totals from pregame.com and took the overs on okla-bowling green-tulane-and wash st.--all came through except for wash st & it looks like that one will go under unless a miracle happens . Interesting though,is the total instead of climbing a few it went down a few. Wasn/t sure what to expect so i bet against myself on that one. Even though 3-1 isn't to bad in my books. Thanks

**ShivaBowl** · 10-08-11, 10:31 PM

Originally posted by GGPLAYER

Yeah anything that moves over a point I would "stay" away from. I am not playing Ill@IU either. Remember this is a trend that I have found this year. Last year I played all the over plays and did very well too. I'm really just trying to fine tune things and cut out as many loses as I can.

GGP, I would drop this filter and pay closer attention too < - line movement
gl

**tailin junkie** · 10-08-11, 10:35 PM

thank you for your work, tryin to give you my points, not working