The only CFB game on the card tonight. That 16 point line is a bit heavy for me in week 1. Thinking over 61 is the play. Thoughts?
Arizona/Toledo
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maseda17SBR Wise Guy
- 11-17-09
- 781
#1Arizona/ToledoTags: None -
Biff WebsterSBR Sharp
- 10-01-08
- 366
#2I havent confirmed yet, but I heard there was potential for bad weather tonight.Comment -
maseda17SBR Wise Guy
- 11-17-09
- 781
#3Ahhhh thanks for this.Comment -
kellen2811SBR Hustler
- 08-31-10
- 96
#4Taking Arizona line. Offensive line for Arizona is to big for Toledo. Average weight Arizona 324. Average D line weight Toledo- 262. Nose Tackle in the 3-4 is only 272. Got to like Arizona to just be able to mash the ball all night and wear them down. Although they do run a spread. Toledo average line weight is 280 compared to Arizona D line weight of 273. Toledo does have more returning starters and experience on the offensive line but Arizonas D line is going to be much harder to move then the other way around. Arizona returns alot of skill positions on offense. With that said I think they cover the line. The o/u is a much tougher call.
Weather tonight in Toledo calls for Wind, 0% precipitationComment -
funnyb25BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 07-09-09
- 39663
#5or yu could save ur money and wait until tomorrowComment -
suicideking08SBR Sharp
- 09-29-09
- 337
#6Arizona vs. Toledo
Toledo had a great offense last year and they should put up pretty big numbers in this one. I am very surprised that a PAC 10 team is going to a MAC school but that is just another advantage to Toledo. Also Arizona opened against a MAC school last year and they had a very hard time beating them at home. Arizona is 2-7 against the spread in their last 9 on the road. The Rockets return one of the most experienced offensive lines in the nation. C Kevin Kowalski, OTs Mike VanDerMeulen and John Morookian, and G Nate Cole have a combined 99 starts. Toledo starts a new quarterback in Austin Dantin, however he has a productive supporting cast as the Rockets offense was ranked 16th in the nation last year. Toledo's defense has been it's achilles heel for the last number of years. This season the linebackers have more depth and should be stronger. The secondary is improved and if Toledo's upgraded defense can get a few stops early, Toledo will easily cover the spread. I like Toledo at home with the points.
Toledo +16.5
Written analysis is courtesy of the free pick from StumptheSpread .Comment -
PorkChopSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-18-08
- 8193
#7Toledo TEAM TOTAL over 22.5Comment -
JMUplayerSBR MVP
- 08-27-09
- 2765
#8Experience in the Offensive line is HUGE.... Mark my words.Comment -
ronjon619SBR MVP
- 09-06-09
- 3675
#930% chance of t-showersComment -
redrumSBR MVP
- 02-13-08
- 1903
#10i like toledo to coverComment -
Darkside MagickSBR Posting Legend
- 05-28-10
- 12638
#11don't sleep on mac teams! toledo covers....arizona is fools goldComment -
xyzkySBR MVP
- 08-23-07
- 1577
#12Waiting for 17, looks like Toledo should cover this spread in the Glass Bowl.Comment -
isles71SBR Sharp
- 02-12-10
- 439
#13Does Toledo have a chance to win this?Comment -
gtboySBR Wise Guy
- 06-15-10
- 810
#14toledo +16 1/2 and or the over looks good to me. gl allComment -
Superman455SBR Sharp
- 09-23-08
- 366
#15GL with your wagerComment -
MUHerd37SBR Posting Legend
- 10-23-09
- 12816
#16These 2 teams played at Toledo in 2008 and Arizona won 41-16. Arizona has a really solid offense this year. Their defense is going to be young though. Toledo's defense was terrible last year. Their defense allowed 38 points and 407 per game. The secondary should be better as they started 3 true freshmen last year, so they have gotten at least some experience. While Toledo's offensive line is experienced, their sophomore qb isn't. Toledo had a losing record last year at 5-7 playing MAC competition. Arizona was 8-4 playing PAC-10 competition. Their 4 losses were all close games as well. They lost at Iowa by 10, at Washington by 3, at Cal by 8, and by 3 against Oregon. Their offense should be really good and has a lot of experience. The defense however, is young and vulnerable.Comment -
pdx107SBR Wise Guy
- 06-20-09
- 923
#17Toledo is the play for me, especially after seeing them at home a good deal last year...Comment -
Moonpie0954SBR Sharp
- 11-16-09
- 375
#18the over is the playComment -
kalamity85SBR High Roller
- 10-28-09
- 233
#19i like toledoComment -
DEP78SBR Wise Guy
- 08-07-10
- 526
#20Heritage has a promo where you can cancel your bet at halftime fot the ARI - Toledo game. Can only play with points though; spread is 16.5
Considering that -- who would you put $ on?Comment -
GoCougs!SBR Wise Guy
- 07-11-10
- 970
#21Over for me.Comment -
balls2wallSBR MVP
- 12-20-09
- 2642
#22
In that situation I think I would have to go with the Arizona
If zona is up big at the half I don't know if Tol can make a big come back so I would feel safe with AZ at the half.
If Toledo is hanging tough at the half I could see the AZ lines wearing them down in the second half and stretching the lead.
The only way I would feel real comfy with Toledo is if they were almost tied or leading going into the half.
I think there will be a less chance of wanting to bail on the play with the AZ side.
I went 1-2 last night too so...Comment -
DEP78SBR Wise Guy
- 08-07-10
- 526
#23In that situation I think I would have to go with the Arizona
If zona is up big at the half I don't know if Tol can make a big come back so I would feel safe with AZ at the half.
If Toledo is hanging tough at the half I could see the AZ lines wearing them down in the second half and stretching the lead.
The only way I would feel real comfy with Toledo is if they were almost tied or leading going into the half.
I think there will be a less chance of wanting to bail on the play with the AZ side.
I went 1-2 last night too so...Comment -
TheAccountantSBR Wise Guy
- 11-03-09
- 658
#24Zona takes this one, but that spread is tough. College football is tough for any team on the road, especially in the first game of the season. Weather could make it hard to cover - this looks like a no bet to me, although I'm tempted to throw money on the Zona ML. It's moving lower, it hits -600 and I'll make a small play.Comment -
TheAccountantSBR Wise Guy
- 11-03-09
- 658
#25In that situation I think I would have to go with the Arizona
If zona is up big at the half I don't know if Tol can make a big come back so I would feel safe with AZ at the half.
If Toledo is hanging tough at the half I could see the AZ lines wearing them down in the second half and stretching the lead.
The only way I would feel real comfy with Toledo is if they were almost tied or leading going into the half.
I think there will be a less chance of wanting to bail on the play with the AZ side.
I went 1-2 last night too so...
If you are eligible for this promotion, I think this is a great analysis of of how to play it. If it looks at all questionable, just cancel it. Arizona definitely seems like the play on this. Even if its tie at half, you couldn't really be confident on Toledo.Comment -
DEP78SBR Wise Guy
- 08-07-10
- 526
#26
Got Ari -16 (instead of 16.5). If they aren't up big at the half I'll just cancel. It'll make watching the game (at least the 1st half) worth it.Comment -
balls2wallSBR MVP
- 12-20-09
- 2642
#27
good luck DEP
I really like that promotion!!Comment -
rdrunner466SBR High Roller
- 10-04-09
- 201
#28I am liking the over as wellComment -
1800GamblerSBR High Roller
- 07-27-09
- 182
#29ZonaComment -
BlindWeaselSBR Hustler
- 05-31-10
- 62
#30In the last five minutes my number has gone from 59 to 57.5. Did some news break? I saw 25mph winds was the current weather....
edit: as soon as i post this it bounces back to 58....Comment -
THE PROFITSBR Posting Legend
- 11-27-09
- 17701
#3158 now at DSI & Toledo TT over 21-132 under 21+102
Im likin Toledo over 21Comment -
kings12SBR High Roller
- 08-03-10
- 164
#32Agreed like the over both teams will put up some pointsComment -
danrmanSBR MVP
- 08-30-08
- 2696
#33the play is arizona and under..Comment -
JDUB07SBR MVP
- 10-09-08
- 1721
#34I'm thinking of going with Arizona on the Heritage promo Halftime Cancel. It is now down to -15.5.Comment -
DMB40SBR MVP
- 04-04-09
- 1258
#35at 15 nowComment
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