Pitt +3; SMU +17.5

**ACCBlitz** · 09-21-10, 12:51 AM

Yep. Well over 4k bets in on the Miami/Pitt game, with nearly 80% of the public on Miami. The line goes from Miami -3.5 to Miami -3.0. You nailed it

This has the Cal/Nevada game feeling all over again.

I'm just trying to figure out the books strategy on putting Miami at -3.5

**Joe_Shabadoo** · 09-21-10, 12:52 AM

I watched the Iron Skillet Bowl, or what have you, last season, and I think this game could easily soar over the total of '52'. If not for two 'Frog fumbles, they could have dropped 49 on the them. Additionally, I can see SMU coming up with a meaningful, early score, and one in garbage time.

It's worth a look.

**No coincidences** · 09-21-10, 12:54 AM

Other home dogs the public doesn't like but I do:

Arizona State +10.5 vs. Oregon
Cincinnati +15.5 vs. Oklahoma
Rice +7.5 vs. Baylor
Arkansas +7.5 vs. Alabama
Wyoming +12.5 vs. Air Force

**Jrod124** · 09-21-10, 01:00 AM

LOVE Rice! glad to see your on it as well NC

**ACCBlitz** · 09-21-10, 01:00 AM

I'm going against you on Air Force. They have a damn good defense, and Wyoming is HORRIBLE against the run. If there were a big game Wyoming would show up for, it was the Boise State one. I like Air Force at -13.5 here.

Oregon and Alabama - I'm just not betting against at this point

Personal preference there.

**No coincidences** · 09-21-10, 01:04 AM

Originally posted by ACCBlitz

I'm going against you on Air Force. They have a damn good defense, and Wyoming is HORRIBLE against the run. If there were a big game Wyoming would show up for, it was the Boise State one. I like Air Force at -13.5 here.

Oregon and Alabama - I'm just not betting against at this point

Personal preference there.

Wyoming is notorious for covering big numbers at home, but they don't look very good so far this year. I don't blame you for passing on Oregon and Alabama, given how they've played.

Again, these are just leans -- not yet plays.

**ACCBlitz** · 09-21-10, 01:08 AM

I'm actually watching the Florida State line. If I can get it at -16.5, I will. Wake has ZERO defense and the Noles have actually defended the run rather well.

**ACCBlitz** · 09-21-10, 01:10 AM

Back to your original point - why do you think the books have Miami so low as a favorite? Trap game or legit line

**Rbyrne** · 09-21-10, 01:11 AM

No way Cincinnati hangs with the sooners....i already got Oklahoma -14...they will win in a blow out

i guess you didnt watch them play nc state last thursday

**No coincidences** · 09-21-10, 01:16 AM

Originally posted by Rbyrne

No way Cincinnati hangs with the sooners....i already got Oklahoma -14...they will win in a blow out

i guess you didnt watch them play nc state last thursday

I haven't been impressed with Oklahoma.

Yes, I've watched Cincy play. The suck donkey balls. Doesn't mean they can't cover in this spot, though.