NCAAF Lazy Picks

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  • Lazyboy311
    SBR Sharp
    • 05-04-10
    • 409

    #1
    NCAAF Lazy Picks
    If anyone else is sick of BS bashing-filled threads, join me. I'm not a regular poster but have been capping for quite some time and want to put my picks out there for discussion and general "enlightenment". If you think I suck, good for you. If you think I'm awesome, thanks in advance. (all plays are played for more than just a few "real" dollars at a "real" book and will be accurately and honestly reflected in my spreadsheet). All for 1U, no "POY" or "locks" from me. Maybe. Maybe a 2U play from time to time. Thats about it.

    Up for discussion this week are the following plays (mine in bold):

    Miami -3 @ Clemson
    Temple -5 @ Army
    Va. Tech -4 @ NC St. (NOT placed yet...intend to but line moving possibly my way so in a holding pattern)
    Michigan -10 @ Indiana
    Duke @ Maryland -7 (bought down from -7.5 for -120)
    Georgia -4.5 @ Colorado
    Penn St. @ Iowa -7

    This week it looks like a lot of chalk, which isn't and won't be the case for the entire season. Although I will admit that I tend to look for under-valued favs (call it my "system"...if you will. But there is no system. Just my brain. And it has worked so far )

    Thoughts anyone?!?!
  • MartinBlank
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-20-08
    • 8382

    #2
    I like a few of your plays.

    Iowa especially. I am also sitting on the line waiting for movement in VT/NC State----

    Indiana is certainly a paper tiger. They haven't played anyone yet, and Robinson appears healthy---and is ready to go. Michigan also seems like a solid play.

    Best of luck to you!
    Comment
    • Jon825
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-06-10
      • 744

      #3
      i like a few of these too. GL man
      sbr
      Comment
      • Lazyboy311
        SBR Sharp
        • 05-04-10
        • 409

        #4
        Originally posted by MartinBlank
        I like a few of your plays.

        Iowa especially. I am also sitting on the line waiting for movement in VT/NC State----

        Indiana is certainly a paper tiger. They haven't played anyone yet, and Robinson appears healthy---and is ready to go. Michigan also seems like a solid play.

        Best of luck to you!
        My thoughts exactly on Indiana...I saw them play at WKU (my team...yeah we suck...ohh well) and they really didn't impress me.

        As far as the other games, I'm leaning fairly heavily on the Temple/Penn st game last week, as the result of that game has me playing both for temple and against PSU.

        Iowa has really been a solid team with the exception of one brain fart- and they came out the next week and absolutely destroyed Iowa St. I think they are going to play with a real chip on their shoulder for the remainder of the season, and when better to prove that than a big conference game like this week?!?

        As much as it pains me to say, Michigan looks like the real deal and until Robinson quits looking like a stud, I can't see them stopping the domination that has been their season so far.
        Comment
        • Lazyboy311
          SBR Sharp
          • 05-04-10
          • 409

          #5
          Adding:

          Ok St -3 + 100

          1U always
          Comment
          • Lazyboy311
            SBR Sharp
            • 05-04-10
            • 409

            #6
            Originally posted by Lazyboy311

            Miami -3 @ Clemson
            Temple -5 @ Army
            Va. Tech -4 @ NC St. (NOT placed yet...intend to but line moving possibly my way so in a holding pattern)
            Michigan -10 @ Indiana
            Duke @ Maryland -7 (bought down from -7.5 for -120)
            Georgia -4.5 @ Colorado
            Penn St. @ Iowa -7
            !
            2-0-1 so far....(including my ok st -3 that I added...damn me for not getting 2.5)

            Also never played va tech, saw late info that scared me. All in the spreadsheet
            Comment
            • zephyr
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-19-10
              • 516

              #7
              I like Georgia -4.5. I follow the Buffs a bit. That program is in full-on meltdown mode. Getting ugly. Very good chance for Georgia to win this one large.
              Comment
              • Lazyboy311
                SBR Sharp
                • 05-04-10
                • 409

                #8
                Originally posted by zephyr
                I like Georgia -4.5. I follow the Buffs a bit. That program is in full-on meltdown mode. Getting ugly. Very good chance for Georgia to win this one large.

                always good to hear news like this!!!
                Comment
                • Lazyboy311
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 05-04-10
                  • 409

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Lazyboy311

                  Miami -3 @ Clemson
                  Temple -5 @ Army
                  Va. Tech -4 @ NC St. (NOT placed yet...intend to but line moving possibly my way so in a holding pattern)
                  Michigan -10 @ Indiana
                  Duke @ Maryland -7 (bought down from -7.5 for -120)
                  Georgia -4.5 @ Colorado
                  Penn St. @ Iowa -7
                  2-1-1 including ok st push. Never played Va Tech so will not include (unless I use SP's recordkeeping, in which case I'm 50-0 )

                  Adding:

                  Stanford +7 @ Oregon -120 (bought up from 6.5)

                  1U always
                  Comment
                  • BoS_010
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 08-24-10
                    • 472

                    #10
                    I think Maryland runs away with it in the second half. Georgia needs to pick it up and I like your Stanford play. I liked Iowa the whole week but I keep picturing a backdoor cover by PSU so I teased them down to -1.5 with Wake +16. I hate teasers but I really wanted to do something with Iowa. I think they win, just not completely sold on 7, 7.5 at most places (which I got). Either way, BOL
                    Comment
                    • Lazyboy311
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 05-04-10
                      • 409

                      #11
                      3-4-1 last week.... need to step my game up. That doesn't reflect plays this week which are all in spreadsheet.

                      Plays this week:

                      326 North Carolina St -10 -110 for Game
                      331 Temple +3½ -110 for Game
                      335 UNLV +27½ -110 for Game
                      343 Utah -6 -110 for Game
                      357 Alabama -7 -105 for Game
                      374 Arkansas -5 -110 for Game

                      That's it for now. Looking at some late games as well, but wanted to get in my "early" plays. Unfortunately this prick has to go into the office for a minute tomorrow. On a Saturday. FML.

                      BOL all...any thoughts on the plays?
                      Comment
                      • Lazyboy311
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 05-04-10
                        • 409

                        #12
                        Adding:

                        360 Florida -6 -115 for Game

                        I see this line moving against me closer to game time so went ahead and popped it...even at less-than-ideal juice
                        Comment
                        • Lazyboy311
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 05-04-10
                          • 409

                          #13
                          Adding:

                          407 Western Kentucky +295 for Game (.5 Unit here)

                          It's my team and I've been talking trash all week about how we are gonna get our first win here. Putting my money where my mouth is...just not very much money lol

                          Plays this week:

                          326 North Carolina St -10 -110 for Game
                          331 Temple +3½ -110 for Game
                          335 UNLV +27½ -110 for Game
                          343 Utah -6 -110 for Game
                          357 Alabama -7 -105 for Game
                          374 Arkansas -5 -110 for Game
                          360 Florida -6 -115 for Game
                          407 Western Kentucky +295 for Game (.5 U...tailers beware)

                          1-1-0 so far

                          1 Unit always (unless it's on your own team and they suck)
                          Comment
                          • Lazyboy311
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 05-04-10
                            • 409

                            #14
                            326 North Carolina St -10 -110 for Game
                            331 Temple +3½ -110 for Game
                            335 UNLV +27½ -110 for Game
                            343 Utah -6 -110 for Game
                            357 Alabama -7 -105 for Game
                            374 Arkansas -5 -110 for Game
                            360 Florida -6 -115 for Game
                            407 Western Kentucky +295 for Game (.5 U...tailers beware)

                            3-5 last week... -1.65U
                            Comment
                            • Lazyboy311
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 05-04-10
                              • 409

                              #15
                              This week is better (i hope):

                              1 Unit always

                              173- Utah -20.5 -107
                              159- Iowa -3 -115
                              120- Mich St -7 -110
                              123- NC St -7 -125 (buying .5)
                              180- Texas A&M -3.5 -110

                              3T Teaser:

                              NC State +2.5
                              Iowa +7
                              Utah - 10.5

                              1U to win .91U
                              Comment
                              • MadTiger
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-19-09
                                • 2724

                                #16
                                I am with you on Tex A&M and the Iowa pick. Good luck, all.
                                Comment
                                • Lazyboy311
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 05-04-10
                                  • 409

                                  #17
                                  Added UGA last minute (In spreadsheet posted pre-game).

                                  Also adding:

                                  Florida -9
                                  Western Kentucky -2.5


                                  2-2 so far on the day. A&M got destroyed, NC State game was just all-around craziness. Hopefully late plays come through
                                  Comment
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