Arizona/Toledo

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • maseda17
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-17-09
    • 781

    #1
    Arizona/Toledo
    The only CFB game on the card tonight. That 16 point line is a bit heavy for me in week 1. Thinking over 61 is the play. Thoughts?
  • Biff Webster
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-01-08
    • 366

    #2
    I havent confirmed yet, but I heard there was potential for bad weather tonight.
    Comment
    • maseda17
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-17-09
      • 781

      #3
      Ahhhh thanks for this.
      Comment
      • kellen2811
        SBR Hustler
        • 08-31-10
        • 96

        #4
        Taking Arizona line. Offensive line for Arizona is to big for Toledo. Average weight Arizona 324. Average D line weight Toledo- 262. Nose Tackle in the 3-4 is only 272. Got to like Arizona to just be able to mash the ball all night and wear them down. Although they do run a spread. Toledo average line weight is 280 compared to Arizona D line weight of 273. Toledo does have more returning starters and experience on the offensive line but Arizonas D line is going to be much harder to move then the other way around. Arizona returns alot of skill positions on offense. With that said I think they cover the line. The o/u is a much tougher call.

        Weather tonight in Toledo calls for Wind, 0% precipitation
        Comment
        • funnyb25
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 07-09-09
          • 39663

          #5
          or yu could save ur money and wait until tomorrow
          Comment
          • suicideking08
            SBR Sharp
            • 09-29-09
            • 337

            #6
            Arizona vs. Toledo
            Toledo had a great offense last year and they should put up pretty big numbers in this one. I am very surprised that a PAC 10 team is going to a MAC school but that is just another advantage to Toledo. Also Arizona opened against a MAC school last year and they had a very hard time beating them at home. Arizona is 2-7 against the spread in their last 9 on the road. The Rockets return one of the most experienced offensive lines in the nation. C Kevin Kowalski, OTs Mike VanDerMeulen and John Morookian, and G Nate Cole have a combined 99 starts. Toledo starts a new quarterback in Austin Dantin, however he has a productive supporting cast as the Rockets offense was ranked 16th in the nation last year. Toledo's defense has been it's achilles heel for the last number of years. This season the linebackers have more depth and should be stronger. The secondary is improved and if Toledo's upgraded defense can get a few stops early, Toledo will easily cover the spread. I like Toledo at home with the points.
            Toledo +16.5

            Written analysis is courtesy of the free pick from StumptheSpread .
            Comment
            • PorkChop
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-18-08
              • 8193

              #7
              Toledo TEAM TOTAL over 22.5
              Comment
              • JMUplayer
                SBR MVP
                • 08-27-09
                • 2765

                #8
                Experience in the Offensive line is HUGE.... Mark my words.
                Comment
                • ronjon619
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-06-09
                  • 3675

                  #9
                  30% chance of t-showers
                  Comment
                  • redrum
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-13-08
                    • 1903

                    #10
                    i like toledo to cover
                    Comment
                    • Darkside Magick
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 05-28-10
                      • 12638

                      #11
                      don't sleep on mac teams! toledo covers....arizona is fools gold
                      Comment
                      • xyzky
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-23-07
                        • 1577

                        #12
                        Waiting for 17, looks like Toledo should cover this spread in the Glass Bowl.
                        Comment
                        • isles71
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 02-12-10
                          • 439

                          #13
                          Does Toledo have a chance to win this?
                          Comment
                          • gtboy
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 06-15-10
                            • 810

                            #14
                            toledo +16 1/2 and or the over looks good to me. gl all
                            Comment
                            • Superman455
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 09-23-08
                              • 366

                              #15
                              GL with your wager
                              Comment
                              • MUHerd37
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-23-09
                                • 12816

                                #16
                                These 2 teams played at Toledo in 2008 and Arizona won 41-16. Arizona has a really solid offense this year. Their defense is going to be young though. Toledo's defense was terrible last year. Their defense allowed 38 points and 407 per game. The secondary should be better as they started 3 true freshmen last year, so they have gotten at least some experience. While Toledo's offensive line is experienced, their sophomore qb isn't. Toledo had a losing record last year at 5-7 playing MAC competition. Arizona was 8-4 playing PAC-10 competition. Their 4 losses were all close games as well. They lost at Iowa by 10, at Washington by 3, at Cal by 8, and by 3 against Oregon. Their offense should be really good and has a lot of experience. The defense however, is young and vulnerable.
                                Comment
                                • pdx107
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 06-20-09
                                  • 923

                                  #17
                                  Toledo is the play for me, especially after seeing them at home a good deal last year...
                                  Comment
                                  • Moonpie0954
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 11-16-09
                                    • 375

                                    #18
                                    the over is the play
                                    Comment
                                    • kalamity85
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 10-28-09
                                      • 233

                                      #19
                                      i like toledo
                                      Comment
                                      • DEP78
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 08-07-10
                                        • 526

                                        #20
                                        Heritage has a promo where you can cancel your bet at halftime fot the ARI - Toledo game. Can only play with points though; spread is 16.5

                                        Considering that -- who would you put $ on?
                                        Comment
                                        • GoCougs!
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 07-11-10
                                          • 970

                                          #21
                                          Over for me.
                                          Comment
                                          • balls2wall
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-20-09
                                            • 2642

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by DEP78
                                            Heritage has a promo where you can cancel your bet at halftime fot the ARI - Toledo game. Can only play with points though; spread is 16.5

                                            Considering that -- who would you put $ on?



                                            In that situation I think I would have to go with the Arizona


                                            If zona is up big at the half I don't know if Tol can make a big come back so I would feel safe with AZ at the half.


                                            If Toledo is hanging tough at the half I could see the AZ lines wearing them down in the second half and stretching the lead.


                                            The only way I would feel real comfy with Toledo is if they were almost tied or leading going into the half.


                                            I think there will be a less chance of wanting to bail on the play with the AZ side.


                                            I went 1-2 last night too so...
                                            Comment
                                            • DEP78
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 08-07-10
                                              • 526

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by balls2wall
                                              In that situation I think I would have to go with the Arizona


                                              If zona is up big at the half I don't know if Tol can make a big come back so I would feel safe with AZ at the half.


                                              If Toledo is hanging tough at the half I could see the AZ lines wearing them down in the second half and stretching the lead.


                                              The only way I would feel real comfy with Toledo is if they were almost tied or leading going into the half.


                                              I think there will be a less chance of wanting to bail on the play with the AZ side.


                                              I went 1-2 last night too so...
                                              Good points in your analysis. I think that's the way I'll go with it. Thanks.
                                              Comment
                                              • TheAccountant
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-03-09
                                                • 658

                                                #24
                                                Zona takes this one, but that spread is tough. College football is tough for any team on the road, especially in the first game of the season. Weather could make it hard to cover - this looks like a no bet to me, although I'm tempted to throw money on the Zona ML. It's moving lower, it hits -600 and I'll make a small play.
                                                Comment
                                                • TheAccountant
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-03-09
                                                  • 658

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by balls2wall
                                                  In that situation I think I would have to go with the Arizona


                                                  If zona is up big at the half I don't know if Tol can make a big come back so I would feel safe with AZ at the half.


                                                  If Toledo is hanging tough at the half I could see the AZ lines wearing them down in the second half and stretching the lead.


                                                  The only way I would feel real comfy with Toledo is if they were almost tied or leading going into the half.


                                                  I think there will be a less chance of wanting to bail on the play with the AZ side.


                                                  I went 1-2 last night too so...

                                                  If you are eligible for this promotion, I think this is a great analysis of of how to play it. If it looks at all questionable, just cancel it. Arizona definitely seems like the play on this. Even if its tie at half, you couldn't really be confident on Toledo.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DEP78
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 08-07-10
                                                    • 526

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by TheAccountant
                                                    If you are eligible for this promotion, I think this is a great analysis of of how to play it. If it looks at all questionable, just cancel it. Arizona definitely seems like the play on this. Even if its tie at half, you couldn't really be confident on Toledo.
                                                    Never had the chance to cancel at halftime before. Kind of doing it just because I can.

                                                    Got Ari -16 (instead of 16.5). If they aren't up big at the half I'll just cancel. It'll make watching the game (at least the 1st half) worth it.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • balls2wall
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-20-09
                                                      • 2642

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by DEP78
                                                      Never had the chance to cancel at halftime before. Kind of doing it just because I can.

                                                      Got Ari -16 (instead of 16.5). If they aren't up big at the half I'll just cancel. It'll make watching the game (at least the 1st half) worth it.


                                                      good luck DEP


                                                      I really like that promotion!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • rdrunner466
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 10-04-09
                                                        • 201

                                                        #28
                                                        I am liking the over as well
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 1800Gambler
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 07-27-09
                                                          • 182

                                                          #29
                                                          Zona
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BlindWeasel
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 05-31-10
                                                            • 62

                                                            #30
                                                            In the last five minutes my number has gone from 59 to 57.5. Did some news break? I saw 25mph winds was the current weather....

                                                            edit: as soon as i post this it bounces back to 58....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • THE PROFIT
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-27-09
                                                              • 17701

                                                              #31
                                                              58 now at DSI & Toledo TT over 21-132 under 21+102

                                                              Im likin Toledo over 21
                                                              Comment
                                                              • kings12
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 08-03-10
                                                                • 164

                                                                #32
                                                                Agreed like the over both teams will put up some points
                                                                Comment
                                                                • danrman
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-30-08
                                                                  • 2696

                                                                  #33
                                                                  the play is arizona and under..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JDUB07
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-09-08
                                                                    • 1721

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I'm thinking of going with Arizona on the Heritage promo Halftime Cancel. It is now down to -15.5.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DMB40
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-04-09
                                                                      • 1258

                                                                      #35
                                                                      at 15 now
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...