Auburn @ Miss St. ESPN Thursday night

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  • msj0001
    SBR MVP
    • 08-09-10
    • 1562

    #1
    Auburn @ Miss St. ESPN Thursday night
    Line opened at Auburn -3, I'm buying 1/2 point and taking Auburn -2.5 (3X). I think Auburn's offensive scheme is awesome now with a mobile quarterback in Cam Newton. It won't be a blowout though Dan Mullen has got Miss St. heading in the right direction.
    Last edited by msj0001; 09-07-10, 03:47 PM.
  • sammy3
    SBR Rookie
    • 03-20-10
    • 28

    #2
    I am with you! The line seems too good to be true...but that is the case sometimes!
    Comment
    • wal66
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 10-14-08
      • 5305

      #3
      I have no action on the game but was all prepared to take Mississippi State in this spot. The reason I didn't and the reason it probably bodes well for your play is because I would be wagering on what I "expect" Mississippi St do do this season and not on what is expected of them.

      Like you said Mullen does have this team headed in the right direction and he is just a few recruits away from having something special there. Obviously some of those recruits aren't yet there and I was about to allow my personal faith in this current teams heart and soul outweight common sense.

      If Auburn plays sound fundamental football they currently have the athletes to win this game and cover this line. If they make mistakes in abundance then Miss St can take advantage and be in this game at the end with a chance of winning.

      Evaluating the "if's" I would imagine it's more like 70% to 30% which is more likely to happen. Mississippi St would have to overcome too many variables and Auburn would have to lose focus on what is possible.
      Comment
      • msj0001
        SBR MVP
        • 08-09-10
        • 1562

        #4
        I think this game is going to be very high scoring as well. I don't expect Miss St's Defense to be able to stop Auburn very much, but Auburn's pass defense looked very skeptical, and their starting MLB is still suspended
        Comment
        • SimonSayz
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-17-09
          • 859

          #5
          The safest bet IMO Will be the over. I have not seen on number yet But i can see i score like 31-28. There is no way that the total will be over 54-55. Play over. GL.
          Comment
          • zacharyj53
            SBR MVP
            • 08-07-10
            • 2514

            #6
            It is at 1.5 now.
            Comment
            • msj0001
              SBR MVP
              • 08-09-10
              • 1562

              #7
              I'm going to say 34-24 Auburn
              Comment
              • zacharyj53
                SBR MVP
                • 08-07-10
                • 2514

                #8
                You are seeing some RLM here even though most think Auburn is the play. That favors Miss St.
                Comment
                • dontazeme1
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 08-22-10
                  • 447

                  #9
                  miss state at home, i like what coach mullen is doing and auburns defense is a lil overrated
                  Comment
                  • msj0001
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-09-10
                    • 1562

                    #10
                    Miss St. is not going to be able to stop the run at all, and that will wear their defense completely out. They'll get some points to make it decently close, but Auburn wins and covers
                    Comment
                    • zacharyj53
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-07-10
                      • 2514

                      #11
                      Originally posted by msj0001
                      Miss St. is not going to be able to stop the run at all, and that will wear their defense completely out. They'll get some points to make it decently close, but Auburn wins and covers

                      Auburn's D isn't that good. Very thin and the Ark St QB tore them up. Auburn could win but Miss St is the correct play.
                      Comment
                      • msj0001
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-09-10
                        • 1562

                        #12
                        Miss St's D isn't that good either, and Ark St is not a bad team, they had Iowa on the ropes at Iowa last season and only lost that game by 3...and what makes something the "correct play"? thats just dumb, if Auburn wins that means they were "the correct play"
                        Comment
                        • zacharyj53
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-07-10
                          • 2514

                          #13
                          I will bet you your SBR points on the game.
                          Comment
                          • msj0001
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-09-10
                            • 1562

                            #14
                            done...I don't give a sh*t about SBR points anyway...we'll bet 82 points, what line are we doing? it's different on different sites
                            Comment
                            • zacharyj53
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-07-10
                              • 2514

                              #15
                              You don't have that many points. We can just do 82 since that is what you have. Just donate them to me and I will send them back your way if Auburn wins. What spread do you want to bet?

                              As far as my right play comment. When I say that I mean it is the sharp play, not the square play.
                              Comment
                              • investor
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-08-09
                                • 1929

                                #16
                                Think i'm rolling with Mississippi St on this one even though i know most of the forum is going to be on Auburn. I love Gene Chiznack, espec. since he was coaching when UT won their championship but going to go against him with this one.
                                Comment
                                • msj0001
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-09-10
                                  • 1562

                                  #17
                                  yeah I was accidently looking at the wrong thing earlier, I'll take Auburn minus 2.5
                                  Comment
                                  • zacharyj53
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-07-10
                                    • 2514

                                    #18
                                    Deal, you want to send me the points?
                                    Comment
                                    • msj0001
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-09-10
                                      • 1562

                                      #19
                                      I just sent you my 82 points, if Auburn covers -2.5 you send back 164 then...good luck
                                      Comment
                                      • zacharyj53
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-07-10
                                        • 2514

                                        #20
                                        Will do, and BOL to all your other bets.
                                        Comment
                                        • Superman455
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 09-23-08
                                          • 366

                                          #21
                                          I like State here. I think they will surprise alot of people this year and be the sleeper in the SEC. Mullens has finally got a quarterback that can throw to the speedy receiver like in Bumpus...not to mention State is at home...Just my opinion
                                          Comment
                                          • paste_me
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-11-09
                                            • 1832

                                            #22
                                            zach, can i take auburn -2 for 50 points?
                                            Comment
                                            • msj0001
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-09-10
                                              • 1562

                                              #23
                                              State is a solid team for sure, I just think Auburn has too many weapons. Cam Newton and Michael Dyer and making this a completely different Auburn team
                                              Comment
                                              • GatorFan
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-19-07
                                                • 2969

                                                #24
                                                Well, I would say that Miss St. at home can win Auburn out right if they don't make any mistake. I am leaning to Miss St. at this moment
                                                Comment
                                                • kmarinouofm
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 8437

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by msj0001
                                                  Line opened at Auburn -3, I'm buying 1/2 point and taking Auburn -2.5 (3X). I think Auburn's offensive scheme is awesome now with a mobile quarterback in Cam Newton. It won't be a blowout though Dan Mullen has got Miss St. heading in the right direction.
                                                  To bad you bought that half a point brother.. you could have gotten 1.5 for free

                                                  this game is getting pounded on Auburn.. Miss St + 3 looks like the play on this one.. ML probably worth a stab too
                                                  Comment
                                                  • msj0001
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-09-10
                                                    • 1562

                                                    #26
                                                    It's still at -3 with my bookie...maybe I should get a new book
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Thunder Gulch
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 08-30-10
                                                      • 996

                                                      #27
                                                      I saw the line at Auburn -5.5 early at 5 dimes. I believe the results of this past weekend which included a MSU romp and Auburn surrendering 26 to Arkansas State are enough to cause me to pass on what I was expecting from Auburn here. Thursday night home dogs are deadly.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • msj0001
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-09-10
                                                        • 1562

                                                        #28
                                                        First SEC game of the year means those cowbells will be going crazy...might have to watch this one on mute
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Don Giovanni
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 09-02-10
                                                          • 185

                                                          #29
                                                          I was just going to make a comment on the cowbells...they mess with opposing teams! I like the over in this game more than either team, but I'd lean to Miss St. just because of those bells. GL
                                                          Comment
                                                          • aman86
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-29-09
                                                            • 3115

                                                            #30
                                                            over the play
                                                            Comment
                                                            • msj0001
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-09-10
                                                              • 1562

                                                              #31
                                                              Game day! Time to make that Auburn money
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Lion4Life
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 03-30-10
                                                                • 797

                                                                #32
                                                                Like the over here, good luck!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • msj0001
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-09-10
                                                                  • 1562

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Auburn is 16-1 in their last 17 SEC openers

                                                                  Auburn is 6-2 all-time in Thursday night games, including 4-0 vs. SEC in Thursday night games

                                                                  Their last Thursday night game was a 42-14 Victory @ Miss St.

                                                                  Auburn has won 57 consecutive games when scoring 30+ points

                                                                  Auburn has won 21 of the last 28 against Miss. St

                                                                  Auburn has won 8 of the last 9 against Miss. St


                                                                  ***With these stats I'm taking Auburn for 3X...if the game goes against these stats and I lose a few dimes so be it
                                                                  Last edited by msj0001; 09-09-10, 09:55 AM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • twincities77
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 09-07-09
                                                                    • 716

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Like MSU tonight as well.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • msj0001
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-09-10
                                                                      • 1562

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I think 85-90% of SBR is on Miss St., I'll try the fade for sure
                                                                      Comment
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