New College Football Artificial Intelligence System:

[GGPLAYER]

[quote=GGPLAYER;6903959] Not to jinx things but it's goig well so far today.

[quote]GGPLAYER;
GGP System, Total Plays
10/16/10
Arkansas State, Play/Over WIN
Eastern Michigan, Play/Over WIN
UNLV, Play/Over WIN
Kentucky, Play/Over WIN[/quote]

What a run these Overs are on. 12-1 in the past 3 weeks. Yesterday Ark St/UNLV/Kentucky made us sweat it out till the very end but they all cashed.

[Wrecktangle]

I tried several neural approaches, none turned out better than my "normal" modeling efforts and they were overly complex.

[Formulawiz]

I tried several neural approaches, none turned out better than my "normal" modeling efforts and they were overly complex.

I am not sure how sportrends comes up with their AI plays, but I guess there are other ways to pick winners. We should follow the O/U plays and see how there doing.

[Wrecktangle]

Formulawiz, the point is: with complex math the chances for code error is great. Short term "great" results this season easily changes to bad as small sample results can simply be a lucky draw.

On the other hand, if it really is that good, then the tendency is to take it out of the public hands and use it for big sponsors, or use it to make money directly.

[ShivaBowl]

Complimentary Selection for 10/21/2010

Take Oregon over UCLA No Play if > -23

[jsund]

has ggplayer posted any overs on this system yet for this week? he has done remarkable on this so far--i can hardly wait . thx.

[HoulihansTX]

Plays based on early lines. 10/16/10
FL&A System

Rice 16.44 +9.5 W
Lousville 12.53 +2.5 L
Army 11.70 +6.5 W
Virginia 8.01 +6 L
Minnesota 7.99 +6 L
Navy 7.83 -1.5 W

(3-3) -0.3Units

[HoulihansTX]

Plays based on early lines.
10/23/10

FL&A System

Strength# // Spread#

Navy 19.7 // +7
Minnesota 18.9 // +9.5
Lousiville 12.1 // +2
Colorado 9.9 // +2.5
Miami (OH) 9.2 // +3
N. Carolina 9.1 // +6.5
Buffalo 9.1 // +7.5
Northwestern 8.7 // +5
Mizzou 8.7 // +6???
Bowling Green 8.6 // +2.5
Florida Atlantic 8.1 // +7.5
Ok St. 7.6 // +5.5

[ShivaBowl]

AI System Plays 10/23
Based on early lines.

Minnesota, to - 1.4
Rutgers, + 5 and over
Indiana, pk to +
Maryland, to - 6.3
Louisville, to - 5.4
Bowling Green, to - pt.6
Oklahoma State, to - 5.5
Auburn, to - 9.9
Texas Tech, to - 6.3
East Carolina, to - 18.5
Vanderbilt, + 5 and over
North Carolina, + 3.1 and over
Missouri, + 2.1 and over

I need to check them and update on Sat.

[GGPLAYER]

AI plays which should go over:

Rutgers/Pitt O 44
IU/ILL O 55
Vandy/SC O 46
UNC/Mia O 48
Mizz/OU O 53

[Formulawiz]

AI plays which should go over:

Rutgers/Pitt O 44
IU/ILL O 55
Vandy/SC O 46
UNC/Mia O 48
Mizz/OU O 53

Curious why you dont have BOS/MARYL, PENN ST/MINN, KENT ST/BOWL GN, NEB/OKLST

[GGPLAYER]

Curious why you dont have BOS/MARYL, PENN ST/MINN, KENT ST/BOWL GN, NEB/OKLST

I will look at those.

[ShivaBowl]

[quote]GGPLAYER; GGP System, Total Plays 10/16/10 Arkansas State, Play/Over WIN Eastern Michigan, Play/Over WIN UNLV, Play/Over WIN Kentucky, Play/Over WINWhat a run these Overs are on. 12-1 in the past 3 weeks. Yesterday Ark St/UNLV/Kentucky made us sweat it out till the very end but they all cashed.

In the past 4 weeks plays on teams with a differential of, pk to + and over, are 19-1.
19 plays went over the total, to 1 under.

This is the reason why, we should post the numbers, along with the plays!
Also, the only + and over differential, last week in the NFL, went over the total.

[Formulawiz]

AI System plays - Looks like a few changes.

[ShivaBowl]

AI System Plays 10/23
Based on early lines.
UPDATED

Minnesota, to - 1.4
Rutgers, + 5 and over
Indiana, pk to + >
Mississippi, + 3.7 and over
Maryland, to - 6.3
Louisville, to - 5.4
Houston, + 3.7 and over
Bowling Green, to - pt.6
Oklahoma State, to - 5.5
Auburn, to - 9.9
Texas Tech, to - 6.3
East Carolina, to - 18.5
North Carolina, + 3.1 and over
Missouri, + 2.1 and over


Vanderbilt, + 5 and over OUT
Houston & Mississippi, IN

[GGPLAYER]

AI plays which should go over:

Rutgers/Pitt O 44
IU/ILL O 55
Vandy/SC O 46 Removed
UNC/Mia O 48
Mizz/OU O 53

Added:
Miss/Ark O 58
Hou/SMU O 63

[GGPLAYER]

Curious why you dont have BOS/MARYL, PENN ST/MINN, KENT ST/BOWL GN, NEB/OKLST

I see where your going with this but I just back checked the past 3 weeks and the results are not as good. Overall if you bet the Overs of teams which AI came up with a - or fav play but ended up being a underdog in the game you would have gone 8-10. I just looked pretty quickly in the last half-hour but I feel my numbers are correct.

10/2 - 4-4
10/9 - 3-2
10/16 - 1-4

[Formulawiz]

I see where your going with this but I just back checked the past 3 weeks and the results are not as good. Overall if you bet the Overs of teams which AI came up with a - or fav play but ended up being a underdog in the game you would have gone 8-10. I just looked pretty quickly in the last half-hour but I feel my numbers are correct.

10/2 - 4-4
10/9 - 3-2
10/16 - 1-4

CG so basically you are going OVER on those games where the AI picks the dog.

[GGPLAYER]

In the past 4 weeks plays on teams with a differential of, pk to + and over, are 19-1.
19 plays went over the total, to 1 under.

This is the reason why, we should post the numbers, along with the plays!
Also, the only + and over differential, last week in the NFL, went over the total.

Yes I agree. I bet that NYJ/Den game Over. Results and plays have not been as many or solid as NCAA.

[GGPLAYER]

CG so basically you are going OVER on those games where the AI picks the dog.

Yeah exactly. Keep waiting for the bottom to drop out but they keep hitting. 3-0 today so far. I don't know why I even bother making any other bets. I've been making 1 unit bets on all these. Might have to double it up next week.

[GGPLAYER]

Curious why you dont have BOS/MARYL, PENN ST/MINN, KENT ST/BOWL GN, NEB/OKLST

Looks like these went 3-1 on the Over. First winning week this month. I'll keep my eye on them to see if the thrend continues.

[ShivaBowl]

CG so basically you are going OVER on those games where the AI picks the dog.

Formulawiz; we are only playing Overs, on AI System Plays that read pk to > + and over.
These are the Over Plays today using the AI System differential.
Play Over the total, on these games.

Rutgers, +5 and over____WIN
Indiana, pk to + > ______WIN
Mississippi, + 3.7 >______WIN
Houston, +3 and over____WIN
North Carolina, + 3.1 >___Loss
Missouri, + 2.1 and over__WIN

[ShivaBowl]

xxx

[ShivaBowl]

Comp Selection From Sportrends.com 10/23/2010

Take Arizona over Washington No Play if > -6.5

Key Stats Last 5 Games
ARI has the third toughest defense to run on in the league, at 2.4 yards per rush.
ARI has the third best rushing defense in the league, at 77.6 yards per game.

[ShivaBowl]

We are playing Overs, on AI System Plays, that read pk to > + and over.

AI System Total Plays
09/25
Cen Mich +3.2> WIN
OHIO + 3.8 WIN
UAB +5> WIN
WV +6> WIN
NCST +6.3 WIN
KENTUCKY +8.2> WIN

10/02
MICH ST pk to +> WIN
IND +5> WIN
KAN + 4.1 > WIN

10/10
UAB +2.7> WIN
B. GREEN +3.5> WIN
SYR +2.7> LOSS
ILLINOIS +4.3> WIN
FLST +1> WIN
E CAR +4.6> WIN

10/16
ARK ST +2> WIN
UNLV +1.5> WIN
E. MICH +5> WIN
KENTUCKY +3.9> WIN
ARMY pk to +> WIN

10/16
Rutgers, +5 and over____WIN
Indiana, pk to + > ______WIN
Mississippi, + 3.7 >______WIN
Houston, +3 and over____WIN
North Carolina, + 3.1 >___LOSS
Missouri, + 2.1 and over__WIN

In past 5 weeks, plays on teams with a differential of, pk to + and over, are 24-2.

[Formulawiz]

We are playing Overs, on AI System Plays, that read pk to > + and over.

AI System Total Plays
09/25
Cen Mich +3.2> WIN
OHIO + 3.8 WIN
UAB +5> WIN
WV +6> WIN
NCST +6.3 WIN
KENTUCKY +8.2> WIN

10/02
MICH ST pk to +> WIN
IND +5> WIN
KAN + 4.1 > WIN

10/10
UAB +2.7> WIN
B. GREEN +3.5> WIN
SYR +2.7> LOSS
ILLINOIS +4.3> WIN
FLST +1> WIN
E CAR +4.6> WIN

10/16
ARK ST +2> WIN
UNLV +1.5> WIN
E. MICH +5> WIN
KENTUCKY +3.9> WIN
ARMY pk to +> WIN

10/16
Rutgers, +5 and over____WIN
Indiana, pk to + > ______WIN
Mississippi, + 3.7 >______WIN
Houston, +3 and over____WIN
North Carolina, + 3.1 >___LOSS
Missouri, + 2.1 and over__WIN

In past 5 weeks, plays on teams with a differential of, pk to + and over, are 24-2.

If you went over on the in the pros today where the AI system picked the dog, it went 2-1

[HoulihansTX]

Plays based on early lines. 10/23/10
FL&A System
Strength# // Spread#

Navy 19.7 // +7 W
Minnesota 18.9 // +9.5 L
Lousiville 12.1 // +2 W
Colorado 9.9 // +2.5 L
Miami (OH) 9.2 // +3 L
N. Carolina 9.1 // +6.5 L
Buffalo 9.1 // +7.5 L
Northwestern 8.7 // +5 L
Mizzou 8.7 // +6??? W
Bowling Green 8.6 // +2.5 L
Florida Atlantic 8.1 // +7.5 L
Ok St. 7.6 // +5.5 L

(3-9) -6.9Units

[Formulawiz]

(3-9) -6.9Units

I am not sure how you got 3-9 on FL&A system
FL&A went 5-5
AI system went 8-7
PR 4-5
Secondly the filter says not to play small colleges which you have listed.
Houlihan are you making your plays 15 to 20 minutes prior to start of game? Lines did change.

[HoulihansTX]

Plays based on early lines.
10/30/10

FL&A System

Team Name Strength# // Spread#

Tulane 19.7 // +7.5
Tulsa 16 // +8
K-St. 12.4 // +5.5
Ole Miss 11/ +7
Louisville 10.4 // +9.5
Baylor 10.1 // +7
NC St. 9.9 // +4
USC 9.8 // +7
Air Force 9.7 // +7
UTEP 7.9 // +2.5
Georgia 7.4 // -2.5
Indiana 7.1 // +3

[VegasVixen]

Link to the Sptrends AI system please? I've looked all over the site & all I see for coll fball is PR and "Team Matchup Analysis" which has no mention of AI?

[drfunkmaster]

good luck.,..

[ShivaBowl]

Link to the Sptrends AI system please? I've looked all over the site & all I see for coll fball is PR and "Team Matchup Analysis" which has no mention of AI?

http://www.sportrends.com/team_stats.htm

http://www.sportrends.com/team_AI_cfb.htm

[ShivaBowl]

AI System Plays 10/30
Based on early lines.

Virginia, 0.5 and over
Louisville, + 1.2 and over
Cincinnati, to -3.4
Oklahoma State, to -7.5
Tulsa, to -1
San Diego State, to -24.4
Texas El Paso, to -12.6
Maryland, to -9.8
California, to -2.4
New Mexico State, to -2.4
Baylor, + 1.9 and over
Stanford, to -15.7
Houston, to -20.7
Utah, to -22.1
Michigan, to -6.8
Oregon, to -13.9
Idaho, + 1.8 and over

[ShivaBowl]

plays based on early lines.
10/30/10

fl&a system

team name strength# // spread#

tulane 19.7 // +7.5
tulsa 16 // +8
k-st. 12.4 // +5.5
ole miss 11/ +7
louisville 10.4 // +9.5
baylor 10.1 // +7
nc st. 9.9 // +4
usc 9.8 // +7
air force 9.7 // +7
utep 7.9 // +2.5
georgia 7.4 // -2.5
indiana 7.1 // +3

Thanks HoulihansTx;

[ShivaBowl]

10/28/10
FL&A System
NC St. 9.9 // +4
I like this play and the over?
gl

FL&A
NC St +3.5 WIN