I love this play - get it now --- washington + 10 1/2

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  • nobs
    Restricted User
    • 08-31-09
    • 4216

    #1
    I love this play - get it now --- washington + 10 1/2
    The Washington Huskies can be had at + 10 1/2 points right now, and two things

    #1. This number will close at 7 1/2 or lower so get it now.

    #2. Washington will cover the 10 1/2. Mark it down. There isnt much that I know, but I know that the 10 1/2 is way way way too high.

    This USC team is not the same team that we have known in years past. They are on probation and I dont know if thats the reason, but this teams defense is crap. The defense used to be the strength of the Trojans, but this year it isnt. This fact has just not been that noticeable due to the fact that the Trojans are 4-0.

    The thing is, they havent played anyone. They gave up 36 points to Hawaii. That same Hawaii team scored less than that against Army and that same Hawaii team only scored 13 against Colorado.

    They gave up 16 points against Washington State. The Cogars are a joke, they only scored 23 against Montana State, so they scored almost as much against USC as against Montana State.

    USC gave up 21 against Minnesota. The Gophers then scored 24 against Midd Tenn State and 23 against Northern Illinios.

    And dont think, that Washington State got there points in Garbage time. No all their points except 3 were scored in the 1st half. There is no way that USC deserves to be ranked #16 in one poll. They are 4-0 but they havent beaten a good team and their wins havent been impressive at all. They are overranked simply because of their past performances.

    The Washington Huskies have an offense that will ABUSE this USC defense. They have one of the best QB's in the nation in Jake Locker and he is going to have no moving the ball on this defense. Yes, the Huskies only come into this game with a 1-2 record, but their season schedule has been far stronger than USC's.

    They did put up 41 points against Syracuse. In Syracuse's other 3 games, they have given up a TOTAL of 24 points. Now yes, they have played sub par opponents but non the less, Syracuse has given up 65 points in 4 games, with 41 of those coming against the Huskies.

    I simply think that The Huskies have a very balanced offense here. Qb Locker comes in completing over 51% of his passes, he is averaging almost 210 yards passing per game and has 6 TD's against 2 INT's. Both of those INT's came against #6 Nebraska which is playing far better ball than USC.

    The Huskies can also run the ball with great success. RB Chris Polk is averaging over 5 yards per carry. He has 53 rushing attempts for 266 yards.

    The Huskies come into this game off an off week, which again I think will be a big advantage. Coach Sarkisian is one of the best coaches in the gaand he has had 2 weeks to prepare for these overrated Trojans. I wouldnt be surprised if we see a repeat of a few years back when Washington Beat USC as 28 point underdogs. Not going that far out on a limb here, but I will say tht UW covers this 10 1/2 point spread with ease.
  • Ralphie1412
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-08
    • 13963

    #2
    It looks good at first glance, but after watching nebraska I dont think Washington can stop anyone this year. And Big Bad Lane will try and run up the score and go for 2 and whatever. I liked the huskies at first, but after looking into it pass for me.
    "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
    Goat Milk
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    • BigSmooth
      SBR Rookie
      • 09-23-10
      • 40

      #3
      The USC running backs will run the ball down the huskies throats. USC will cover, they're at home, their offense is clicking, their defense is getting better each week. More importantly, the huskies cant stop the run, which will set up nicely for play action. How will Washington stop Allen Bradford from getting 9.2 yards per carry???
      Comment
      • dume walker
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 04-08-10
        • 971

        #4
        The line's already moved to -11 @ 5 Dimes. USC is one of those teams, like Florida and Ohio State, that has a big fan base and also tends to get a lot of public play. Books have to adjust accordingly. It will be interesting to see how much higher that line goes as it gets closer to game day. I'd wait till Friday at the latest to buy and see if I could get an even better number. Or, jump on it at -10.5 (a touchdown, a field goal and the hook) if it starts to go back down again. If the line truly is out of whack Saturday would show a big drop as smart money jumps in. That's kind of what happened this past Saturday with Alabama. Line stayed stead at -7 all week. For an hour or so on game day it dropped to -6.5. Had to be a lot of money coming in to cause that, what will all that you figure had been bet the rest of the week. And it likely was sharp money seeing as they were right. That line jumped back up to -7 fairly quickly. I'm guessing all the Bama backers buying more at -6.5 figuring they'd cover with a touchdown.
        Comment
        • critical mass
          SBR Rookie
          • 02-15-10
          • 22

          #5
          Nice to see someone on the dawgs here, but the only way they cover this is if they can keep up with USC's offense. Washington's defense was awful against Nebraska, and that was at home.
          Comment
          • Uncle Harv
            SBR High Roller
            • 09-30-09
            • 238

            #6
            USC is pretty sh*tty I agree, but the only thing the Huskies have going for them is Locker...and he is very overrated, especially against good defenses. Outside shot to cover this game.
            Comment
            • TO9
              SBR Sharp
              • 09-24-10
              • 363

              #7
              I'm to nervous to bet anymore USC games. If anything I would be going against them, the whole 2 pt conversion thing worries me. could either end up being good or bad
              Comment
              • nobs
                Restricted User
                • 08-31-09
                • 4216

                #8
                Where Oh Where have the haters gone ???
                Comment
                • nobs
                  Restricted User
                  • 08-31-09
                  • 4216

                  #9
                  Originally posted by BigSmooth
                  The USC running backs will run the ball down the huskies throats. USC will cover, they're at home, their offense is clicking, their defense is getting better each week. More importantly, the huskies cant stop the run, which will set up nicely for play action. How will Washington stop Allen Bradford from getting 9.2 yards per carry???

                  Comment
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