NCAAF Investment Plays Week #4

**JVP3122** · 09-25-10, 02:17 PM

Originally posted by TNT28

Hey SP I just realized that you posted a different unit size for Cincinnati and Wake Forest on here (2 units). But I already put them in from the original post at Cincy (1 unit) and Wake (0.5 unit). Still shows those amount on your spreadsheet too.

Up the bets if you want to tail. He mentioned towards the beginning of this thread that he was upping the amounts on some

**TNT28** · 09-25-10, 02:23 PM

Originally posted by JVP3122

Up the bets if you want to tail. He mentioned towards the beginning of this thread that he was upping the amounts on some

Clearly in his opening post of this thread which I already read

Thanks JVP. Now let's kick some ass!

**NostraDanUS** · 09-25-10, 02:58 PM

I'm looking forward to SP going 5 and 1 plus his 5 unit play.

**pasaronie** · 09-25-10, 03:20 PM

Originally posted by jhack704

they are down 17
and gt sucks, this is and will be the last time i ever bet on gt

I had taken Gtech earlier in the week.. They have f'ed me in the past.. I will never bet on them again..

**DIRTYDIRTY** · 09-25-10, 03:28 PM

little nervous about the boise game cmon smurf turf

**dimon** · 09-25-10, 03:30 PM

hate to play against stanford, but ND may be able to pull it off

**JP10** · 09-25-10, 03:42 PM

ARK still looking good

**pasaronie** · 09-25-10, 03:48 PM

Originally posted by dimon

hate to play against stanford, but ND may be able to pull it off

Not if Stanford goes 45/45 on 3rd down conversions.

**Tigers1230** · 09-25-10, 04:10 PM

whats the 5* play?

**pasaronie** · 09-25-10, 04:26 PM

Originally posted by pasaronie

Becuase Alabama is going to be thinking about playing Florida next week for the entire first half... By the time they realize they are playing Arkansas they are going to be down 21-7!!! Arkansas is going to playing like this is the National Championship. This is the game to win for people to start taking them seriously..
IMO of course!!!

close!!!

**GeorgiaDawgs3** · 09-25-10, 04:43 PM

UCLA at +16 looks nice right now. ND is done

**JVP3122** · 09-25-10, 04:45 PM

Originally posted by GeorgiaDawgs3

UCLA at +16 looks nice right now. ND is done

The Irish are doing a good job at not giving up touchdowns, but we need some touchdowns out of them to cover this one.

**BookieOweMe** · 09-25-10, 04:49 PM

texas failed.

**pasaronie** · 09-25-10, 04:52 PM

What the heck is going on in the WF game? Lightening delay?

**JosephPavs** · 09-25-10, 05:02 PM

Originally posted by SportsPicks3434

Saturday, 9/25

Boise State -17, -110 (2 units)
Wake Forest +19, -110 (2 units)
Cincinati +14, -115 (2 units)
Arkansas +7, -110 (2 units)
Notre Dame +4.5, -110 (2 units)
Georgia Tech -7.5, -109 (2 units)

**JosephPavs** · 09-25-10, 05:03 PM

Texas is playing like chit right now no way they cover the 16

**GeorgiaDawgs3** · 09-25-10, 05:04 PM

How long does ND have to suck before the media gets off their cock? Texas is a major fail. Wow.

**pasaronie** · 09-25-10, 05:07 PM

Originally posted by GeorgiaDawgs3

How long does ND have to suck before the media gets off their cock? Texas is a major fail. Wow.

It will never happen..
1. Because of their history.
2. Becuase their fan base isnt just in the area the school is in...Its a whole nationality...lol.. funny but true..

**cowboyfan08** · 09-25-10, 05:08 PM

I here ya done.lot of game left!

**dvsbmx** · 09-25-10, 05:11 PM

Originally posted by bikkelmoysen

I am confused, didn't you write earlier that your unitsize were:

NCAAF ATS 5 units
NCAAF ML 2.5 units
NFL 2 units?

This is from the previous thread....

SPORTSPICKS MONEY MAGNAMENT FULL

I will explain this one more time since the question arose again.

1 unit = 2.5% of my roll
2 units = 5% of my roll
3 units = 7.5% of my roll
4 units = 10% of my roll
5 units = 12.5% of my roll

With the NFL plays I wager 2 units per play which is 5% of my roll
With the NCAAF ML plays I wager 2.5 units per play which is 6.25% of my roll
With the NCAAF Spread plays I wager 5 units per play which is 12.5% of my roll
__________________

Alot of bettors assign a $100.00 per unit risked/wagered but I do not. My amount per unit is 2.5% of my bankroll and below is my breakdown of units and dollar amounts. Also keep in mind that during football season I re-calculate my dollar amount per unit each week . That allows me to wager more if I am on a current win streak and wager less if I am on a current losing streak.

1 unit = 2.5% of my bankroll
2 units = 5% of my bankroll
3 units - 7.5% of my bankroll
4 units = 10% of my bankroll
5 units = 12.5% of my bankroll

Here is a example if my bankroll is $1,000 with the Bosie State/Va Tech game tonight assuming that I am playing Boise State +2. Each of my College Football ATS plays are played at 5 units (12.5% of my bankroll).

Bankroll = $1,000 X 5 units/12.5% of my bankroll ($125.00)

So with the example above my play would be Boise State +2 wagering to win $125.00

_________________________

I assign a unit amount for my NFL plays (2 units), my NCAAF ATS plays (5 units) and my NCAAF ML plays (2.5 units). I wager the same amount of units with each category of plays meaning I do not fluctuate my unit size for each game. I do not assign stars next to my plays and I do not assign (1x) or (2x) next to my plays. It is hard enough picking winners at a high rate and it is even harder decifering which plays are stronger and which plays are weaker. Nobody here and anywhere that I know of is a good enough handicapper to pick winners and pick the stength or weakness of those winners. Here is a example below.

Assuming that I assign my plays based on strength and I will invest 15 total units on 5 plays:

Play #1 is a 10 unit play---LOSS
Play #2 is a 2 unit play---WIN
Play #3 is a 1 unit play---WIN
Play #4 is a 1 unit play---WIN
Play #5 is a 1 unit play---WIN

The result is 4-1, 80%, -6.00 units

Assuming that I assign my plays based on the same unit amounts and I will invest 15 total units on 5 plays:

Play #1 is a 3 unit play---LOSS
Play #2 is a 3 unit play---WIN
Play #3 is a 3 unit play---WIN
Play #4 is a 3 unit play---WIN
Play #5 is a 3 unit play---WIN

The result is 4-1, 80%, +8.70 units

It doesnt take a rocket scientist to determine which wagering method to use with the above example.

_________________________

Next, DO NOT wager on a game just to have action. Lets use tonight as a example. I posted Pittsburgh ATS and ML play as my only 2 official plays this week and that is all I will play. If I have leans I may wager SBR points but I will not wager a penny on any other game except for the side or total that I posted. This is why 95% of all sports wagering bettors lose more than they win and it is because most people do not use discipline they just want action on every game. The idea here is to increase your bankroll each week and you cannot do that betting on games you really shouldnt be wagering. If you like the game thats fine but if your wagering on a game just to have action to make the game more exciting to watch you will lose in the long run and you will see your bankroll decrease week to week which in turn will force you to make more deposits than you need to into your sportsbook account.

_________________________

In closing.....Each week I average about 2-4 NCAAF plays and 2-4 NFL plays per week. Those are the only games I wager. If I have leans I may wager SBR points and thats it. If you tail someone only tail that person. Just beacuse the person you tail has no plays one day do not go to another person and tail for that day. If you trust one person whether it is me or someone else just tail that person. If you tail more than one person in a sport you will have trouble winning consistently. Reading that back I think I used the word tail about 10 times and I did it on purpose. Be carefull who you tail because remember it is your hard earned money you are wagering, not their's.

Finally be carefull the last few weeks of the season. There are some service's and posters who may be having a bad or mediocre season. Their average unit size the entire season is 5 units. Then the last few weeks of the season their plays are all of a sudden 20 and 25 units per play. They do this for one reason and one reason only and that is if they win the last few weeks of the season their bad or mediocre season now looks/appears to everyone they had a great season. I call this deception and it happens alot. I hope this helps and like I said in a earlier post don't hesitate to ask me any questions they are all important.

**dimon** · 09-25-10, 05:11 PM

were the UCLA the play???

**solecrazy** · 09-25-10, 05:16 PM

WF needs to put something on the board!

**jhack704** · 09-25-10, 05:33 PM

sp you do a great job at what you do but how can you bet on a such crappy offenses like gt and especially notre dame??

**rallymonkey** · 09-25-10, 05:36 PM

hey nice call on arkansas. i couldnt pull the trigger, darn it.

**jhack704** · 09-25-10, 05:38 PM

we will be lucky to go 1-4 heading into the boise game 2nite

**Rose'** · 09-25-10, 05:38 PM

Cincy need to put some points on the board or it might get ugly

**freeVICK** · 09-25-10, 05:40 PM

gonna lose a lot of money tonight

**JVP3122** · 09-25-10, 05:42 PM

Guys, if you're going to be all dejected, can you at least keep it to yourselves? If we have a rough day it's not like SP wouldn't know it's a rough day. Posts saying things like, "Today's going to hurt" don't accomplish anything.

**Jcows** · 09-25-10, 05:42 PM

Originally posted by rallymonkey

hey nice call on arkansas. i couldnt pull the trigger, darn it.

pick six.. goes along with the day.. miserable

**latinrus** · 09-25-10, 05:45 PM

wake Forest and Notre DamN r played like sh*t today!

Movin' into the next game hope Boise get the job done!

**pasaronie** · 09-25-10, 05:48 PM

Originally posted by Jcows

pick six.. goes along with the day.. miserable

Are you guys kidding? The Ark game is going to cover... WF is gona be close... The Cincy game just started...Relax..

**pasaronie** · 09-25-10, 05:49 PM

Originally posted by pasaronie

Are you guys kidding? The Ark game is going to cover... WF is gona be close... The Cincy game just started...Relax..

TD Cincy... relax fellas...stress isnt good for the heart..

**PeePee** · 09-25-10, 05:50 PM

Man.... yall are like wussies. Can't afford to lose then don't gamble. Heard of that.

WF is not over and Cin and Boise are not even done yet.

GL SP on Boise.

**jhack704** · 09-25-10, 05:51 PM

wake sucks they down 24-0 like i said we will be lucky t o go 1-5 today, just isnt sps weekend

**JVP3122** · 09-25-10, 05:53 PM

Originally posted by jhack704

wake sucks they down 24-0 like i said we will be lucky t o go 1-5 today, just isnt sps weekend

Okay, I know you said you don't like to get your hopes up for games, but you need to just stop posting crap like this. Like I said, if you're going to post garbage like this it's just not constructive. Wake might be down 24-0, but we got them at +19 or +20, so we're still close on that one. If you're going to post things like this then just stop posting; nobody wants to hear it.