The more winners than losers thread

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  • ATS
    SBR Hustler
    • 09-06-10
    • 54

    #1
    The more winners than losers thread
    Alright guys...I've been thinking about doing this for years now and after tailing some people both here and on other forums, I feel I can do just as good a job as they do and hopefully better. I'm not going to promise anyone I'll pick 70% or better but I can tell you at the end of each football season I have always made money. I bet the same amount on every game, so it's not a case of me losing 3 games early and doubling down on a late game to break even for the day...I just pick more winners than losers. There will be some weekends I lose more than I win, but overall I will pick more winners than losers.

    I do not have any special formula for the picks I make. I do a lot of research and I do pay attention to trends, but in the end I go with my gut and fortunately for me I win more than I lose. I am doing this strictly for fun...I work full-time, have two small children and am a season ticket holder for the Patriots so if you have questions I will try to answer them as soon as I can. Since I'm not claiming to pick 90% winners, I have nothing to hide from...if you choose to follow me, great...if you disagree with my picks, no big deal, thats your opinion and I respect that. My record will be posted in my signature for all to see...I will not hit the reset button like others on this forum...it is what it is.

    So, enough talk...I will post my NCAAF picks later on tonight. Best of luck to all of you.
  • MartinBlank
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-20-08
    • 8382

    #2
    ATS...

    Will you start a new thread if your picks lose? JUST KIDDING !!!!!!!!!!!

    Seriously----Best of luck to you! I hope you win every game!
    Comment
    • ATS
      SBR Hustler
      • 09-06-10
      • 54

      #3
      Originally posted by MartinBlank
      ATS...

      Will you start a new thread if your picks lose? JUST KIDDING !!!!!!!!!!!

      Seriously----Best of luck to you! I hope you win every game!
      One thing I won't do is hit the reset button like some others in this forum. BOL to you too...impressive record so far...keep picking winners.
      Comment
      • usainbolt
        SBR Rookie
        • 09-24-10
        • 31

        #4
        BOL ATS, looking forward to it. thanks for keeping it honest
        Comment
        • ATS
          SBR Hustler
          • 09-06-10
          • 54

          #5
          Here are my picks for this week. I'm eyeing another one and will post that long before it kicks off.

          OK State -3
          NC State +4
          TCU/Col. St - OVER 53-1/2
          Buffalo/Bowling Green - OVER 53
          Comment
          • ATS
            SBR Hustler
            • 09-06-10
            • 54

            #6
            Trying to add my signature.
            Comment
            • ATS
              SBR Hustler
              • 09-06-10
              • 54

              #7
              Sorry, I'm new to this forum and I think I just figured it out.
              Comment
              • PureGamble
                Restricted User
                • 09-18-08
                • 321

                #8
                I'm gonna try and save you money man don't play Ok St man I beg u
                Comment
                • MartinBlank
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 07-20-08
                  • 8382

                  #9
                  Good luck with your pics ATS!

                  Comment
                  • ATS
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 09-06-10
                    • 54

                    #10
                    Originally posted by PureGamble
                    I'm gonna try and save you money man don't play Ok St man I beg u
                    I respect your opinion, but my picks are locked and loaded.
                    Comment
                    • daprospecta
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 01-15-10
                      • 473

                      #11
                      OK State -3 With you
                      NC State +4 Like it but didn't take it
                      TCU/Col. St - OVER 53-1/2 Looks Good
                      Buffalo/Bowling Green - OVER 53 With you

                      GL
                      Comment
                      • ATS
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 09-06-10
                        • 54

                        #12
                        Originally posted by daprospecta
                        OK State -3 With you
                        NC State +4 Like it but didn't take it
                        TCU/Col. St - OVER 53-1/2 Looks Good
                        Buffalo/Bowling Green - OVER 53 With you

                        GL
                        Thanks - G/L to you this week...nice record, keep picking those winners.
                        Comment
                        • Hotlanta Steam
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-08-10
                          • 896

                          #13
                          I would be very careful with Virginia Tech... their defense can handle a mobile QB...ever since the second half of the ECU game this has looked like the special team people expected.
                          Comment
                          • surftex
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 09-23-10
                            • 125

                            #14
                            I'm on N.C. State as well. Russell Wilson can most definitely run, and this season is throwing like Peyton Manning. He's taken his passing efficiency to another level. Va. Tech will struggle to stop the Wolfpack. BOL ATS!
                            Comment
                            • ATS
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 09-06-10
                              • 54

                              #15
                              Wow, what a game last night...talk about an emotional roller coaster. Neither team deserved to win that game so it's only fitting the majority of people ended up with a push. If you were fortunate enough to have OK St -2.5 or the Aggies at +3.5, congrats.

                              As I mentioned in my previous post I have been eyeing one more game and have now added Hawaii -8.5 to my picks.

                              BOL to everyone and hope everyone has a profitable weekend.

                              FINAL CARD

                              OK State -3
                              NC State +4
                              TCU/Col. St - OVER 53-1/2
                              Buffalo/Bowling Green - OVER 53
                              Hawaii -8.5
                              Comment
                              • ATS
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 09-06-10
                                • 54

                                #16
                                Good luck everyone...lets' kickoff October in fine fashion.
                                Comment
                                • ATS
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 09-06-10
                                  • 54

                                  #17
                                  No harm no foul this week. With the exception of the TCU/Col. St game, it looked like the other games were going to cash right down to the final minutes. So, what could have been a really nice week, turned into a push.

                                  If your tailing me and I'm not sure at this point why you would, I will be posting my NFL picks shortly.

                                  Good luck today and hope to see you back here next weekend.
                                  Comment
                                  • ATS
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 09-06-10
                                    • 54

                                    #18
                                    Let's get this week started...two plays tonight. BOL!!!

                                    Troy (+3.5)
                                    Troy (ML)
                                    Comment
                                    • ATS
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 09-06-10
                                      • 54

                                      #19
                                      Great way to start the week off as Troy easily wins. ML at +150 was a no brainer and sets this week up as a potential big profit week!!! Congrats if you were on either the ML or if you took Troy with the points.

                                      Not sure if I will have a pick for tonight, but if I do, it will be posted long before kickoff.
                                      Comment
                                      • ATS
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 09-06-10
                                        • 54

                                        #20
                                        I like the under tonight.

                                        My pick for 10/6:

                                        Under 49
                                        Comment
                                        • ufcmma36
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-22-10
                                          • 1065

                                          #21
                                          bol
                                          Comment
                                          • doc1439
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 10-03-10
                                            • 10

                                            #22
                                            had troy last for easy money before i saw your thread. really enjoying this thread and enjoying your insight. havnt made up my mind about tonites bet yet but am leaning more and more toward uab. they play swarming defense and like their chances of having enough success with their two quarterback system to keep this one within the number. any leans on your end concerning a side?
                                            Comment
                                            • ATS
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 09-06-10
                                              • 54

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by doc1439
                                              had troy last for easy money before i saw your thread. really enjoying this thread and enjoying your insight. havnt made up my mind about tonites bet yet but am leaning more and more toward uab. they play swarming defense and like their chances of having enough success with their two quarterback system to keep this one within the number. any leans on your end concerning a side?

                                              sorry for the late post...UCF defense is really good...I'd lean towards UCF but I think the under is the way to go.

                                              Good luck
                                              Comment
                                              • ATS
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 09-06-10
                                                • 54

                                                #24
                                                Big card on Saturday with 6 plays, three dogs and three favorites. Off to a good start this week as I am 2-0-1 so hopefully the trend carries over to the weekend.

                                                Good luck to everyone and my NFL picks will be posted Sunday morning.

                                                Final Card - 10/9

                                                Ball St (-4.5)
                                                Fla. St (+6)
                                                Utah St. (+1)
                                                San Diego St. (-4.5)
                                                UTEP (-9)
                                                Hawaii (+10.5)
                                                Comment
                                                • ATS
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 09-06-10
                                                  • 54

                                                  #25
                                                  Wow, what a crazy Saturday...in the end the record shows 3-3 but after dropping the first 3 of the day I was really starting to doubt myself. Fla.St. got it started and the UTEP and Hawaii games were easy winners. As the week went on and I did more and more research, I liked these picks that much more. The first game to start was the Ball St game...5 minutes into it, they are down 14-0 and 21-0 before the end of the 1st quarter. Next up was San Diego St...same thing, down 14-0 in the 1st quarter. At this point I'm really starting to doubt myself. As I mentioned in an earlier post, I don't expect people to tail my picks, YET. I post my picks on this forum because it keeps me focused...if my picks are out there for all to see, the last thing I want to do is embarrass myself...an 0-6 week would certainly do just that. The fear of being embarrassed makes me do more and more research so in the end it will benefit all of us. Not to worry though....as the Utah St. game was coming to an end, Fla. St was manhandling Miami and the rest of the evening went just like I thought the early games were going to go with UTEP and Hawaii winning easily.

                                                  So, one lesson can be taken from this...patience. As the early losses started to mount, some people may have felt the need to start chasing games...double down on the 2nd halves or stuff like that...in the past I would have done it. I had to keep reminding myself that it's called gambling for a reason. These are 19 and 20 year old kids, so it's very unpredictable. You have to trust the research you've done all week and just stick to your guns. In the end, I didn't show a profit for the day, but if I had panicked and started chasing other games, I could have very easily ended up losing. When you make your picks for the week, stick to your guns...you picked and or avoided games for a reason...don't panic...stick to your guns and in the end you hope everything you've done throughout the week pays off.

                                                  As some of you know, I also have an NFL thread so if you are tailing me, my picks will be posted soon.

                                                  BOL to everyone and I'll see you right back here next week.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ATS
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 09-06-10
                                                    • 54

                                                    #26
                                                    I love these picks this week. Normally I do hours of research everyday before finally deciding what games I want to play each week. Based on my record you may be thinking I should be doing MORE research...good point. Anyway, as I printed off the lines Monday night several games caught my attention. As I looked more and more at other games, I felt better and better about those first 4 or 5 games that to me stuck out. I continued to do my due diligence on the other games, but in the end I felt so good about these games, I decided to go with my initial instinct and just go with these 5 games. Possibly the reason for my 7-5-2 record so far this season is that I'm trying to be too precise with my picks. Don't get me wrong, I still did more research this week than the average person but instead of going over each matchup 5 or 6 times, I decided I felt confident enough in my original picks that I had to bet them.

                                                    Okay, I'll shut up and post my picks. G/L everyone.

                                                    WEEK 7 FINAL CARD - 10/16

                                                    NC STATE (-7)
                                                    BAYLOR (-1)
                                                    UTEP (+2.5)
                                                    HOUSTON (-9.5)
                                                    NEW MEXICO ST (+30.5)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ATS
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 09-06-10
                                                      • 54

                                                      #27
                                                      Hmmm...I just cannot seem to get out of this mediocrity funk I'm in. I really liked these picks yesterday, yet I only cash in on 2 of them. Well, the only thing I can do is stick to what has been successful in past years and hope that 5-0 weekend will happen soon. Very dissapointed with NC St - I thought they would win that game easily and set the tone for the day, instead they get down 21-0 in the 1st quarter and end up losing in OT. UTEP pissed me off too...UAB is flat out awful, yet they completely shut UTEP down. Oh well, enough crying, I have 1 BIG play in my NFL thread, so lets hope that will make up for a below average Saturday.

                                                      See ya back here next week.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ATS
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 09-06-10
                                                        • 54

                                                        #28
                                                        Time to break out of this funk...I need a 5-0 or 4-1 week in the worst way. I really thought last week was the week...I felt as good as I ever have about my picks only to go 2-3 for the day. Well, I'm feeling good this week too, so let's just hope this is the week.

                                                        WEEK 8 FINAL CARD - 10/23

                                                        NOTRE DAME (-6.5)
                                                        WEST VIRGINIA (-13.5)
                                                        OKLAHOMA (-3)
                                                        HAWAII (-3.5)
                                                        TEXAS TECH (-3)

                                                        Wow, lots of chalk here...let's hope the cream rises to the top.

                                                        Good luck to everyone this week.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ATS
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 09-06-10
                                                          • 54

                                                          #29
                                                          Sorry for the bump...I tend to post my picks Thursday or Friday and I received two messages this morning from guys who were looking for my picks. Well, be careful what you wish for...here they are.


                                                          WEEK 8 FINAL CARD - 10/23

                                                          NOTRE DAME (-6.5)
                                                          WEST VIRGINIA (-13.5)
                                                          OKLAHOMA (-3)
                                                          HAWAII (-3.5)
                                                          TEXAS TECH (-3)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • HoldEmHook!!
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-08-09
                                                            • 2962

                                                            #30
                                                            BOL to you ATS and yes gambling is very cool
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MartinBlank
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 07-20-08
                                                              • 8382

                                                              #31
                                                              I love ND this week.

                                                              Good luck, I think the Irish cash easily for you.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • hunterwrot
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 02-15-10
                                                                • 373

                                                                #32
                                                                good luck buddy i hope you have a good day
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ATS
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 09-06-10
                                                                  • 54

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Once again another frustrating day. I'm very upset with myself. All week the line on Texas Tech was (-2.5), at least at my book. Instead of locking that bet in right away I waited until Friday when I had completed my research for the week. It was not until I clicked on TT to place the bet that I noticed the line moved a 1/2 point. I thought about it for a little bit, but had a feeling TT was going to win easily and the 1/2 point wouldn't really matter...we all know how that worked out don't we? So I end up 1-3-1 on the day, however, I used a free play on the Notre Dame game...so even though it goes as a loss on my record, my bank roll really didn't suffer much. Once again Hawaii cashes in...I have bet them 4 times this year and won each time...easily too...can't wait to see who they play next week.

                                                                  Hope you all had a profitable Saturday and be sure to look for my picks in the NFL forum. See ya back here next week.
                                                                  Comment
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