2 NCAAF plays on Saturday

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  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94379

    #1
    2 NCAAF plays on Saturday
    Okay im no NCAAF expert but there are 2 plays that stick out to me in terms of having little backing but big possibilities.


    Play #1 Vandy +3.5

    Vandy has many issues but the line is only 3.5 for a Northwestern team that should win handily. The public is all over NW and expects an easy win while the line has moved in Vandy's favor. I love home dogs in any sport and i believe that Vandy will force NW to make mistakes and capatilize on those chances . Vandy has a good running game and NW is gonna have some issues stopping that running game. I really feel that the value still is with Vandy even at +3.5. I took them at +5 earlier in the week and i still feel good about this one at +3.5.


    Play #2 Illinois +12.5

    I dont have much to write about here. I think Missouri is dealing with some off field issues and that will affect them. The Illinois squad has some issues in the secondary but there defensive line is solid and i think it will create enough pressure allowing the Tigers into a mistake or two which will be enough to cover the spread. DO NOT play it unless you have +12.5.


    Now be smart and fade these plays.
  • og4667
    SBR MVP
    • 09-17-09
    • 2438

    #2
    good luck LB already on illinois, we will need it and I have been leaning northwestern so far but that game smells funny...obviously you know what I mean.
    Comment
    • ShivaBowl
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-09-10
      • 5133

      #3
      I'm on the same page with you, on Vandy, I got in at +4.5 I'm also,doing some work, on Illinois now.
      BOL
      Comment
      • lakerboy
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-02-09
        • 94379

        #4
        og the public might cash one of these but i would be shocked if they cash both. in most sports the public does well early so i might only go 1-1 or 0-2. no way are these 2 games just free money. the whole forum is on mizz and so many love NW.
        Comment
        • Shahbucks
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-31-09
          • 446

          #5
          I'm on Ill so lets cash
          Comment
          • og4667
            SBR MVP
            • 09-17-09
            • 2438

            #6
            yea whole forum in love with mizzou, maybe they cover maybe they don't but I never play DD favs in any sport so I see some angles for illinois to cover.
            Comment
            • gamble
              SBR MVP
              • 06-30-10
              • 1087

              #7
              i don't like illinois at all, new qb in huge Rivalry game, injuries to defensive backfield that got torn a new one by gabbert last year. everyone around here is talking about d-wash's suspension being a great opportunity to make a statement as well, kendial lawrence won't miss a beat for us
              Comment
              • Wilforth
                Restricted User
                • 05-10-08
                • 16309

                #8
                My problem is I wouldn't take Vandy +3.5 but Vandy ML.

                I agree with you LB, the public may even go 2-0 with those games. The public does well early in the season in all sports before they start getting fed with chalk when they expect meat.
                Comment
                • HoulihansTX
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 02-12-09
                  • 30566

                  #9
                  I like Illinois.

                  Once Juice Williams left the program they became considerably better.

                  Trust me Lakerboy, NW is the play. People arent just playing NW, b/c its Vandy. Vandy has no returning O-Lineman, and their QB is horrible. Also, Fezzik, the Hilton Contest Champ is on NW.
                  Comment
                  • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-18-10
                    • 13389

                    #10
                    GOOD LUCK ON THE SEASON LB
                    Comment
                    • goldengreek
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-25-07
                      • 8340

                      #11
                      Best of luck today and all football season my friend
                      Comment
                      • kobefanatic
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-19-10
                        • 9013

                        #12
                        good luck LB, tailed you on vanderbilt
                        Comment
                        • lakerboy
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-02-09
                          • 94379

                          #13
                          Adding


                          Miami/Florida under 55 -110 (1x)
                          Comment
                          • paul8888
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 10-12-09
                            • 144

                            #14
                            illini up to +13.5 at places....
                            Comment
                            • Mirar Baseball
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-05-10
                              • 1263

                              #15
                              Originally posted by lakerboy
                              Okay im no NCAAF expert but there are 2 plays that stick out to me in terms of having little backing but big possibilities.


                              Play #1 Vandy +3.5

                              Vandy has many issues but the line is only 3.5 for a Northwestern team that should win handily. The public is all over NW and expects an easy win while the line has moved in Vandy's favor. I love home dogs in any sport and i believe that Vandy will force NW to make mistakes and capatilize on those chances . Vandy has a good running game and NW is gonna have some issues stopping that running game. I really feel that the value still is with Vandy even at +3.5. I took them at +5 earlier in the week and i still feel good about this one at +3.5.


                              Play #2 Illinois +12.5

                              I dont have much to write about here. I think Missouri is dealing with some off field issues and that will affect them. The Illinois squad has some issues in the secondary but there defensive line is solid and i think it will create enough pressure allowing the Tigers into a mistake or two which will be enough to cover the spread. DO NOT play it unless you have +12.5.


                              Now be smart and fade these plays.
                              Comment
                              • Soxsfan9
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-30-08
                                • 3705

                                #16
                                I love the Illnois pick!! Let's cash this lakerboy..
                                Comment
                                • og4667
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-17-09
                                  • 2438

                                  #17
                                  on the Miami/Florida total the greek opened it at 56 and pinny at 54, what do you think is the true opener???
                                  Comment
                                  • lakerboy
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-02-09
                                    • 94379

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by og4667
                                    on the Miami/Florida total the greek opened it at 56 and pinny at 54, what do you think is the true opener???


                                    not sure pal. just think that i beat the closer.
                                    Comment
                                    • Sunde91
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-26-09
                                      • 8325

                                      #19
                                      Illinois play is a sharp pick, not just cause of hindsight either.
                                      Comment
                                      • lakerboy
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-02-09
                                        • 94379

                                        #20
                                        Mich st under 24 (2nd hf)(-120)(1x)
                                        Comment
                                        • $Burm$
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 12-03-09
                                          • 3019

                                          #21
                                          illinois takes teh lead LB..nice call, hopefully they can hold on, still a long way to go
                                          Comment
                                          • lakerboy
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 04-02-09
                                            • 94379

                                            #22
                                            TD illinois
                                            Comment
                                            • lakerboy
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-02-09
                                              • 94379

                                              #23
                                              Illinois +7 (2nd hf) -110 (4x)
                                              Comment
                                              • lakerboy
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-02-09
                                                • 94379

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                Adding


                                                Miami/Florida under 55 -110 (1x)

                                                Winner.

                                                1-0 so far.
                                                Comment
                                                • Soxsfan9
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-30-08
                                                  • 3705

                                                  #25
                                                  Nice call on the Under, I got suckered into taking the over!

                                                  Let's cash this Illnois ticket!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • lakerboy
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 04-02-09
                                                    • 94379

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                    Mich st under 24 (2nd hf)(-120)(1x)

                                                    Winner 2-0 so far.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Tommy_de1st
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-23-10
                                                      • 8397

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                      Now be smart and fade these plays.
                                                      LB, you are not the one to fade my man
                                                      Comment
                                                      • bluegg
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 12-28-09
                                                        • 308

                                                        #28
                                                        Card looking good lb
                                                        Comment
                                                        • og4667
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-17-09
                                                          • 2438

                                                          #29
                                                          man that was a sloppy miami ohio/florida game, I had the over but guess late money prevailed, congrats. Illinois screws the board as predicted .

                                                          Did you see the late money on Notre Dame at pinny? Went from 10.5 to 11.5 just before tipoff, especially with the way the everyone is in love with purdue, says a lot.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JR007
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-21-10
                                                            • 5279

                                                            #30
                                                            Thanks for Ill LB...tailing you with Vandy as well
                                                            Comment
                                                            • phillydon215
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 08-08-10
                                                              • 72

                                                              #31
                                                              vandy quaterback is killin us cant seem to make anyting happen.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • og4667
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-17-09
                                                                • 2438

                                                                #32
                                                                vandy hanging tough, looks like this game is going down to the wire.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Wilforth
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 05-10-08
                                                                  • 16309

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Vandy may even win SU.

                                                                  Oregon St. should also cover at TCU.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • broadway6
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-14-09
                                                                    • 13337

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                    Okay im no NCAAF expert but there are 2 plays that stick out to me in terms of having little backing but big possibilities.


                                                                    Play #1 Vandy +3.5

                                                                    Vandy has many issues but the line is only 3.5 for a Northwestern team that should win handily. The public is all over NW and expects an easy win while the line has moved in Vandy's favor. I love home dogs in any sport and i believe that Vandy will force NW to make mistakes and capatilize on those chances . Vandy has a good running game and NW is gonna have some issues stopping that running game. I really feel that the value still is with Vandy even at +3.5. I took them at +5 earlier in the week and i still feel good about this one at +3.5.


                                                                    Play #2 Illinois +12.5

                                                                    I dont have much to write about here. I think Missouri is dealing with some off field issues and that will affect them. The Illinois squad has some issues in the secondary but there defensive line is solid and i think it will create enough pressure allowing the Tigers into a mistake or two which will be enough to cover the spread. DO NOT play it unless you have +12.5.


                                                                    Now be smart and fade these plays.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • lakerboy
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 04-02-09
                                                                      • 94379

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Not a great day for me because I got stupid with illinois 2nd hf but I'm glad my main plays both cashed. Lol who really thought the books were gonna payout missouri and nw?
                                                                      Comment
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