Arkansas State -3.5 vs Monroe -108 @ Pinny $1080 to win $1000
Arkansas State -3.5 (WINNER)
Final Score: 34-20 (10.5 difference ATS)
Line Movement: one additional point against Ark St. line (to -4.5)
Season Record:
1-0-0
+$1000
Good start guys.
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#3
Play #2:
Mississippi -2.5 vs Fresno State
-105 @ Pinny
$1050 to win $1000
Season Record:
1-0-0
+$1000
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#4
Originally posted by sapidoc
Mississippi -2.5 vs Fresno State -105 @ Pinny $1050 to win $1000
Mississippi -2.5 (WINNER)
Final Score: 55-38 (14.5 difference ATS)
Line Movement: 1/2 point in favour of Mississippi line (to -2.0)
Season Record:
2-0-0
+$2000
Congrats to all that followed! Your next lauk of the week coming soon.
Comment
mangina11
SBR Sharp
02-01-10
397
#5
trueeeeeeeeeee
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#6
Guys,
Nothing stands out this weekend (lox only remember).
Take it off and enjoy the games.
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#7
Play #3:
Georgia -11 vs Tennessee
-103 @ Pinny
$1030 to win $1000
Season Record:
2-0-0
+$2000
Comment
jbatcha21
SBR Sharp
09-27-10
271
#8
Nice job so far Sapi. What do you like so much about Georgia this weekend? I live in GA and in the local newspaper they had an article yesterday about how AJ Green has been dealing with cramp issues and a very sore hammy all week during practice. He has been limited in practice all week. Marlon Brown is also out this week.
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#9
Originally posted by jbatcha21
Nice job so far Sapi. What do you like so much about Georgia this weekend? I live in GA and in the local newspaper they had an article yesterday about how AJ Green has been dealing with cramp issues and a very sore hammy all week during practice. He has been limited in practice all week. Marlon Brown is also out this week.
Also,
GEO are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
GEO are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games
Now ask yourself this: why is Tenn getting +11?
It seems like they want you to take Tenn +points and they sure are getting it, about 60-65% on Tennessee in what looks like the easiest play of the day. If they wanted even action this would be something like Tenn +5. Don't get tricked.
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#10
Originally posted by sapidoc
Georgia -11 vs Tennessee -103 @ Pinny $1030 to win $1000
Georgia -11 (WINNER)
Final Score: 41-14 (16 difference ATS)
Line Movement: 1/2 point against Georgia line (to -11.5)
Season Record:
3-0-0
+$3000
We didn't get fooled on this one. Stay tuned guys.
Comment
mangina11
SBR Sharp
02-01-10
397
#11
Can't wait for this week
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#12
Play #4:
Washington U -2 vs Oregon State
-107 @ Pinny
$1070 to win $1000
Season Record:
3-0-0
+$3000
I was watching this one earlier so obviously I'm a little peeved that I didn't pick it up at its peak (+2.5). I usually try to pick earlier rather than later just in general.
I still think -2 is good enough to play for though as the pick this week.
Comment
COOGI
SBR MVP
05-05-10
1510
#13
good Crazy pick..............gl ......usallly crazy pick pay off....
Comment
rb3b3
SBR Wise Guy
10-03-10
962
#14
this is your play of the week? ok cool.... may i ask why? im a tailer but just want to see why you like it so much?
Originally posted by sapidoc
Play #4:
Washington U -2 vs Oregon State
-107 @ Pinny
$1070 to win $1000
Season Record:
3-0-0
+$3000
I was watching this one earlier so obviously I'm a little peeved that I didn't pick it up at its peak (+2.5). I usually try to pick earlier rather than later just in general.
I still think -2 is good enough to play for though as the pick this week.
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#15
Originally posted by rb3b3
this is your play of the week? ok cool.... may i ask why? im a tailer but just want to see why you like it so much?
Last Saturday Washington lost against Arizona state. The line was -1, but the final score was 14-24. A horrible display if you ask me. Really an embarrassment. I think that is what influenced the opening line of +2 we saw on Washington earlier this week.
Was it all that influenced it? Probably not. We saw Oregon State Just dominate Arizona as 9 point underdogs ending in a 29-27 win.
These recent events have definitely had an influence on what we are seeing here. As the week has gone on we've got a large public stance on Oregon State but the line has then morphed its way to a pick'em mid-week. And why would you not choose Oregon State after what we all saw last week? (or better question; why has the line moved for Washington from +2 to -2 with the public riding Oregon State?)
Washington is at home (they just learned their lesson that you still have to try when you're are home). Washington has more experienced coaching. After this Saturday, Washington has a very tough next 4-5 games and this game is really going to set the pace rolling into that. They need this win very badly.
Back over to Oregon State; they will lose Rodgers due to a knee injury (215 yards, 16 catches). Wheaton will probably replace him this game again, but he doesn't have quite the experience (although impressive numbers).
I think Washington gets over their colds from last weekend and actually shows what they are capable of here.
---
Those are probably my largest factors for choosing this game. There is seriously a ton of other stuff I could talk about here, but those are the key points.
Comment
rb3b3
SBR Wise Guy
10-03-10
962
#16
well thank you very much!!! im on it with ya!!:-) lets get it
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#17
Also, I feel that with these recent 'tailers' that have been PMing me, and the fact that I've had a great 3-0 start I'd just like to say the following:
Streaks will end eventually! Could Oregon State win 55-20? Of course they could! Anything is possible. Don't think this is guaranteed. This is the best bet for Saturday in my opinion and while anything could happen on any given game day I only hope that by the end of the season the overall results in this thread will be impressive. We are here for the long haul.
Be prepared to take losses this season. g/l this weekend everyone.
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#18
Originally posted by sapidoc
Washington U -2 vs Oregon State -107 @ Pinny $1070 to win $1000
Washington -2 (LOSER)
Final Score: 35-34 (1 difference ATS)
Line Movement: 1/2 point in favor of Washington line (to -1.5)
Season Record:
3-1-0 (75%)
+$1930
What an embarrassment of a game! Washington starts out up 21-0 just a little into the 2nd quarter then their defense just goes right out the window. A double overtime win by 1 point screws our spread. Obviously I'm a little pissed I didn't grab this when it was +2.5 all the way to pk, but such is life. Congrats to all those that got this at -1 and managed a push, unfortunately I did not!
Really looking forward to bouncing back next week. Stay tuned.
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#19
Play #5:
Iowa -5.5 vs Wisconsin
-105 @ Pinny
$1050 to win $1000
Season Record:
3-1-0 (75%)
+$1930
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#20
This Iowa game is way too close for my liking. Doesn't look good right now.
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#21
Interception Iowa! Just the mistake we needed from Wisconsin. Let's hope we hold it down now.
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#22
Originally posted by sapidoc
Iowa -5.5 vs Wisconsin -105 @ Pinny $1050 to win $1000
Iowa -5.5 (LOSER)
Final Score: 30-31 (4.5 difference ATS)
Line Movement: 1/2 point against Iowa line (to -6.5)
Season Record:
3-2-0 (60%)
+$880
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#23
Play #6:
Alabama -7 vs LSU
+114 @ Pinny
$1000 to win $1140
Season Record:
3-2-0 (60%)
+$880
Comment
jwbama23
SBR MVP
01-17-10
2373
#24
Originally posted by sapidoc
Play #6: Alabama -7 vs LSU +114 @ Pinny $1000 to win $1140 Season Record: 3-2-0 (60%) +$880
What are you seeing in this game. Im a huge fan and this game scares the crap out of me. Even with an open of 6.5 seems like they want the Bama money.
What are your thoughts?
Comment
LINE-crush-ER
SBR MVP
01-04-08
1445
#25
the way I see it
Les Miles or LE " SMILES
when given a chance to get out coached heres his chance
Ok before you catch me I know it took an over time win but never the less Alabama is 16-3-1 in Tiger Stadium and some how this game was not scheduled at night -
another thing
(Resource )
The LSU passing game has been plain awful for much of the 2010 season. The Tigers rank 113th in the country in passing yards. Alabama has the second ranked defense in the country with regards to the number of points allowed. They also have the 3rd best passing defense in the SEC. You can expect that the LSU offense will have their hands full with the tough Bama defense.
LSU’s run defense was incredibly stout all year… until they played Auburn two weeks ago. Cam Newton and the Auburn Tigers torched the defense. The question remains whether this was a result of Auburn’s dominance or LSU’s defense getting exposed. We will undoubtedly find out Saturday as Alabama’s duo of Mark Ingram and Trent Richardson will surely get a heavy work load.
Both teams had a bye week last week, so both LSU and Alabama have been preparing for two weeks for eachother. When you get an extra week of preparation, the impact typically comes down to the coaching staff. When weighing the two, I have to go with Nick Saban as he and his staff seem to be just so good at putting together gameplans to give his team every possible opportunity to win the game.
Comment
jwbama23
SBR MVP
01-17-10
2373
#26
Originally posted by LINE-crush-ER
the way I see it Les Miles or LE " SMILES when given a chance to get out coached heres his chance Ok before you catch me I know it took an over time win but never the less Alabama is 16-3-1 in Tiger Stadium and some how this game was not scheduled at night - another thing (Resource ) The LSU passing game has been plain awful for much of the 2010 season. The Tigers rank 113th in the country in passing yards. Alabama has the second ranked defense in the country with regards to the number of points allowed. They also have the 3rd best passing defense in the SEC. You can expect that the LSU offense will have their hands full with the tough Bama defense. LSU’s run defense was incredibly stout all year… until they played Auburn two weeks ago. Cam Newton and the Auburn Tigers torched the defense. The question remains whether this was a result of Auburn’s dominance or LSU’s defense getting exposed. We will undoubtedly find out Saturday as Alabama’s duo of Mark Ingram and Trent Richardson will surely get a heavy work load. Both teams had a bye week last week, so both LSU and Alabama have been preparing for two weeks for eachother. When you get an extra week of preparation, the impact typically comes down to the coaching staff. When weighing the two, I have to go with Nick Saban as he and his staff seem to be just so good at putting together gameplans to give his team every possible opportunity to win the game.
I agree with every bit of what you have just said. I also think Bama should easily cover. I am also a big fan so my opinion is distorted.
I was most likely gonna play this game but for how much. Action or a couple units.......I cant decide
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#27
Originally posted by jwbama23
What are you seeing in this game. Im a huge fan and this game scares the crap out of me. Even with an open of 6.5 seems like they want the Bama money. What are your thoughts?
I always look for those spots where it seems like they want you to take one side or the other. I personally feel like this is not one of those spots. Take a look above and you'll see where I made a play purely due to a completely wrong line on a noon game.
Yes the line did open -6.5 (dipped into -6 briefly) and is currently -6.5 again (-105/-105 @ pinny).
I think this game is being a little overlooked in general right now. Why? Cause everyone is all over Auburn's and Oregon's nuts. I am fully expecting this line to hit -7 or -7.5 by Saturday afternoon. I would be extremely surprised if it did not hit at least -7.
So please don't let that opening line scare you off of Alabama. Both teams are coming off bye weeks. Both are still going for the SEC title. Alabama is the better team at pretty much everything except for, ummmm..., punting? They are the visitors here though and LSU is no joke. I think having a home-field advantage will be a factor and it looks like the linesmakers do as well.
Could LSU win outright? Sure they could. Could Bama win by 30? Yep. Nothing's impossible. But I think Bama seriously rolls here in something like a 26-13 game.
Good luck.
Comment
jwbama23
SBR MVP
01-17-10
2373
#28
You are probably right. I just had to play devils advocate to see if my Bama ties were clouding my vision.