What's up with the fishy CFB lines this week?

[MJT1212]

[fishmonger]

If it looks too easy it is never.

[ACCBlitz]

If it looks too easy it is never.

Ain't that the truth.

I see a few that are going to BURY some people.

[Bulldog-53]

Texas and Iowa lines standout to me.

[LT Profits]

You should know better than to start threads like this without giving examples!

[LT Profits]

Texas and Iowa lines standout to me.

I have no problem with either of those, Texas Tech has outplayed Texas so far and Arizona can be a tough place to play.

I'm not saying you have two losers, I'm just saying lines are about right.

[paste_me]

i think they just look fishy to you. i think they are all balanced and have reasons behind them.

texas would be -7 if it was playing at a neutral field, maybe -9 if at home. it's -3 at tech becuase they have not showed anything and their QB and offense line keeps making mistake. i think the line is fair.

how is the Iowa line not fair?

[Bartmeister]

I say "Whats up with the lines" whenever the line moves against me, lol.

[Powerhaus]

Cal -2.5 now is fishy as hell...

[LT Profits]

Cal -2.5 now is fishy as hell...

Nevada at home on a weeknight, and they are just as good as many Pac-10 teams.

[PRC]

No fishy ones to me.

[isles71]

California can beat Nevada. If Kaepernick has to throw the ball, he is much less effective. Having said that, he is still a big beast who runs like a deer. But Pac 10 vs smaller conference, the line is small. Go Cal.

[scott]

Georgia fav. over Ark. ranked team getting points from a unranked team

[LT Profits]

Georgia fav. over Ark. ranked team getting points from a unranked team

But others can say that -2 is a cheap price for Georgia at home too, so line seems right since you can make a case for either side.

[Baxter Man13]

ECU +19.5 makes no sense either..

[LT Profits]

ECU +19.5 makes no sense either..

Actually it does because if they would have played that game two weeks ago, Va Tech would have been around -24.

[Baxter Man13]

Actually it does because if they would have played that game two weeks ago, Va Tech would have been around -24.

This does not matter when concerning this game. ECU should be a -3 favorite

[bbenson011]

cal line could be a trap but i like them esp in september IMO

[jackpot269]

USC at only -12 not saying its fishy but it sure looks like it has a lot of value!!

[LT Profits]

USC at only -12 not saying its fishy but it sure looks like it has a lot of value!!

How is that value when they only beat Virginia 17-14 and they allowed 1000 yards vs Hawaii? USC is not that good this year, probably because they don;t give a shit.

[LostBankroll]

Kansas +5.5 looks good to me.

[Sunde91]

Kansas +5.5 looks good to me.

Don't really understand this spread.

1)You think this would be about 3. Southern Miss is really 5.5 points better than Kansas? What have they done?
2)You wouldn't think 66% of the public would be on Southern Miss, considering they rarely side with a mid-major over BCS, and are easily swayed week to week, so you think the perception would be more favorable to Kanas since they just beat GT.

[LostBankroll]

I honestly can say that the public ALWAYS looks at the favs and say "they are the better team, they are favorites". Public looks to take the easy route and that is to lay the points on a favorite. I see no reason why Kansas is 5.5 point dogs here. Reduced juice I see -108 so the sharps already pounding this play. Wouldnt be suprised this came down to 5 or +4.5. Playing this now and a shot at the ML aswell.

[spongerat]

USC is still getting too much respect based on their name and not their play this year

[rhymenocerous]

I honestly can say that the public ALWAYS looks at the favs and say "they are the better team, they are favorites". Public looks to take the easy route and that is to lay the points on a favorite. I see no reason why Kansas is 5.5 point dogs here. Reduced juice I see -108 so the sharps already pounding this play. Wouldnt be suprised this came down to 5 or +4.5. Playing this now and a shot at the ML aswell.

RAS was on Southern Miss at -4 early. Then it shot up to 5.5.

They are good at home. And didn't Kansas lose to an FCS two weeks ago?

[rhymenocerous]

MJT, what are your thoughts on ECU this week?

[agharah1]

I like Cal anywhere from -2 to -3 just fine. To me, Nevada means two things: a blowout loss in the Hawaii Bowl to SMU, and a shutout vs. a god awful Notre Dame defense. Now if this was Cal vs. Fresno State I could see why the line would be so small, but even Northwestern could cover this spread even in Reno.

[M.W.]

I agree about Kansas. Maybe it's just lingering doubts from the loss to the Dakota team (can't even remember which). But I have a hard time justifying that line. I see it as a pick-em type game.

As for ECU/VPI, that line is low. There is historical precedent for this kind of situation, and what it shows is a huge bounce-back ass-kicking by the team in Virginia Tech's situation. You never know, it could be different this time, and maybe a moneyline play on ECU could have value, but please stay away from the pointspread. Virginia Tech is probably going to win by 40+.

[bruceBRUCEbruce]

Kansas
ECU?

[MJT1212]

ECU ML +900

I'll put a unit on that.

[hubie69]

The way ECU offense looks I think they'll be hard pressed not to put up at least 21-31 points. Va Tech's defense isn't wonderful. If ECU even gets 14 points I like them to cover.