Stanford +7 @ Oregon

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  • Uncle Harv
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-30-09
    • 238

    #1
    Stanford +7 @ Oregon
    Someone please convince me why I shouldnt love Stanford here with getting anything over 7. Stanford proved they are absolutely for real with their dominating win at ND, a place that has haunted them in the past (1-8 in last 9). They are handling business everywhere they go. Conversely, Oregon is solid, but proved to be a little overrated. They are somewhat one dimensional and not great defensively. No cover and 7 turnovers against ASU shows a chink in the armor. I know Autzen is a very tough place to play, but I firmly believe Harbaugh, Luck, and Co. will be ready. May not win, but will certaily be close. Speed kills, but discipline and intelligence can override, and Stanford is certainly those. I cant believe the line is heading so far the opposite direction of the public. Any thoughts?
  • firedawg
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-08-08
    • 39219

    #2
    play the over
    Comment
    • dume walker
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 04-08-10
      • 971

      #3
      I know what you're saying about both teams here. Another factor to consider for the line. It's not just that they're playing at Autzen. It's a REVENGE game at Autzen. Stanford knocked off Oregon last year when they were #7 in the country. Hung 51 points on them with Gerhardt running wild. Set a Stanford school record with 232 yards.

      Oregon was confusing at A State, if you watched that game. Toward the end of the first half they showed they could score quickly and almost at will. In the second half they seemed to slow down. Kept running predictable plays, just handing the ball off to James. Didn't seem to be much of a passing game at all. Might have been the near 100 degree heat. To hot to keep an up tempo game going. Just get out of there with the win. May not wanted to show all they had unless necessary (which was the case at the end of the 2nd half) to keep the rest of their playbook from Stanford.

      Couple other things to consider... That was an exhausting game for Oregon. Starters in it till the end. First time they'd played that long all season. Whereas Stanford starters got some rest against ND.

      Should be a great game.
      Comment
      • jds07v
        SBR MVP
        • 10-19-09
        • 1335

        #4
        I like Stanford at +7. We will see how real their defense really is, but they have been very solid. I also think that Luck is the best qb in college ball right now, and that is always something good. Even if Oregon is winning, at +7 a backdoor is always a possibility. I think it definitely makes more sense than taking Oregon -7
        Comment
        • Uncle Harv
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-30-09
          • 238

          #5
          some good points to consider...
          Comment
          • zephyr
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-19-10
            • 516

            #6
            I like +7 against almost anybody, with Harbaugh coaching this Stanford team. Harbaugh is really impressing me. Like you said, Harv, Oregon is a little bit one-dimensional, and they make mistakes. I think Harbaugh is going to exploit both of these factors. The line movement does concern me -- looks like the books are happy to have the public hitting Stanford. But I'm leaning toward a play on Stanford.
            Comment
            • spongerat
              SBR MVP
              • 10-01-08
              • 2023

              #7
              might be another, last team with the ball wins
              Comment
              • Flight
                Restricted User
                • 01-28-09
                • 1979

                #8
                Leaning towards Jim Harbaugh +7, but will probably pass.
                Comment
                • Joe_Shabadoo
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-17-09
                  • 607

                  #9
                  Yeah, I might have to bite. I have Oregon as essentially a 4/5-pt. favorite at home, but I'm probably going the moneyline route with the Cardinal again. Taking them outright at home last season was a fvcking boon to my bankroll for Bowl Season, but I'm going to need to look into this a bit more.
                  Comment
                  • BigSmooth
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 09-23-10
                    • 40

                    #10
                    Oregon is real tough at home. I wouldn't be surprised if OU blows them out by at least 2 TD's. On the other hand I wouldn't be surprised if Stanford covered, so I plan on hitting the over if it is in the 49 range.

                    Fight On!
                    Comment
                    • dodgerblue
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 09-14-10
                      • 232

                      #11
                      I think the over is the play here. Oregon will really test that Stanford secondary. Both of these teams can score. Can see it hitting the 60s.
                      Comment
                      • TO9
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 09-24-10
                        • 363

                        #12
                        like Stanford here.. Oregon really hasn't played anyone, first test last week and they win by 11. Not bad for a road game at ASU but not the blow outs we were seeing in the first 3 vs cupcake central (yes Tenn included). Stanford comes in tested early on (ucla rout looking a lot better now) and I think Luck will be ready for Autzen. Will look into more throughout the week but leaning Stanford.
                        Comment
                        • thezbar
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-29-06
                          • 6422

                          #13
                          I bet Stanford at +7. This is one game I really want to watch.
                          Comment
                          • Terrapin Station
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-05-10
                            • 2583

                            #14
                            Like Stanford and the Over.
                            Comment
                            • Rbyrne
                              Restricted User
                              • 02-10-10
                              • 3054

                              #15
                              Oregon sucks at playing big games....remember boise state blew them out last year
                              Comment
                              • bradnowell
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 07-31-10
                                • 493

                                #16
                                take florida +9
                                Comment
                                • cowboyfan08
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-18-10
                                  • 575

                                  #17
                                  Going to be great game.definitely best game on schedule.
                                  Comment
                                  • Jonah
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-21-09
                                    • 4042

                                    #18
                                    Very intriguing game here...Hard to say...I would say find another game to bet on.
                                    Comment
                                    • THE PROFIT
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-27-09
                                      • 17701

                                      #19
                                      best game to watch, just enjoy it & pick a better game to bet on
                                      Comment
                                      • orangeheaven
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 02-28-10
                                        • 451

                                        #20
                                        Take stanford ML.
                                        Comment
                                        • bballs84
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 11-11-09
                                          • 5461

                                          #21
                                          I had this game capped at 4.5 What do they know
                                          Comment
                                          • redrum
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-13-08
                                            • 1903

                                            #22
                                            i like the over in this game
                                            Comment
                                            • Dank_Fire
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-13-09
                                              • 2269

                                              #23
                                              I follow the pac very close and absolutly love this play
                                              Comment
                                              • Uncle Harv
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 09-30-09
                                                • 238

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by bballs84
                                                I had this game capped at 4.5 What do they know

                                                Completely agree. Thats what worries me. But I love the play and took it at +7.5. I believe in my gut Stanford is a real squad this year. We shall see.
                                                Comment
                                                • sportsguy04
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-21-08
                                                  • 11885

                                                  #25
                                                  Line says it all. Oregon wins by 10+.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • cowboyfan08
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-18-10
                                                    • 575

                                                    #26
                                                    Showdown!!!!!!!!i think biggest game of year so far.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • porterkid69
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 03-17-08
                                                      • 228

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Rbyrne
                                                      Oregon sucks at playing big games....remember boise state blew them out last year
                                                      19-8 Final - not really a blowout
                                                      Comment
                                                      • PickCityz
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 09-18-10
                                                        • 158

                                                        #28
                                                        This is a tough game which I will stay away. I went with Stanford the past two games, but I feel Oregon has a pretty good chance.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ji03
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-27-09
                                                          • 1144

                                                          #29
                                                          Initially like Stanford +7, but have to look at the game more.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • goldengreek
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 09-25-07
                                                            • 8340

                                                            #30
                                                            Loving Oregon here

                                                            Texas A & M also
                                                            Last edited by goldengreek; 09-28-10, 08:50 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • canes11
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 09-18-10
                                                              • 8

                                                              #31
                                                              This over will be near 70, but I still think that is a good play.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ZephyrM
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 09-23-10
                                                                • 51

                                                                #32
                                                                I am on Stanford myself.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • stefan084
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-21-09
                                                                  • 1490

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Stanford dominating ND doesn't impress me
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • oopfish
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 09-22-07
                                                                    • 381

                                                                    #34
                                                                    i take stanford
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MendozaLine
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-11-10
                                                                      • 4088

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I really like Oregon in this spot. It seems like everyones initial lean is to take the Over (it was mine), but now im thinking Under. Bookmakers are smart. They knew most people were/are going to hammer the Over. But back to my Oregon lean, I just think Autzen stadium will be rocking. Oregon also has revenge on their mind after losing at Stanford last season.
                                                                      Comment
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