NOTE: SCROLL DOWN TO MY 4TH OR 5TH POST FOR SINGLE GAME PICKS ONLY
Big big win last night as we took the over in the TCU/SMU game. I'd like to give a shout out to all my haters for fading me, and also would like to give a pat on the back to my followers as we are now 23-8 ATS on the year in college football. Today we have some big plays. Some straight bets, some teasers, a lil bit of everything. More plays than I thought today, only if teasing a bit that is...
For my teasers, for those wondering: These are games I would play straight up in my system, but am teasing because I personally want the extra six points or so. If I wouldn't play the game straight up in the first place, then I wouldn't tease it either.
So on the teaser plays, feel free to play those straight up too.
Here we go fellas: Good luck!!
All of these are my system plays, and where the % wasn't quite what I wanted, I'm teasing:
Maryland v. FIU -------> Take Maryland -12 [Buy a 1/2 point to make it 11.5 if you can, or tease it with another one of my early picks!
Central Mich v. NWestern ------> Take Central Michigan +6.5 (If you are going to tease, tease this with the Maryland game!
So either play them solo...OR......Maryland -6 & Central Mi +12.5 in a two-team teaser (which is what I'm doing).
Buffalo v. UConn ------> Take Buffalo ONLY if you get +21. If you get +20, please tease this up to +26!! I expect UConn to win by 19-23 points so not worth taking at +20!!
UAB v. Tennessee ------> If you play this straight, buy a half point to make this +14.5 and take UAB! If you don't buy the half point, tease it to +20 and enjoy!
UCF v. Kansas St. -------> Once again, if you play it straight, buy the 1/2 and make it UCF +7.5 and take them. If you don't wanna buy the half point tease this baby up to +13!!!
Miami (Ohio) v. Mizzou -----> If you get this at +21 take Miami (Ohio) in a straight bet!! If not, tease this!
----Side note: The reason I'm suggesting teasers is even though my ATS record is good, I've gotten burned on a couple games because of two or three points here or there. Using teasers I hope to avoid this and make my strong plays even STRONGER! You'll notice I still have straight bets too.-----
Army v. Duke ------> Another exception!! Don't play this one straight up at +6.5 Army. Only play this one if you are gonna tease it to +12.5. That makes it a good bet. Otherwise its a bad one.
Temple v. Penn St ------> Buy a 1/2 point and take Temple at +14.5. This is a very strong play but the 1/2 point concerns me as Penn St. could score a late TD to win by 14. If you don't buy the half point, either dont play it, or TEASE it!!
Arkansas St. v. Troy ------> Feel very comfortable taking Troy at -10.5 here.
Alabama v. Arkansas ---------> DO NOT play this one straight up either way. If you wanna play it, tease Arkansas to +13 and take them!
Wake Forest v. FSU --------> If you can get this at +21 take Wake in a straight bet. If you can only manage +20, tease this to +26 and this is ALMOST a lock!!
North Carolina v. Rutgers -------> Feel confident taking UNC -2.5 here on the road!
Stanford v. Notre Dame ------> Only play this game if you are going to tease it. If you do, take Notre Dame +10.5 and this is a very strong play!!
Idaho v. Colorado St. ---------> Feel very comfortable taking Idaho -8 here. This one could get ugly!!!
Nevada v. BYU -------> Buy yourself a 1/2 point and take BYU +4.5 straight up. If you dont wanna buy the half point, you must tease this to +10!
Central Ark v. Tulsa --------> Only play this if you are willing to tease Central Ark to +26.5. Don't play it otherwise. Its a safe bet at +26.5.
Northern Iowa v. Iowa St. ------> Take Iowa St. -11.5
Middle Tenn v. UL Lafayette -----> Take Midd Tenn -2
North Texas v. FAU -------> A lot of people are hard on FAU here. It's a good play ONLY if you tease it with something else to -4. Otherwise leave it alone.
For the sake of time for the 12pm kickoffs I will post the rest of my analysis in this thread in a few. I will also post MY personal plays.
Big big win last night as we took the over in the TCU/SMU game. I'd like to give a shout out to all my haters for fading me, and also would like to give a pat on the back to my followers as we are now 23-8 ATS on the year in college football. Today we have some big plays. Some straight bets, some teasers, a lil bit of everything. More plays than I thought today, only if teasing a bit that is...
For my teasers, for those wondering: These are games I would play straight up in my system, but am teasing because I personally want the extra six points or so. If I wouldn't play the game straight up in the first place, then I wouldn't tease it either.
So on the teaser plays, feel free to play those straight up too.
Here we go fellas: Good luck!!
All of these are my system plays, and where the % wasn't quite what I wanted, I'm teasing:
Maryland v. FIU -------> Take Maryland -12 [Buy a 1/2 point to make it 11.5 if you can, or tease it with another one of my early picks!
Central Mich v. NWestern ------> Take Central Michigan +6.5 (If you are going to tease, tease this with the Maryland game!
So either play them solo...OR......Maryland -6 & Central Mi +12.5 in a two-team teaser (which is what I'm doing).
Buffalo v. UConn ------> Take Buffalo ONLY if you get +21. If you get +20, please tease this up to +26!! I expect UConn to win by 19-23 points so not worth taking at +20!!
UAB v. Tennessee ------> If you play this straight, buy a half point to make this +14.5 and take UAB! If you don't buy the half point, tease it to +20 and enjoy!
UCF v. Kansas St. -------> Once again, if you play it straight, buy the 1/2 and make it UCF +7.5 and take them. If you don't wanna buy the half point tease this baby up to +13!!!
Miami (Ohio) v. Mizzou -----> If you get this at +21 take Miami (Ohio) in a straight bet!! If not, tease this!
----Side note: The reason I'm suggesting teasers is even though my ATS record is good, I've gotten burned on a couple games because of two or three points here or there. Using teasers I hope to avoid this and make my strong plays even STRONGER! You'll notice I still have straight bets too.-----
Army v. Duke ------> Another exception!! Don't play this one straight up at +6.5 Army. Only play this one if you are gonna tease it to +12.5. That makes it a good bet. Otherwise its a bad one.
Temple v. Penn St ------> Buy a 1/2 point and take Temple at +14.5. This is a very strong play but the 1/2 point concerns me as Penn St. could score a late TD to win by 14. If you don't buy the half point, either dont play it, or TEASE it!!
Arkansas St. v. Troy ------> Feel very comfortable taking Troy at -10.5 here.
Alabama v. Arkansas ---------> DO NOT play this one straight up either way. If you wanna play it, tease Arkansas to +13 and take them!
Wake Forest v. FSU --------> If you can get this at +21 take Wake in a straight bet. If you can only manage +20, tease this to +26 and this is ALMOST a lock!!
North Carolina v. Rutgers -------> Feel confident taking UNC -2.5 here on the road!
Stanford v. Notre Dame ------> Only play this game if you are going to tease it. If you do, take Notre Dame +10.5 and this is a very strong play!!
Idaho v. Colorado St. ---------> Feel very comfortable taking Idaho -8 here. This one could get ugly!!!
Nevada v. BYU -------> Buy yourself a 1/2 point and take BYU +4.5 straight up. If you dont wanna buy the half point, you must tease this to +10!
Central Ark v. Tulsa --------> Only play this if you are willing to tease Central Ark to +26.5. Don't play it otherwise. Its a safe bet at +26.5.
Northern Iowa v. Iowa St. ------> Take Iowa St. -11.5
Middle Tenn v. UL Lafayette -----> Take Midd Tenn -2
North Texas v. FAU -------> A lot of people are hard on FAU here. It's a good play ONLY if you tease it with something else to -4. Otherwise leave it alone.
For the sake of time for the 12pm kickoffs I will post the rest of my analysis in this thread in a few. I will also post MY personal plays.
But I agree with the reasoning
