Thursday: Texas A&M @ Oklahoma - My Take

[apom12]

So... I don't do many write-ups on games, but I figured I would be giving in my 2 cents on this Thursday night game.

Texas A&M (3-0) @ Oklahoma St. (3-0)

At first glance, you've got a "solid defense" vs. "high-powered offense" - however, both teams have played 3 crappy opponents (for the most part) and both teams are unproven.
I'll get down to business: the public is ALL OVER Oklahoma St -3 and the OVER. Who wouldn't be?

For a change, the public may be right... Here's some supporting evidence:
Why pick Oklahoma St (Trends over last 3 seasons):
1) Oklahoma St as a Favorite: 18-1 SU / 13-5 ATS
2) Texas A&M as an Underdog: 2-12 SU / 4-9 ATS
3) Oklahoma St at home: 15-3 SU / 10-6 ATS
4) Texas A&M on road: 3-6 SU / 3-6 ATS
5) In the last 7 meetings, the OVER is 5-2 however only 2 games have gone OVER 67... In both meetings, the HOME TEAM won by a huge margin

With the Oklahoma St ML at -140 @ 5Dimes I'll be making a 2x play on the spread, and a 5x play on the ML despite the juice.

I am staying far away from the O/U due to the fact that Oklahoma St puts up an avg of 57 pts/gm and A&M gives up 14 pts/gm... they still haven't proved anything to anyone.

Comments are welcome, good luck with your picks

[daprospecta]

I'm on it with you. gl

[DDT]

It's Oklahoma State, you keep saying OK

[Serbone]

So... I don't do many write-ups on games, but I figured I would be giving in my 2 cents on this Thursday night game.

Texas A&M (3-0) @ Oklahoma St. (3-0)

At first glance, you've got a "solid defense" vs. "high-powered offense" - however, both teams have played 3 crappy opponents (for the most part) and both teams are unproven.
I'll get down to business: the public is ALL OVER Oklahoma -3 and the OVER. Who wouldn't be?

For a change, the public may be right... Here's some supporting evidence:
Why pick Oklahoma (Trends over last 3 seasons):
1) Oklahoma as a Favorite: 18-1 SU / 13-5 ATS
2) Texas A&M as an Underdog: 2-12 SU / 4-9 ATS
3) Oklahoma at home: 15-3 SU / 10-6 ATS
4) Texas A&M on road: 3-6 SU / 3-6 ATS
5) In the last 7 meetings, the OVER is 5-2 however only 2 games have gone OVER 67... In both meetings, the HOME TEAM won by a huge margin

With the Oklahoma ML at -140 @ 5Dimes I'll be making a 2x play on the spread, and a 5x play on the ML despite the juice.

I am staying far away from the O/U due to the fact that Oklahoma puts up an avg of 57 pts/gm and A&M gives up 14 pts/gm... they still haven't proved anything to anyone.

Comments are welcome, good luck with your picks

It's Oklahoma STATE.
These trends mean almost nothing.
You need to learn which trends are meaningful.
These are different teams than are reflected in these trends.
Trend that matters? Example is Texas & Oklahoma: bet against them the week before they play.
They protect and even rest their banged up players, especially stars, and also do not want to show anything complicated on offense.

[spongerat]

did you use stats from oklahoma for oklahoma state?

[samdapatriotsfan]

For what it's worth A&M is 1-7 ATS L8 on Thursdays.

[apom12]

Sorry all, I edited the post. I used all stats for Oklahoma St. - I am typing this late at night, I just kept forgetting to write in the "State". My apologies. Like I said, I don't do write ups often. Just wanted to share some information. Thanks!

[apom12]

It's Oklahoma STATE.
These trends mean almost nothing.
You need to learn which trends are meaningful.
These are different teams than are reflected in these trends.
Trend that matters? Example is Texas & Oklahoma: bet against them the week before they play.
They protect and even rest their banged up players, especially stars, and also do not want to show anything complicated on offense.

I already edited the post bro. Chill - all stats are for Oklahoma STATE

[Bartmeister]

Thanks for the play and writeup

[AlphaOmega]

OK State is the play for me

[golfrulz]

thx for the write up

[Calbears]

I like Ok St. as well. GL with your plays

[apom12]

Great win tonight on the ML!! Push on the spread