D.P.'s Labor Day Picks

[daprospecta]

YTD 6-5(0U)

Boise St. Virginia Tech Under 52 (2U)

Boise St. first time meeting an above average defense and great defensive coach only scored 17 last year(TCU). This is basically the same offense this year.Virginia Tech played two good defenses last year in E.Carolina and N. Carolina and were held to 16 and 17 points respectively. Boise St's defense is often overlooked and is very competitive. This will be a game when points will be a precious commodity. If you like stats then this may make you sleep easier. Basically it says games that were similar to this game in the past had the following results. Boise 21 VT 17

Over-Under Performance in Similar Historical Games
Game Type Best O/U Pick Record
25 Most Similar Historical Games Under 14-10-1 (58.3%)
All 75 Similar Historical Games Under 43-31-1 (58.1%)
Similar Games (Total = 52) Push 1-1-0 (50.0%)
Similar Games (Total 50 to 54) Under 9-5-0 (64.3%)


Maryland +7 vs Navy (1U)

Maryland vs Navy Under 49 (1U)

Navy's strength and only strength on offense is the run and that just so happens to be Maryland's strongest suit on defense.Maryland's secondary is suspect but Navy does not have the tools to take advantage of that. Navy recorded the fastest game in history because they run the ball so much. The clock will run faster than Usain Bolt in this one and that means less points. Everyone is sleeping on Maryland this year but they forget that Maryland has a good tandem of runningbacks in Davin Megettee and Darel Scott. They have a good group of receivers with Junior Torrey Smith (61 catches, 824 yards, 5 TDs) who was a 1st Team All-ACC selection last year and fellow wideouts Adrian Cannon (44 catches, 468 yards, 4 TDs) and Ronnie Tyler (28 catches, 346 yards, 1 TD) should provide great depth. They return three on the offensive line and although they will be rebuilding, there is experience there. Maryland with keep this close and my pull the upset. Maryland 14 Navy 17

I'm not picking sides on the B.S. V.T. game but if I was it would be Boise. GL in whatever you decide.

[daprospecta]

Any thoughts

[HailtoPitt]

great analysis. i actually really like both. GL man

[oposprey]

I'm staying away from Maryland+7, but I am on both the under plays. Good Luck!

[daprospecta]

Maryland +7 vs Navy (1U)

Maryland vs Navy Under 49 (1U)

YTD 8-5 (2U)

Two down and one to go.

[13th Street]

I like the UNDER too. I think it's weird that the number keeps rising. I may wait until close to kick-off and get the best possible number. It's sitting at 52.5 @ Bookmaker. That's site I'm using.
I would like 53.5 or 54

Good job with your other two plays. You're having a good day!

[daprospecta]

I like the UNDER too. I think it's weird that the number keeps rising. I may wait until close to kick-off and get the best possible number. It's sitting at 52.5 @ Bookmaker. That's site I'm using.
I would like 53.5 or 54

Good job with your other two plays. You're having a good day!

I've been lucky(hard work meets opportunity). Hopefully it continues. GL

[13th Street]

What if Bosie scores 53 to make a statement?
Didn't think that would happen, but they are destroying Vatech.

[daprospecta]

What if Bosie scores 53 to make a statement?
Didn't think that would happen, but they are destroying Vatech.

I don't see it. If I'm right points will be hard fought this half. Both defenses should be in a groove now. I see maybe one score in the third and one field goal in the fourth.